Prediction Markets
Live Polymarket events with AI fair-value analysis.
Trending
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on August 31?
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
Pro Trader Plays
Top consensus plays from consistently profitable traders
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 14?
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 14?
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Contrarian Plays
Top consensus plays from traders who consistently hit outsized winners.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 960m by August 31?
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?
Near-Certain Plays
High probability opportunities with limited profit that resolve within 48 hours.
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 14?
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 14?
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 14?
High Risk Reward Play
Plays favored by traders who prioritize risk reward over accuracy.
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 14?
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 14?
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 14?
All Events
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves - Player Props
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics - Player Props
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Low Cortisol (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs Anna Kalinskaya
Brownsburg (Doubles): Rai/Watt vs Kittay/Romboli
Collingwood Magpies vs. Brisbane Lions
BNB Up or Down - August 16, 6AM ET
HYPE Up or Down - August 16, 6AM ET
Finland vs. Sweden