$71.060
+0.533 (+0.75%)At close
Price Predictions
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MTH Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Alphio's MTH stock price prediction model matches the current Meritage Homes Corp tape against historical breakout patterns, then publishes 1-day and 1-week targets first. The 1-day print is $70.75 (-0.44%). The 1-week path is $70.77 (-0.41%). Longer windows use the same pattern set plus seasonality; the 1-month and multi-year forecasts sit behind unlock because they include precise min / avg / max bands.
Should I Buy Meritage Homes Corp Stock?
Meritage Homes is currently priced at $71.06, with a forward P/E ratio of 12.48, indicating potential value. However, the RSI is at 42.63, suggesting it is nearing oversold conditions. The company has downgraded its revenue guidance by 5% compared to last year, which raises concerns about future performance. Therefore, while there is potential for recovery, the recent guidance downgrade and mixed analyst ratings suggest a cautious approach is warranted.
MTH stock price ended at $71.06 on Friday, after rising +0.75%
Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) last closed at $71.06, gaining +0.75%. These facts feed the 1-day and 1-week MTH price prediction above.
Analyst Consensus
Meritage Homes Corp (MTH): 1 buy, 10 hold, 2 sell. Outlook: Sell.
Sell / Buy
Technical signals summary based on buy and sell indicators. The gauge shows the overall market view.
Forecast Drivers
Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) forecast drivers combine similar chart patterns, seasonality, and moving averages.
Similar patterns
Bearish
Seasonality
Bullish
SMA 20
Bearish
SMA 200
Bullish
Similar Chart Patterns
Stocks whose recent price path most closely matches MTH, ranked by similarity.
Seasonality analysis for MTH
Historically the probability of a positive August return for MTH is 84.13%. August offers the highest probability of a positive month at 84.13%, while March is the weakest seasonal window. Alphio blends this calendar with technical signals and similar chart pattern matching before it writes the forecast.
10-year price projections for MTH
| Month | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $66.37 | $73.18 | $82.82 | +2.98% |
| Sep 2026 | $57.06 | $59.23 | $66.33 | -16.64% |
| Oct 2026 | $61.31 | $65.27 | $75.27 | -8.15% |
| Nov 2026 | $55.27 | $65.12 | $67.00 | -8.36% |
| Dec 2026 | $41.48 | $53.31 | $55.44 | -24.98% |
In 2026, Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) is projected to range from $41.48 to $82.82.
Meritage Homes Corp 2026 monthly forecast
In Aug 2026, Meritage Homes Corp is projected to average $73.18, with a low of $66.37 and high of $82.82.
In Sep 2026, Meritage Homes Corp is projected to average $59.23, with a low of $57.06 and high of $66.33.
In Oct 2026, Meritage Homes Corp is projected to average $65.27, with a low of $61.31 and high of $75.27.
In Nov 2026, Meritage Homes Corp is projected to average $65.12, with a low of $55.27 and high of $67.00.
In Dec 2026, Meritage Homes Corp is projected to average $53.31, with a low of $41.48 and high of $55.44.
This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.