NIO Inc

NIO Inc (NIO) Stock Analysis

$3.560

+0.092 (+2.59%)At close

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High
3.575
Open
3.435
VWAP
3.51
Volume
34.73M
Mkt Cap
9.16B
Low
3.390
Amount
121.84M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-4.18

NIO Inc is a holding company mainly engaged in the design, development, manufacturing and sales of smart electric vehicles. The Company offers premium smart electric vehicles under the NIO brand, family-oriented smart electric vehicles through the ONVO brand, and small smart high-end electric cars with the FIREFLY brand. The Company focuses on building in-house capabilities including battery swapping, assisted and intelligent driving, digital technologies, electric powertrain and battery, vehicle engineering and design, among others, to control the design and development of the vehicle software and hardware architecture and the critical components.

ir.nio.com

AI analysis of NIO Inc (NIO)

Hold

NIO Inc is currently priced at $3.58, showing a recent 5-day change of +6.23%, but with a year-to-date decline of -30.35%. The RSI is at 58.6, suggesting it is nearing overbought territory. Despite a 49% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, concerns about rising production costs and declining sales in Germany pose risks. Analyst targets have been cut significantly, with one downgrade bringing the target down to $4.00, indicating that while there is potential for recovery, the stock is not a strong buy at this moment due to these uncertainties.

Analyst Ratings (8)

+65.73% upside
Hold
3 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 3.56
Low
4.00
Average
5.90
High
7.00

Freedom Broker

2026-09-02

Price Target

$4

Hold

Bernstein

2026-09-02

Price Target

$5

Market Perform

BofA

2026-09-01

Price Target

$6

Neutral

JPMorgan

2026-09-01

Price Target

$7

Neutral

Citi

2026-09-01

Price Target

—

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for NIO Inc (NIO) is 64.94, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 41.12.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
41.12
Current P/E
64.94
Overvalued
179.50
Undervalued
-97.26

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-25.76
Current EV/EBITDA
-4.18
Overvalued
59.90
Undervalued
-111.43

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.64
Current P/S
0.06
Overvalued
3.36
Undervalued
-0.08

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for NIO

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%NIO

$5.88

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%NIO

$4.45

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%NIO

$3.77

Scenario price

Whales holding NIO

A

Aspex Management (HK) Limited

+ HoldingNIO

+2.31%

3M Return

G

Ghisallo Capital Management LLC

+ HoldingNIO

-8.12%

3M Return

A

Abu Dhabi (Emirate of)

+ HoldingNIO

-28.66%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-05 (ET)

14:00:00

Cboe Data Suggests Bullish Flow in NIO

2026-10-01 (ET)

06:00:00

Nio Reports September 2026 Deliveries of 37,408 Vehicles, Up 7.7% YoY

2026-09-28 (ET)

09:00:00

Stock Futures Decline Due to Rising Oil Prices and Treasury Yields

2026-09-27 (ET)

21:00:00

NIO Enters Strategic Deal with Geely, Valuing NIO Power at Approximately RMB 16B

2026-09-22 (ET)

12:00:00

Cboe Data Suggests Bullish Flow in NIO

News

NIO FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

NIO Inc is a holding company mainly engaged in the design, development, manufacturing and sales of smart electric vehicles. The Company offers premium smart electric vehicles under the NIO brand, family-oriented smart electric vehicles through the ONVO brand, and small smart high-end electric cars with the FIREFLY brand. The Company focuses on building in-house capabilities including battery swapping, assisted and intelligent driving, digital technologies, electric powertrain and battery, vehicle engineering and design, among others, to control the design and development of the vehicle software and hardware architecture and the critical components. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (MOTOR VEHICLES AND PASSENGER CAR BODIES industry).

NIO Inc is currently priced at $3.58, showing a recent 5-day change of +6.23%, but with a year-to-date decline of -30.35%. The RSI is at 58.6, suggesting it is nearing overbought territory. Despite a 49% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, concerns about rising production costs and declining sales in Germany pose risks. Analyst targets have been cut significantly, with one downgrade bringing the target down to $4.00, indicating that while there is potential for recovery, the stock is not a strong buy at this moment due to these uncertainties.

8 analysts cover NIO: 3 rate it Buy, 5 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 5.90.

Community

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orbit_runner3 days ago

$NIO Sometimes a bit of due diligence is enough to figure out what the big players are up to and anticipate their next moves. August proved to be a real bonanza for the major players as they stocked up their portfolios for the fourth quarter 👇 🧺

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orbit_runner3 days ago

Unpopular opinion: $NIO is one of the most undervalued names on the Street based on the metrics. NIO's trailing (TTM) price-to-sales ratio is approximately 0.52–0.53, and its forward price-to-sales ratio is roughly 0.49–0.51. These ratios are very low relative to historical levels for NIO and compared with many peers. Tesla P/S is 14. NIO trades at a clear discount on both trailing and forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratios versus most direct competitors. I'm back on the name.

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