Churchill Downs Inc

Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) Stock Analysis

$80.020

-1.024 (-1.28%)At close

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High
81.200
Open
80.870
VWAP
79.96
Volume
1.21M
Mkt Cap
10.33B
Low
78.650
Amount
96.59M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
7.41

Churchill Downs Incorporated is a racing, online wagering and gaming entertainment company, which is anchored by its flagship event, the Kentucky Derby. The Company operates through three reportable segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services and Solutions, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment includes live and historical pari-mutuel racing at Churchill Downs Racetrack and its historical racing properties in Kentucky, Virginia and New Hampshire. The Wagering Services and Solutions segment includes TwinSpires, which is a retail and online sports betting business; United Tote Company, which manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, off-track betting facilities (OTBs), and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses; and Exacta Systems, LLC that provides central determinant system technology in historical racing machine (HRMs) across the country. The Gaming segment is engaged in the casino properties and associated racetrack facilities.

AI analysis of Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN)

Buy

Churchill Downs Inc is a good buy right now due to its current price of $79.96, which is significantly below the analyst price targets of $138 and $119. The company reported record revenue of $980 million in Q2 2026, reflecting a strong growth momentum. However, the main risk is the recent downgrade from Mizuho, lowering the price target from $157 to $125, indicating potential volatility ahead.

Analyst Ratings (3)

+71.62% upside
Hold
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 80.02
Low
125.00
Average
137.33
High
146.00

Mizuho

2026-08-03

Price Target

$157

Outperform

BofA

2026-08-03

Price Target

$100

Buy

Susquehanna

2026-07-31

Price Target

$124

Positive

Citizens

2026-07-31

Price Target

$137

Outperform

Wells Fargo

2026-07-14

Price Target

$120

Overweight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) is 22.94, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 21.13.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
21.13
Current P/E
22.94
Overvalued
24.86
Undervalued
17.41

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
11.61
Current EV/EBITDA
7.41
Overvalued
13.18
Undervalued
10.04

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
3.23
Current P/S
1.80
Overvalued
4.08
Undervalued
2.39

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for CHDN

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%CHDN

$122.53

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%CHDN

$111.23

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%CHDN

$110.96

Scenario price

Whales holding CHDN

C

Community Trust and Investment Company

+ HoldingCHDN

+5.52%

3M Return

A

ArrowMark Colorado Holdings, LLC

+ HoldingCHDN

-3.45%

3M Return

D

Discovery Capital Management, LLC

+ HoldingCHDN

-6.24%

3M Return

I

Interval Partners, LP

+ HoldingCHDN

-13.29%

3M Return

A

Apollo Global Management, Inc.

+ HoldingCHDN

-16.41%

3M Return

CHDN FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Churchill Downs Incorporated is a racing, online wagering and gaming entertainment company, which is anchored by its flagship event, the Kentucky Derby. The Company operates through three reportable segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services and Solutions, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment includes live and historical pari-mutuel racing at Churchill Downs Racetrack and its historical racing properties in Kentucky, Virginia and New Hampshire. The Wagering Services and Solutions segment includes TwinSpires, which is a retail and online sports betting business; United Tote Company, which manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, off-track betting facilities (OTBs), and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses; and Exacta Systems, LLC that provides central determinant system technology in historical racing machine (HRMs) across the country. The Gaming segment is engaged in the casino properties and associated racetrack facilities. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (SERVICES-RACING, INCLUDING TRACK OPERATION industry).

Churchill Downs Inc is a good buy right now due to its current price of $79.96, which is significantly below the analyst price targets of $138 and $119. The company reported record revenue of $980 million in Q2 2026, reflecting a strong growth momentum. However, the main risk is the recent downgrade from Mizuho, lowering the price target from $157 to $125, indicating potential volatility ahead.

3 analysts cover CHDN: 1 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 137.33.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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