Upstart Holdings Inc

Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST) Stock Analysis

$22.740

-1.039 (-4.57%)At close

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High
23.350
Open
23.150
VWAP
22.77
Volume
5.02M
Mkt Cap
2.07B
Low
22.210
Amount
114.32M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
24.09

Upstart Holdings, Inc. is an artificial intelligence (AI) lending marketplace. The Company’s platform includes personal loans, automotive retail and refinance loans, home equity lines of credit (HELOCs), and small dollar loans. It applies artificial intelligence models and cloud applications to the process of underwriting consumer credit. Its AI marketplace connects consumers with its lending partner. Its consumers can access Upstart-powered loans via Upstart.com, through a lender-branded product on its lending partners’ own websites, and through auto dealerships that use its Upstart Auto Retail software. Its platform enables lenders provide a product their customers want, rather than letting customers seek loans from competitors. Its cloud-based software platform incorporates technologies and software development approaches to allow for development of new features, such as cloud-native technologies, data integrity and security, and configurable multi-tenant architecture, and others.

AI analysis of Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST)

Hold

Upstart Holdings Inc is not a strong buy at the moment. The current price is $24.1, with a forward P/E of 13.59, suggesting potential value, but the stock has declined 70% since last July, raising concerns about its future performance. Additionally, the RSI is at 52.45, indicating a neutral momentum, and while analysts have set a price target of $39.24, representing a 70% upside, the recent negative sentiment surrounding rising loan default risks poses a significant risk.

Analyst Ratings (3)

+149.47% upside
Sell
0 Buy
0 Hold
3 Sell
Current: 22.74
Low
20.00
Average
56.73
High
80.00

Loop Capital

2026-09-09

Price Target

$34

Hold

Citi

2026-07-22

Price Target

$61

Buy

Goldman Sachs

2026-07-09

Price Target

$39

Neutral

Needham

2026-07-07

Price Target

$40

Buy

Morgan Stanley

2026-05-07

Price Target

$35

Equal Weight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST) is 13.59, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -198.72.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
-198.72
Current P/E
13.59
Overvalued
745.30
Undervalued
-1142.75

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
85.24
Current EV/EBITDA
24.09
Overvalued
281.07
Undervalued
-110.58

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
4.82
Current P/S
1.22
Overvalued
8.54
Undervalued
1.10

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for UPST

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%UPST

$65.54

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%UPST

$61.48

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%UPST

$52.63

Scenario price

Whales holding UPST

C

Clear Street LLC

+ HoldingUPST

+9.41%

3M Return

G

GMT Capital Corp.

+ HoldingUPST

+2.52%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-07 (ET)

09:30:00

Credit Union of Denver Partners with Upstart

2026-10-05 (ET)

16:30:00

Nasdaq Rises Nearly 300 Points as Market Digests Jobs Report

12:30:00

Nasdaq Rises Nearly 200 Points, Led by Tech Stocks

08:00:00

Upstart Current UMI at 1.49, Down from 1.50 on September 3

2026-09-23 (ET)

09:30:00

Commonwealth Credit Union Expands Partnership with Upstart

News

UPST FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Upstart Holdings, Inc. is an artificial intelligence (AI) lending marketplace. The Company’s platform includes personal loans, automotive retail and refinance loans, home equity lines of credit (HELOCs), and small dollar loans. It applies artificial intelligence models and cloud applications to the process of underwriting consumer credit. Its AI marketplace connects consumers with its lending partner. Its consumers can access Upstart-powered loans via Upstart.com, through a lender-branded product on its lending partners’ own websites, and through auto dealerships that use its Upstart Auto Retail software. Its platform enables lenders provide a product their customers want, rather than letting customers seek loans from competitors. Its cloud-based software platform incorporates technologies and software development approaches to allow for development of new features, such as cloud-native technologies, data integrity and security, and configurable multi-tenant architecture, and others. It operates in the Financials sector (FINANCE SERVICES industry).

Upstart Holdings Inc is not a strong buy at the moment. The current price is $24.1, with a forward P/E of 13.59, suggesting potential value, but the stock has declined 70% since last July, raising concerns about its future performance. Additionally, the RSI is at 52.45, indicating a neutral momentum, and while analysts have set a price target of $39.24, representing a 70% upside, the recent negative sentiment surrounding rising loan default risks poses a significant risk.

3 analysts cover UPST: 0 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 3 Sell. The average price target is 56.73.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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