$59.170
-1.089 (-1.84%)At close
Price Predictions
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MTH Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Alphio's MTH stock price prediction model matches the current Meritage Homes Corp tape against historical breakout patterns, then publishes 1-day and 1-week targets first. The 1-day print is $59.45 (+0.47%). The 1-week path is $60.18 (+1.70%). Longer windows use the same pattern set plus seasonality; the 1-month and multi-year forecasts sit behind unlock because they include precise min / avg / max bands.
Should I Buy Meritage Homes Corp Stock?
Meritage Homes Corp is currently not a strong buy due to mixed signals. The current price is $59.17, which is below the analyst price target of $82, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 41.384, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory, and the company has reported a decline in earnings and revenue expectations. The main risk is the recent earnings report indicating a 14% year-over-year decline in home closing revenue, which could impact future performance.
MTH stock price ended at $59.17 on Friday, after losing -1.84%
Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) last closed at $59.17, losing -1.84%. These facts feed the 1-day and 1-week MTH price prediction above.
Analyst Consensus
Meritage Homes Corp (MTH): 1 buy, 10 hold, 2 sell. Outlook: Sell.
Sell / Buy
Technical signals summary based on buy and sell indicators. The gauge shows the overall market view.
Forecast Drivers
Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) forecast drivers combine similar chart patterns, seasonality, and moving averages.
Similar patterns
Bullish
Seasonality
Bearish
SMA 20
Bearish
SMA 200
Bearish
Similar Chart Patterns
Stocks whose recent price path most closely matches MTH, ranked by similarity.
Seasonality analysis for MTH
Historically the probability of a positive October return for MTH is 39.66%. August offers the highest probability of a positive month at 84.38%, while March is the weakest seasonal window. Alphio blends this calendar with technical signals and similar chart pattern matching before it writes the forecast.
10-year price projections for MTH
| Month | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $61.31 | $65.27 | $75.27 | +10.30% |
| Nov 2026 | $55.27 | $65.12 | $67.00 | +10.05% |
| Dec 2026 | $41.48 | $53.31 | $55.44 | -9.90% |
In 2026, Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) is projected to range from $41.48 to $75.27.
Meritage Homes Corp 2026 monthly forecast
In Oct 2026, Meritage Homes Corp is projected to average $65.27, with a low of $61.31 and high of $75.27.
In Nov 2026, Meritage Homes Corp is projected to average $65.12, with a low of $55.27 and high of $67.00.
In Dec 2026, Meritage Homes Corp is projected to average $53.31, with a low of $41.48 and high of $55.44.
This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.