Marathon Petroleum Corp

Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) Stock Analysis

$478.070

+1.147 (+0.24%)At close

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High
484.250
Open
480.610
VWAP
477.63
Volume
1.80M
Mkt Cap
60.92B
Low
470.560
Amount
860.58M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
7.01

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an integrated, downstream, and midstream energy company. The Company's segment includes Refining & Marketing, Midstream and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores and distributes crude oil, refined products, including renewable diesel, and other hydrocarbon-based products principally for the Refining & Marketing segment via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, and others. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets renewable diesel and distributes renewable products through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, to buyers on the spot market and through long-term supply contracts with dealers who operate locations under the ARCO brand.

AI analysis of Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)

Buy

Marathon Petroleum Corp is a good buy right now due to its current price of $455.03, which is below the analyst price target of $457 from Mizuho, indicating potential upside. Additionally, the company has a strong forward P/E ratio of 5.46, suggesting it is undervalued relative to its earnings potential. However, the RSI is at 76.81, indicating it may be nearing overbought territory, which is a risk to consider.

Analyst Ratings (19)

-57.85% Downside
Buy
14 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 478.07
Low
184.00
Average
201.50
High
213.00

Barclays

2026-10-12

Price Target

$488

Overweight

Jefferies

2026-10-11

Price Target

$433

Hold

Mizuho

2026-10-08

Price Target

$457

Neutral

BofA

2026-10-02

Price Target

$426

Neutral

TD Cowen

2026-10-01

Price Target

$450

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) is 5.46, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 11.16.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
11.16
Current P/E
5.46
Overvalued
16.97
Undervalued
5.34

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
7.17
Current EV/EBITDA
7.01
Overvalued
10.56
Undervalued
3.79

Forward P/S

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
0.42
Current P/S
0.93
Overvalued
0.52
Undervalued
0.32

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for MPC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%MPC

$128.97

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%MPC

$123.78

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%MPC

$122.56

Scenario price

Whales holding MPC

T

Turtle Creek Management, LLC

+ HoldingMPC

+19.26%

3M Return

H

Howard Capital Management, Inc.

+ HoldingMPC

+12.71%

3M Return

M

Martingale Asset Management, L.P.

+ HoldingMPC

+8.11%

3M Return

D

Distillate Capital Partners LLC

+ HoldingMPC

+7.23%

3M Return

R

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

+ HoldingMPC

+5.70%

3M Return

E

Empowered Funds, LLC

+ HoldingMPC

+5.30%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-13 (ET)

13:30:00

U.S. Uses Defense Production Act to Expand Delek Refinery

2026-10-08 (ET)

10:00:00

Accenture and Other Liquid Option Stocks Surge

2026-10-07 (ET)

10:00:00

Gilead and Others Notable Gainers in Liquid Options This Morning

2026-09-29 (ET)

10:30:00

Trump Announces $15B Steel Factory Investment in Iowa

2026-09-28 (ET)

16:30:00

Major Averages Decline as Oil Prices Come into Focus

News

MPC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an integrated, downstream, and midstream energy company. The Company's segment includes Refining & Marketing, Midstream and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores and distributes crude oil, refined products, including renewable diesel, and other hydrocarbon-based products principally for the Refining & Marketing segment via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, and others. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets renewable diesel and distributes renewable products through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, to buyers on the spot market and through long-term supply contracts with dealers who operate locations under the ARCO brand. It operates in the Energy sector (PETROLEUM REFINING industry).

Marathon Petroleum Corp is a good buy right now due to its current price of $455.03, which is below the analyst price target of $457 from Mizuho, indicating potential upside. Additionally, the company has a strong forward P/E ratio of 5.46, suggesting it is undervalued relative to its earnings potential. However, the RSI is at 76.81, indicating it may be nearing overbought territory, which is a risk to consider.

19 analysts cover MPC: 14 rate it Buy, 5 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 201.50.

Community

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dusk_circuit9/13/2026

Coinomi wallet now supports $MPC, expanding access to Partisia Blockchain through one of the longest-standing wallets in the ecosystem. #MPC $Wallet $GATE

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$MPC reached a new all-time high today. This is a strong period for refiners. Earnings are expected to rise 341% this year, supported by record crack spreads.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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