Provident Financial Holdings Inc

Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) Stock Analysis

$18.350

+0.029 (+0.16%)At close

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High
18.390
Open
18.390
VWAP
18.33
Vol
17.34K
Mkt Cap
86.25M
Low
18.250
Amount
317.77K
EV/EBITDA, TTM
14.79

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. is a holding company of Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B. (the Bank). The Bank is a federally chartered stock savings bank. The Bank is a financial services company committed to serving consumers and small to mid-sized businesses in the Inland Empire region of Southern California. The Bank conducts its business operations as Provident Bank, and through its subsidiary, Provident Financial Corp. The business activities of the Bank include community banking, investment services and trustee services for real estate transactions. The Bank’s community banking operations include accepting deposits from customers within the communities surrounding its full-service offices and investing those funds in the origination of single-family, multi-family and commercial real estate loans and, to a lesser extent, construction, commercial business, consumer and other mortgage loans to be held for investment. It operates 12 full-service banking offices in Riverside County.

AI analysis of Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV)

buy

Provident Financial Holdings Inc is a good buy right now due to its recent earnings growth, with Q4 EPS reported at $0.35, a 25% surprise over estimates, and a forward P/E of 10.989, indicating potential undervaluation. The stock's recent performance shows a 14.83% year-to-date increase, suggesting strong momentum. However, the main risk is the earnings miss in Q3, where EPS fell short by $0.10, indicating potential volatility ahead.

Analyst Ratings (4)

Hold
0 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 18.35
Low
Average
High

Piper Sandler

2026-08-03

Price Target

$18

Neutral

Piper Sandler

2026-06-26

Price Target

$17

Neutral

Piper Sandler

2025-07-14

Price Target

$16.50

Neutral

Piper Sandler

2025-01-29

Price Target

$16

Hold

Piper Sandler

2024-10-30

Price Target

$16

Hold

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) is 10.99, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 12.39.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
12.39
Current P/E
10.99
Overvalued
14.59
Undervalued
10.19

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
0.63
Current EV/EBITDA
14.79
Overvalued
3.83
Undervalued
-2.57

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
2.58
Current P/S
2.77
Overvalued
2.97
Undervalued
2.19

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for PROV

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%PROV

$14.96

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%PROV

$13.26

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%PROV

$12.16

Scenario price

Events Timeline

2026-07-28 (ET)

06:30:00

Company's Net Interest Margin Expands for Fourth Consecutive Quarter

2026-04-28 (ET)

06:20:00

Company Authorizes Buyback of Up to 5% Shares

2026-01-27 (ET)

06:10:00

Q2 Net Interest Margin Rises to 3.03%, Book Value at $19.87

2026-01-22 (ET)

19:50:00

Provident Financial Authorizes 5% Stock Buyback

2025-10-28 (ET)

06:11:33

Provident Financial announces Q1 EPS of 25 cents, down from 28 cents a year ago.

News

PROV FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. is a holding company of Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B. (the Bank). The Bank is a federally chartered stock savings bank. The Bank is a financial services company committed to serving consumers and small to mid-sized businesses in the Inland Empire region of Southern California. The Bank conducts its business operations as Provident Bank, and through its subsidiary, Provident Financial Corp. The business activities of the Bank include community banking, investment services and trustee services for real estate transactions. The Bank’s community banking operations include accepting deposits from customers within the communities surrounding its full-service offices and investing those funds in the origination of single-family, multi-family and commercial real estate loans and, to a lesser extent, construction, commercial business, consumer and other mortgage loans to be held for investment. It operates 12 full-service banking offices in Riverside County. It operates in the Financials sector (SAVINGS INSTITUTION, FEDERALLY CHARTERED industry).

Provident Financial Holdings Inc is a good buy right now due to its recent earnings growth, with Q4 EPS reported at $0.35, a 25% surprise over estimates, and a forward P/E of 10.989, indicating potential undervaluation. The stock's recent performance shows a 14.83% year-to-date increase, suggesting strong momentum. However, the main risk is the earnings miss in Q3, where EPS fell short by $0.10, indicating potential volatility ahead.

4 analysts cover PROV: 0 rate it Buy, 4 Hold and 0 Sell.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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