Burlington Stores, Inc.

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Analysis

$272.950

-16.049 (-5.88%)At close

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High
292.500
Open
291.300
VWAP
279.39
Vol
2.89M
Mkt Cap
15.21B
Low
272.715
Amount
808.40M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
16.84

Burlington Stores, Inc. is an off-price retailer of branded merchandise at everyday low prices. The Company’s stores offer an extensive selection of in-season, fashion-focused merchandise, including women’s ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, baby, beauty, footwear, accessories, home, toys, gifts and coats. Its broad selection provides a wide range of apparel, accessories and furnishings for all ages. It sells a broad selection of merchandise acquired directly from manufacturers and other suppliers. It has six distribution centers. Its three east coast distribution centers are located in Edgewater Park, New Jersey; Burlington, New Jersey; and Logan, New Jersey. Its three west coast distribution centers are located in San Bernardino, California, Redlands, California, and Riverside, California. These six distribution centers occupy an aggregate of 5,135,000 square feet, and each includes processing, shipping and storage capabilities. It operates in about 1,108 stores.

AI analysis of Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL)

hold

Burlington Stores Inc is currently priced at $272.95, which is significantly below the average analyst price target of $365, indicating potential upside. However, the stock has seen a 5-day decline of 16.40% and a 20-day decline of 25.93%, suggesting recent negative momentum. The RSI is extremely low at 5.619, indicating the stock may be oversold. The main risk is the lowered earnings guidance, with Q3 EPS expected to be between $1.60 and $1.70, down from $1.80 in the same quarter last year, which reflects increased competition pressure. Given the mixed signals, it is advisable to hold rather than buy at this time.

Analyst Ratings (20)

+22.59% upside
Buy
17 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 272.95
Low
310.00
Average
334.62
High
363.00

Citi

2026-08-28

Price Target

$318

Hold

Morgan Stanley

2026-08-28

Price Target

$432

Overweight

BofA

2026-08-28

Price Target

$365

Buy

Wells Fargo

2026-08-28

Price Target

$370

Overweight

Bernstein

2026-08-28

Price Target

$355

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) is 25.77, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 29.36.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
29.36
Current P/E
25.77
Overvalued
36.26
Undervalued
22.45

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
17.65
Current EV/EBITDA
16.84
Overvalued
20.60
Undervalued
14.69

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.36
Current P/S
1.30
Overvalued
1.63
Undervalued
1.09

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for BURL

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%BURL

$264.61

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%BURL

$220.83

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%BURL

$164.11

Scenario price

Whales holding BURL

S

Sculptor Capital Management, Inc.

+ HoldingBURL

+9.80%

3M Return

C

Chicago Capital, LLC

+ HoldingBURL

+3.31%

3M Return

B

Boothbay Fund Management, LLC

+ HoldingBURL

+0.22%

3M Return

V

Vaughan Nelson Investment Management, L.P.

+ HoldingBURL

-0.30%

3M Return

A

Alyeska Investment Group, L.P.

+ HoldingBURL

-0.45%

3M Return

A

Alkeon Capital Management, LLC

+ HoldingBURL

-3.11%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-27 (ET)

16:30:00

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12:30:00

Nasdaq Rises 350.95 Points on Nvidia Earnings

09:00:00

Nvidia Projects 70% Revenue Growth for Next Fiscal Year

07:00:00

2026 EPS Consensus at $11.84

07:00:00

Sees Q3 Revenue Growth View of 9%-11%

News

BURL FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Burlington Stores, Inc. is an off-price retailer of branded merchandise at everyday low prices. The Company’s stores offer an extensive selection of in-season, fashion-focused merchandise, including women’s ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, baby, beauty, footwear, accessories, home, toys, gifts and coats. Its broad selection provides a wide range of apparel, accessories and furnishings for all ages. It sells a broad selection of merchandise acquired directly from manufacturers and other suppliers. It has six distribution centers. Its three east coast distribution centers are located in Edgewater Park, New Jersey; Burlington, New Jersey; and Logan, New Jersey. Its three west coast distribution centers are located in San Bernardino, California, Redlands, California, and Riverside, California. These six distribution centers occupy an aggregate of 5,135,000 square feet, and each includes processing, shipping and storage capabilities. It operates in about 1,108 stores. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (RETAIL-DEPARTMENT STORES industry).

Burlington Stores Inc is currently priced at $272.95, which is significantly below the average analyst price target of $365, indicating potential upside. However, the stock has seen a 5-day decline of 16.40% and a 20-day decline of 25.93%, suggesting recent negative momentum. The RSI is extremely low at 5.619, indicating the stock may be oversold. The main risk is the lowered earnings guidance, with Q3 EPS expected to be between $1.60 and $1.70, down from $1.80 in the same quarter last year, which reflects increased competition pressure. Given the mixed signals, it is advisable to hold rather than buy at this time.

20 analysts cover BURL: 17 rate it Buy, 3 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 334.62.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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