ConocoPhillips

ConocoPhillips (COP) Stock Analysis

$150.800

+5.353 (+3.55%)At close

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High
152.770
Open
147.110
VWAP
149.89
Volume
7.25M
Mkt Cap
132.70B
Low
146.110
Amount
1.09B
EV/EBITDA, TTM
5.69

ConocoPhillips is an exploration and production company. The Companies segments include Alaska; Lower 48 (L48); Canada; Europe, Middle East and North Africa (EMENA); and Asia Pacific (AP). Its Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The Lower 48 segment consists of operations located in the 48 contiguous states in the United States. Canadian operations consist of the Surmont oil sands development in Alberta, the liquids-rich Montney unconventional play in British Columbia and commercial operations. The Europe, Middle East and North Africa segment consists of operations principally located in the Norwegian sector of the North Sea, the Norwegian Sea, Qatar, Libya, Equatorial Guinea and commercial and terminalling operations in the United Kingdom. Asia Pacific segment has exploration and production operations in China, Malaysia, Australia and commercial operations in China, Singapore and Japan.

AI analysis of ConocoPhillips (COP)

Buy

ConocoPhillips appears to be a good buy right now due to its strong recent performance and positive market sentiment. The current price is $146.51, which is significantly below the highest analyst price target of $174 from Jefferies, indicating a potential upside of 18.7%. Additionally, the stock has shown a remarkable year-to-date change of +51.51%, reflecting strong investor interest. However, the risk of insider selling has increased by 104.22% over the last month, which could signal caution for potential investors.

Analyst Ratings (21)

-23.30% Downside
Buy
15 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 150.80
Low
98.00
Average
115.67
High
133.00

Truist

2026-10-07

Price Target

$136

Hold

Jefferies

2026-10-06

Price Target

$174

Buy

UBS

2026-09-14

Price Target

$169

Buy

Stifel

2026-09-09

Price Target

$148

Hold

Seaport Research

2026-09-02

Price Target

—

Neutral

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for ConocoPhillips (COP) is 12.74, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 12.20.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
12.20
Current P/E
12.74
Overvalued
15.40
Undervalued
9.00

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
5.27
Current EV/EBITDA
5.69
Overvalued
6.10
Undervalued
4.45

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
2.09
Current P/S
2.52
Overvalued
2.36
Undervalued
1.82

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for COP

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%COP

$95.23

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%COP

$80.70

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%COP

$70.41

Scenario price

Whales holding COP

T

Turtle Creek Management, LLC

+ HoldingCOP

+17.12%

3M Return

K

Kornitzer Capital Management, Inc.

+ HoldingCOP

+11.01%

3M Return

U

U.S. Capital Wealth Advisors, LLC

+ HoldingCOP

+9.34%

3M Return

E

Entropy Technologies, LP

+ HoldingCOP

+9.07%

3M Return

Y

Yacktman Asset Management LP

+ HoldingCOP

+7.18%

3M Return

R

Recurrent Investment Advisors LLC

+ HoldingCOP

+7.11%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-23 (ET)

10:00:00

Crown Castle Stock Rises $8.94 to $87.77

2026-10-08 (ET)

16:30:00

Major Averages Decline Amid Rising Oil Prices

12:30:00

Major Averages Decline as Oil Prices Surge

2026-10-01 (ET)

17:00:00

Venture Global and ConocoPhillips Sign Long-Term LNG Agreement

News

COP FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

ConocoPhillips is an exploration and production company. The Companies segments include Alaska; Lower 48 (L48); Canada; Europe, Middle East and North Africa (EMENA); and Asia Pacific (AP). Its Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The Lower 48 segment consists of operations located in the 48 contiguous states in the United States. Canadian operations consist of the Surmont oil sands development in Alberta, the liquids-rich Montney unconventional play in British Columbia and commercial operations. The Europe, Middle East and North Africa segment consists of operations principally located in the Norwegian sector of the North Sea, the Norwegian Sea, Qatar, Libya, Equatorial Guinea and commercial and terminalling operations in the United Kingdom. Asia Pacific segment has exploration and production operations in China, Malaysia, Australia and commercial operations in China, Singapore and Japan. It operates in the Energy sector (PETROLEUM REFINING industry).

ConocoPhillips appears to be a good buy right now due to its strong recent performance and positive market sentiment. The current price is $146.51, which is significantly below the highest analyst price target of $174 from Jefferies, indicating a potential upside of 18.7%. Additionally, the stock has shown a remarkable year-to-date change of +51.51%, reflecting strong investor interest. However, the risk of insider selling has increased by 104.22% over the last month, which could signal caution for potential investors.

