Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc (REFI) Stock Analysis

$9.120

+0.462 (+5.07%)At close

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High
9.140
Open
8.870
VWAP
9.03
Volume
103.91K
Mkt Cap
297.20M
Low
8.832
Amount
938.33K
EV/EBITDA, TTM
3.09

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. is a commercial mortgage real estate investment trust. The Company utilizes real estate, credit, and cannabis expertise to originate senior secured loans primarily to state-licensed cannabis operators in limited-license states in the United States. Its primary investment objective is to provide attractive, risk-adjusted returns for stockholders over time, primarily through consistent current income dividends and other distributions and, secondarily, through capital appreciation. It intends to achieve this objective by originating, structuring and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financing secured by commercial real estate properties. Its loan portfolio is primarily comprised of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry. It also lends to and invests in companies or properties that are not related to the cannabis industry. The Company is externally managed by Chicago Atlantic REIT Manager, LLC.

AI analysis of Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc (REFI)

Sell

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc (REFI) is not a good buy right now due to significant recent earnings declines and a low RSI of 28.976, indicating oversold conditions. The stock has also seen a year-to-date decline of 27.73% and a 52-week high of $13.49, showing substantial downward pressure. The main risk is the declining net income, which fell to $4.84 million in Q1 2026 from $10.04 million in the previous year, reflecting a weakening in profitability.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc (REFI) is 4.66, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 7.55.

Forward P/E

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
7.55
Current P/E
4.66
Overvalued
8.57
Undervalued
6.53

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
1.71
Current EV/EBITDA
3.09
Overvalued
11.16
Undervalued
-7.73

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
4.99
Current P/S
3.74
Overvalued
5.65
Undervalued
4.34

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for REFI

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%REFI

$16.70

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%REFI

$14.93

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%REFI

$12.83

Scenario price

Events Timeline

2026-03-12 (ET)

07:10:00

Chicago Atlantic Expects Special Dividend in Q4 2026

2026-01-16 (ET)

16:40:00

Chicago Atlantic Files $452.11M Mixed Securities Shelf

2025-11-04 (ET)

07:10:17

Chicago Atlantic reaffirms its outlook for 2025

07:09:53

Chicago Atlantic announces Q3 distributable EPS of 49 cents, down from 56 cents last year.

2025-08-07 (ET)

07:32:23

Chicago Atlantic affirms 2025 outlook

News

REFI FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. is a commercial mortgage real estate investment trust. The Company utilizes real estate, credit, and cannabis expertise to originate senior secured loans primarily to state-licensed cannabis operators in limited-license states in the United States. Its primary investment objective is to provide attractive, risk-adjusted returns for stockholders over time, primarily through consistent current income dividends and other distributions and, secondarily, through capital appreciation. It intends to achieve this objective by originating, structuring and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financing secured by commercial real estate properties. Its loan portfolio is primarily comprised of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry. It also lends to and invests in companies or properties that are not related to the cannabis industry. The Company is externally managed by Chicago Atlantic REIT Manager, LLC. It operates in the Real Estate sector (REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS industry).

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc (REFI) is not a good buy right now due to significant recent earnings declines and a low RSI of 28.976, indicating oversold conditions. The stock has also seen a year-to-date decline of 27.73% and a 52-week high of $13.49, showing substantial downward pressure. The main risk is the declining net income, which fell to $4.84 million in Q1 2026 from $10.04 million in the previous year, reflecting a weakening in profitability.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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