Meritage Homes Corp

Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) Stock Analysis

$71.060

+0.533 (+0.75%)At close

Loading chart…
High
72.295
Open
70.960
VWAP
71.14
Vol
477.59K
Mkt Cap
Low
70.050
Amount
33.97M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
11.25

Meritage Homes Corporation is a designer and builder of single-family attached and detached homes. The Company’s segments include homebuilding and financial services. The homebuilding segment is engaged in the business of acquiring and developing land, constructing homes, marketing and selling those homes and providing warranty and customer services. It has operations in three regions: West, Central and East, which are comprised of 12 states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Utah, Texas, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee. These three regions are its principal homebuilding segments. The financial services segment offers title and escrow, mortgage, and insurance services. Its financial services operations also provide mortgage services to its homebuyers through an unconsolidated joint venture. The Company’s homebuilding activities are conducted under the name of Meritage Homes in each of its homebuilding markets.

AI analysis of Meritage Homes Corp (MTH)

hold

Meritage Homes is currently priced at $71.06, with a forward P/E ratio of 12.48, indicating potential value. However, the RSI is at 42.63, suggesting it is nearing oversold conditions. The company has downgraded its revenue guidance by 5% compared to last year, which raises concerns about future performance. Therefore, while there is potential for recovery, the recent guidance downgrade and mixed analyst ratings suggest a cautious approach is warranted.

Analyst Ratings (13)

+20.32% upside
Hold
1 Buy
10 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 71.06
Low
74.00
Average
85.50
High
104.00

UBS

2026-07-31

Price Target

$88

Buy

BofA

2026-07-09

Price Target

Neutral

JPMorgan

2026-04-28

Price Target

$58

Neutral

Keefe Bruyette

2026-04-28

Price Target

$75

Market Perform

UBS

2026-04-24

Price Target

$86

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) is 12.48, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 7.52.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
7.52
Current P/E
12.48
Overvalued
10.09
Undervalued
4.94

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.51
Current EV/EBITDA
11.25
Overvalued
9.51
Undervalued
3.51

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.77
Current P/S
0.79
Overvalued
0.96
Undervalued
0.59

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for MTH

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%MTH

$55.44

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%MTH

$53.31

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%MTH

$41.48

Scenario price

Whales holding MTH

G

Greenhaven Associates Inc

+ HoldingMTH

+5.94%

3M Return

A

Algert Global LLC

+ HoldingMTH

-4.08%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-29 (ET)

17:00:00

Meritage Homes Q2 Revenue at $1.4B, Below Consensus

17:00:00

Meritage Updates 2026 Home Closing Volume and Revenue Guidance

17:00:00

Meritage Homes Expects 5%-10% Community Count Growth for FY26

2026-04-22 (ET)

16:40:00

Meritage Homes Reports Q1 Revenue of $1.117B

16:40:00

Company Updates 2026 Home Closing Volume and Revenue Guidance

News

MTH FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Meritage Homes Corporation is a designer and builder of single-family attached and detached homes. The Company’s segments include homebuilding and financial services. The homebuilding segment is engaged in the business of acquiring and developing land, constructing homes, marketing and selling those homes and providing warranty and customer services. It has operations in three regions: West, Central and East, which are comprised of 12 states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Utah, Texas, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee. These three regions are its principal homebuilding segments. The financial services segment offers title and escrow, mortgage, and insurance services. Its financial services operations also provide mortgage services to its homebuyers through an unconsolidated joint venture. The Company’s homebuilding activities are conducted under the name of Meritage Homes in each of its homebuilding markets. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (OPERATIVE BUILDERS industry).

Meritage Homes is currently priced at $71.06, with a forward P/E ratio of 12.48, indicating potential value. However, the RSI is at 42.63, suggesting it is nearing oversold conditions. The company has downgraded its revenue guidance by 5% compared to last year, which raises concerns about future performance. Therefore, while there is potential for recovery, the recent guidance downgrade and mixed analyst ratings suggest a cautious approach is warranted.

13 analysts cover MTH: 1 rate it Buy, 10 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 85.50.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Get Started