Valero Energy Corp

Valero Energy Corp (VLO) Stock Analysis

$459.780

+3.356 (+0.73%)At close

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High
461.520
Open
459.790
VWAP
457.60
Volume
2.12M
Mkt Cap
—
Low
451.500
Amount
972.33M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
6.50

Valero Energy Corporation, through its subsidiaries, is a multinational manufacturer and marketer of petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products. The Company sells its products primarily in the United States (U.S.), Canada, the United Kingdom (U.K.), Ireland, and Latin America. It operates through three segments, which include Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The Refining segment includes the operations of its petroleum refineries, the associated activities to market its refined petroleum products, and the logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Renewable Diesel segment represents the operations of Diamond Green Diesel (DGD), and the associated activities to market low-carbon fuels, renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). The Ethanol segment includes the operations of its ethanol plants and the associated activities to market its ethanol and co-products.

AI analysis of Valero Energy Corp (VLO)

Buy

Valero Energy Corp (VLO) is a good buy right now, with a current price of $433.75 and a strong forward P/E ratio of 10.19, indicating potential for growth. The stock has shown impressive performance with a year-to-date change of +162.39% and a 1-year change of +168.73%, reflecting strong market confidence. However, the RSI is at 71.25, suggesting that the stock may be overbought and could face a correction risk.

Analyst Ratings (21)

-59.42% Downside
Hold
9 Buy
12 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 459.78
Low
149.00
Average
186.56
High
223.00

Jefferies

2026-10-08

Price Target

$394

Hold

Mizuho

2026-10-08

Price Target

$434

Neutral

Barclays

2026-10-06

Price Target

$441

Overweight

BofA

2026-10-02

Price Target

$414

Neutral

TD Cowen

2026-10-01

Price Target

$375

Hold

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Valero Energy Corp (VLO) is 10.19, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 10.81.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
10.81
Current P/E
10.19
Overvalued
15.81
Undervalued
5.81

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.31
Current EV/EBITDA
6.50
Overvalued
8.40
Undervalued
4.22

Forward P/S

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
0.38
Current P/S
0.93
Overvalued
0.52
Undervalued
0.25

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for VLO

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%VLO

$119.71

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%VLO

$100.76

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%VLO

$84.55

Scenario price

Whales holding VLO

H

Howard Capital Management, Inc.

+ HoldingVLO

+15.93%

3M Return

A

Allspring Global Investments, LLC

+ HoldingVLO

+8.46%

3M Return

M

Martingale Asset Management, L.P.

+ HoldingVLO

+7.91%

3M Return

E

Empowered Funds, LLC

+ HoldingVLO

+7.38%

3M Return

P

Putnam LLC

+ HoldingVLO

+7.26%

3M Return

T

The Huntington Trust Company, National Association

+ HoldingVLO

+6.72%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-13 (ET)

13:30:00

U.S. Uses Defense Production Act to Expand Delek Refinery

2026-09-29 (ET)

10:30:00

Trump Announces $15B Steel Factory Investment in Iowa

2026-09-28 (ET)

16:30:00

Major Averages Decline as Oil Prices Come into Focus

09:30:00

Par Pacific Appoints Jerry Stumbo as Executive Vice President

News

VLO FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Valero Energy Corporation, through its subsidiaries, is a multinational manufacturer and marketer of petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products. The Company sells its products primarily in the United States (U.S.), Canada, the United Kingdom (U.K.), Ireland, and Latin America. It operates through three segments, which include Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The Refining segment includes the operations of its petroleum refineries, the associated activities to market its refined petroleum products, and the logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Renewable Diesel segment represents the operations of Diamond Green Diesel (DGD), and the associated activities to market low-carbon fuels, renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). The Ethanol segment includes the operations of its ethanol plants and the associated activities to market its ethanol and co-products. It operates in the Energy sector (PETROLEUM REFINING industry).

Valero Energy Corp (VLO) is a good buy right now, with a current price of $433.75 and a strong forward P/E ratio of 10.19, indicating potential for growth. The stock has shown impressive performance with a year-to-date change of +162.39% and a 1-year change of +168.73%, reflecting strong market confidence. However, the RSI is at 71.25, suggesting that the stock may be overbought and could face a correction risk.

21 analysts cover VLO: 9 rate it Buy, 12 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 186.56.

Community

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0xHyperfarmer9/21/2026

$VLO Earnings estimates are rising sharply for the refiners. Three estimates were raised on Valero in the last week, pushing its 2026 Zacks Consensus Estimate to $48.58 from $41.95. It made only $10.61 last year. Analysts can't keep up with record crack spreads in diesel and jet fuel.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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