Monarch Casino & Resort Inc

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) Stock Analysis

$112.680

-0.811 (-0.72%)At close

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High
113.000
Open
112.585
VWAP
112.56
Volume
142.49K
Mkt Cap
1.28B
Low
111.990
Amount
16.04M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
9.15

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. owns and operates the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, a hotel and casino in Reno, Nevada (Atlantis) and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk (Monarch Black Hawk), a hotel and casino in Black Hawk, Colorado. The Monarch Black Hawk features approximately 60,000 square feet of casino space; over 1,000 slot machines; over 43 table games; a live poker room; a keno counter and a sports book. The resort also includes over 10 bars and lounges. The Atlantis is located over three miles south of downtown, which features over 61,000 square feet of casino space; over 817 guest rooms and suites; eight food outlets; two gourmet coffee and pastry bars and one snack bar; a 30,000 square-foot health spa and salon with an enclosed year-round pool: one retail outlet offering clothing and gift shop merchandise; an 8,000 square-foot family entertainment center, and over 52,000 square feet of banquet, convention and meeting room space.

AI analysis of Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI)

Hold

Currently, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) is not a strong buy. The stock is trading at $113.59, with a low RSI of 32.601 indicating it may be oversold, but the forward P/E ratio of 16.9492 suggests it is fairly valued. Additionally, insider selling has increased by 193.58%, which raises concerns about insider confidence. The stock has shown a year-to-date change of +18.27%, but recent performance has been declining, with a 20-day change of -6.49%.

Analyst Ratings (5)

-11.25% Downside
Buy
3 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 112.68
Low
91.00
Average
100.00
High
112.00

Texas Capital

2026-09-09

Price Target

$47

Buy

CBRE

2026-07-21

Price Target

—

Hold

Wells Fargo

2026-07-21

Price Target

$114

Equal Weight

Stifel

2026-07-21

Price Target

$128

Hold

Wells Fargo

2026-07-14

Price Target

$116

Equal Weight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) is 16.95, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 16.28.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
16.28
Current P/E
16.95
Overvalued
18.11
Undervalued
14.46

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
8.40
Current EV/EBITDA
9.15
Overvalued
9.35
Undervalued
7.44

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
2.89
Current P/S
3.49
Overvalued
3.30
Undervalued
2.49

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for MCRI

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%MCRI

$77.97

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%MCRI

$73.82

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%MCRI

$70.42

Scenario price

Whales holding MCRI

T

Tributary Capital Management, LLC

+ HoldingMCRI

-12.79%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-20 (ET)

17:30:00

Monarch Reports Q2 Revenue of $142.6M

2026-04-21 (ET)

19:30:00

U.S. Indices Retreat as Energy Sector Gains

16:10:00

Monarch Reports Q1 Revenue of $136.55M

2026-02-04 (ET)

16:20:00

Monarch Reports Q4 Revenue of $140M, a Record High

2025-10-21 (ET)

16:06:20

Monarch Casino Announces Q3 Earnings Per Share of $1.69, Exceeding Consensus Estimate of $1.56

News

MCRI FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. owns and operates the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, a hotel and casino in Reno, Nevada (Atlantis) and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk (Monarch Black Hawk), a hotel and casino in Black Hawk, Colorado. The Monarch Black Hawk features approximately 60,000 square feet of casino space; over 1,000 slot machines; over 43 table games; a live poker room; a keno counter and a sports book. The resort also includes over 10 bars and lounges. The Atlantis is located over three miles south of downtown, which features over 61,000 square feet of casino space; over 817 guest rooms and suites; eight food outlets; two gourmet coffee and pastry bars and one snack bar; a 30,000 square-foot health spa and salon with an enclosed year-round pool: one retail outlet offering clothing and gift shop merchandise; an 8,000 square-foot family entertainment center, and over 52,000 square feet of banquet, convention and meeting room space. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (HOTELS & MOTELS industry).

Currently, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) is not a strong buy. The stock is trading at $113.59, with a low RSI of 32.601 indicating it may be oversold, but the forward P/E ratio of 16.9492 suggests it is fairly valued. Additionally, insider selling has increased by 193.58%, which raises concerns about insider confidence. The stock has shown a year-to-date change of +18.27%, but recent performance has been declining, with a 20-day change of -6.49%.

5 analysts cover MCRI: 3 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 100.00.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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