Meritage Homes Corp

Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) Stock Analysis

$60.280

+2.357 (+3.91%)At close

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High
60.765
Open
59.780
VWAP
60.12
Volume
894.14K
Mkt Cap
—
Low
59.316
Amount
53.76M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
9.86

Meritage Homes Corporation is a designer and builder of single-family attached and detached homes. The Company’s segments include homebuilding and financial services. The homebuilding segment is engaged in the business of acquiring and developing land, constructing homes, marketing and selling those homes and providing warranty and customer services. It has operations in three regions: West, Central and East, which are comprised of 12 states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Utah, Texas, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee. These three regions are its principal homebuilding segments. The financial services segment offers title and escrow, mortgage, and insurance services. Its financial services operations also provide mortgage services to its homebuyers through an unconsolidated joint venture. The Company’s homebuilding activities are conducted under the name of Meritage Homes in each of its homebuilding markets.

AI analysis of Meritage Homes Corp (MTH)

Sell

Meritage Homes Corp is not a good buy right now. The current price is $58.81, which is below the analyst price target of $65 from Evercore ISI and significantly lower than the $72 target from Truist. Additionally, the RSI is at a low 24.531, indicating oversold conditions, but the overall trend is negative with a 5-day change of -7.89%. The main risk is the recent downgrade from Melius Research, which cites a price target of $59, suggesting further downside potential.

Analyst Ratings (13)

+41.84% upside
Hold
1 Buy
10 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 60.28
Low
74.00
Average
85.50
High
104.00

Goldman Sachs

2026-10-12

Price Target

$82

Buy

Melius Research

2026-10-06

Price Target

$244

Buy

Evercore ISI

2026-09-25

Price Target

$65

In Line

Truist

2026-09-16

Price Target

$72

Hold

UBS

2026-07-31

Price Target

$88

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) is 12.48, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 7.71.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
7.71
Current P/E
12.48
Overvalued
10.37
Undervalued
5.06

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.67
Current EV/EBITDA
9.86
Overvalued
9.71
Undervalued
3.63

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.77
Current P/S
0.67
Overvalued
0.96
Undervalued
0.59

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for MTH

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%MTH

$55.44

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%MTH

$53.31

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%MTH

$41.48

Scenario price

Whales holding MTH

G

Greenhaven Associates Inc

+ HoldingMTH

+3.36%

3M Return

A

Atlas FRM LLC

+ HoldingMTH

-5.60%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-29 (ET)

17:00:00

Meritage Updates 2026 Home Closing Volume and Revenue Guidance

17:00:00

Meritage Homes Expects 5%-10% Community Count Growth for FY26

17:00:00

Meritage Homes Q2 Revenue at $1.4B, Below Consensus

2026-04-22 (ET)

16:40:00

Meritage Homes Reports Q1 Revenue of $1.117B

16:40:00

Company Updates 2026 Home Closing Volume and Revenue Guidance

News

MTH FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Meritage Homes Corporation is a designer and builder of single-family attached and detached homes. The Company’s segments include homebuilding and financial services. The homebuilding segment is engaged in the business of acquiring and developing land, constructing homes, marketing and selling those homes and providing warranty and customer services. It has operations in three regions: West, Central and East, which are comprised of 12 states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Utah, Texas, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee. These three regions are its principal homebuilding segments. The financial services segment offers title and escrow, mortgage, and insurance services. Its financial services operations also provide mortgage services to its homebuyers through an unconsolidated joint venture. The Company’s homebuilding activities are conducted under the name of Meritage Homes in each of its homebuilding markets. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (OPERATIVE BUILDERS industry).

Meritage Homes Corp is not a good buy right now. The current price is $58.81, which is below the analyst price target of $65 from Evercore ISI and significantly lower than the $72 target from Truist. Additionally, the RSI is at a low 24.531, indicating oversold conditions, but the overall trend is negative with a 5-day change of -7.89%. The main risk is the recent downgrade from Melius Research, which cites a price target of $59, suggesting further downside potential.

13 analysts cover MTH: 1 rate it Buy, 10 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 85.50.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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