American Airlines Group Inc.

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stock Analysis

$13.640

-0.079 (-0.58%)At close

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High
13.925
Open
13.830
VWAP
13.72
Vol
63.51M
Mkt Cap
7.40B
Low
13.610
Amount
871.61M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
11.43

American Airlines Group Inc. is a holding company. Its primary business activity is the operation of a major network air carrier, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, D.C. and partner gateways, including in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney and Tokyo, among others. Together with its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers operating as American Eagle. Its cargo division provides a wide range of freight and mail services, with facilities and interline connections available across the globe. It operates approximately 1,013 mainline aircraft supported by its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers, which together operate an additional 567 regional aircraft. Its subsidiaries include American Airlines, Inc., Envoy Aviation Group Inc., PSA Airlines, Inc. and Piedmont Airlines, Inc.

AI analysis of American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)

hold

American Airlines Group Inc is not a strong buy at the current price of $13.64, given the RSI of 32.407 indicating oversold conditions, and the forward P/E ratio of 43.29 suggesting high valuation relative to earnings expectations. The recent downgrades from analysts, particularly TD Cowen reducing the price target from $24 to $16, highlight concerns over rising fuel costs impacting profitability. The main risk is the hedge fund selling trend, which has increased by 195.86% over the last quarter, indicating a lack of confidence among institutional investors.

Analyst Ratings (18)

+31.45% upside
Buy
9 Buy
7 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 13.64
Low
11.00
Average
17.93
High
22.00

TD Cowen

2026-08-24

Price Target

$16

Buy

UBS

2026-07-27

Price Target

$18

Buy

Jefferies

2026-07-26

Price Target

$15

Hold

JPMorgan

2026-07-24

Price Target

$24

Overweight

BMO Capital

2026-07-24

Price Target

$19

Market Perform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) is 43.29, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 11.65.

Forward P/E

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
11.65
Current P/E
43.29
Overvalued
25.33
Undervalued
-2.02

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
8.36
Current EV/EBITDA
11.43
Overvalued
13.07
Undervalued
3.65

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.18
Current P/S
0.14
Overvalued
0.22
Undervalued
0.13

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for AAL

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%AAL

$11.94

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%AAL

$11.59

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%AAL

$9.79

Scenario price

Whales holding AAL

P

Par Capital Management, Inc.

+ HoldingAAL

+13.70%

3M Return

S

Sound Shore Management, Inc.

+ HoldingAAL

+2.18%

3M Return

P

Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P.

+ HoldingAAL

-0.24%

3M Return

B

BW Gestao de Investimentos Ltda.

+ HoldingAAL

-0.51%

3M Return

P

PRIMECAP Management Company

+ HoldingAAL

-4.43%

3M Return

L

Leonteq AG

+ HoldingAAL

-5.34%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-12 (ET)

17:00:00

Dow Jones Index Dips Slightly as CPI Report Meets Expectations

13:00:00

Apple Appoints American Airlines Executive as Head of Government Affairs

13:00:00

Apple Appoints American Airlines Veteran as New Head of Government Affairs

2026-08-04 (ET)

17:00:00

American Airlines Shares Up 3.21% to $16.55

News

AAL FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

American Airlines Group Inc. is a holding company. Its primary business activity is the operation of a major network air carrier, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, D.C. and partner gateways, including in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney and Tokyo, among others. Together with its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers operating as American Eagle. Its cargo division provides a wide range of freight and mail services, with facilities and interline connections available across the globe. It operates approximately 1,013 mainline aircraft supported by its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers, which together operate an additional 567 regional aircraft. Its subsidiaries include American Airlines, Inc., Envoy Aviation Group Inc., PSA Airlines, Inc. and Piedmont Airlines, Inc. It operates in the Industrials sector (AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED industry).

American Airlines Group Inc is not a strong buy at the current price of $13.64, given the RSI of 32.407 indicating oversold conditions, and the forward P/E ratio of 43.29 suggesting high valuation relative to earnings expectations. The recent downgrades from analysts, particularly TD Cowen reducing the price target from $24 to $16, highlight concerns over rising fuel costs impacting profitability. The main risk is the hedge fund selling trend, which has increased by 195.86% over the last quarter, indicating a lack of confidence among institutional investors.

18 analysts cover AAL: 9 rate it Buy, 7 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 17.93.

Esta página es solo para investigación y no constituye asesoramiento de inversión. Los modelos pueden equivocarse. El rendimiento pasado no garantiza resultados futuros.

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