21 analysts cover COP: 15 rate it Buy, 6 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 115.67.

Community

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alphacitadel5 days ago

ConocoPhillips has stated plainly that Venezuela needs at least a decade and billions of dollars to restore its oil industry. Meanwhile, what about USDT? The oil company set two conditions as heavy as concrete blocks: genuine stability and a sound fiscal framework. Without these, any energy recovery plan will remain on paper only. The oil industry needs cranes and foreign capital, while Venezuela's digital financial system is already running under existing conditions: mobile payments, transfers, and stablecoins. USDT is no longer a niche topic but a daily safe haven for merchants and professionals; over the next decade, political cycles, sanctions changes, and unexpected events may all follow. USDT/VES trading volume shifts with headlines, and that is no coincidence. When official narratives promise rapid recovery while technical assessments point to a decade, the gap between expectations and reality translates into trading activity in the P2P market. What does this mean for your business? Hedging plans cannot be built on promises but should rely on tools that already exist: Venezuela's P2P ecosystem is the buffer. Merchants who cannot open a dollar account abroad can still accept USDT. Professionals receiving payments from overseas can get stablecoins in minutes. Full analysis: 👉 #P2P #Oil #USDT #Venezuela

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alphacitadel6 days ago

🛢️ ExxonMobil, Citgo and P2P: What the Market Is Really Watching Economist José Toro Hardy has once again highlighted an uncomfortable point: when the crude oil market tightens, attention turns to the Caribbean — a country with no history of war, enormous proven reserves, and a production ceiling it has not touched in a decade. The interest is real, and exploration activity is real, but the contracts signed so far are not enough to support the production jump everyone is expecting. His conclusion: without strong financial backing, you cannot drill. The name he keeps mentioning is ExxonMobil — not out of preference, but because it has ample cash strength: the company can easily write checks worth billions of dollars. He says the debate is not just about oil, but about foreign exchange flows. Another chapter is ConocoPhillips: it won an international lawsuit against Venezuela and hopes to be compensated through shares in Citgo Petroleum, a U.S.-based refining company. Toro Hardy proposed a chess-like plan: invite them back to Cerro Negro, return the relevant blocks, or even double them, but with two conditions — they must invest and withdraw the lawsuit against Citgo. In practice, this would run into a maze of legal, political and sanctions issues. But if this knot can be untied, the scale of capital flowing into the country would be something not seen at present, bringing fresh foreign exchange that does not depend on the monthly trickle of oil revenue. 💵 What does this mean for the dollar and P2P? The parallel exchange rate does not react to statements; it reacts to actual foreign exchange supply and demand. When more external funds flow in through formal channels, exchange rate pressure eases; when capital flows dry up, the parallel rate surges and the gap with the BCV rate widens. The arrival of large-scale oil investment will not be immediate — contracts, drilling, production, exports: it takes years, not weeks — but expectations do matter: before the first barrel is extracted, foreign exchange traders are already pricing expectations in. 📊 USDT is the thermometer of the parallel market: when uncertainty rises, stablecoin demand rises; when there are more signals of dollar inflows into the country, the spread between the P2P rate and the official dollar rate tends to narrow. There is also a less-mentioned effect: the arrival of foreign companies brings suppliers, contractors, technicians and employees paid in dollars — many of these payments will ultimately be made through crypto for speed and lower cost. Oil investment will also bring enterprise-level USDT demand. 🏦 No serious oil company will enter a country lacking a financial system capable of transferring funds in a traceable way. Digital banks must demonstrate their correspondent banking relationships, compliance capabilities and international standards. Here, the crypto ecosystem no longer serves only as an informal safe haven, but as infrastructure: collection, settlement, exchange, and delivery within minutes. 🔭 Three signals PitbullChain is watching: (1) contracts signed with strong operators, not just announcements; (2) how the gap between the BCV rate and the parallel rate changes in the weeks after any positive news; (3) whether the rise in USDT demand on P2P is due to seasonal factors or an actual structural change. For now, the whole drama is still at the script stage. Until the hardest questions are resolved — how to build and sustain trust over the long term — Venezuelans will keep doing what they do best: protecting themselves with digital dollars and watching the market minute by minute. 👉 Read the full analysis: #Petróleo #USDT #P2P #Venezuela

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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