Li Auto Inc

Li Auto Inc (LI) Stock Analysis

$11.390

-0.080 (-0.70%)At close

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High
11.640
Open
11.540
VWAP
11.46
Volume
1.92M
Mkt Cap
19.46B
Low
11.345
Amount
22.05M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-0.15

Li Auto Inc is a holding company primarily engaged in the design, development, manufacturing, and sales of smart electric vehicles. The Company’s main products include the Li L9, Li L8, Li L7, Li L6, and Li MEGA, encompassing six-seat sport utility vehicles (SUVs), five-seat SUVs, and multi-purpose vehicles (MPVs). The Company is also engaged in research and development activities relating to intelligent vehicle technologies, the design, development and manufacturing of various components and systems for new energy vehicles, and the provision of value-added services such as charging, vehicle maintenance and repair. The Company mainly conducts its businesses within domestic market.

AI analysis of Li Auto Inc (LI)

Hold

Li Auto Inc is not a strong buy right now due to its current price of $11.34, which is significantly below its 200-day simple moving average of $15.102. The company's forward P/E ratio is extremely high at 140.8451, suggesting that the stock is overvalued based on future earnings expectations. Additionally, the stock has seen a year-to-date decline of 34.26%, indicating ongoing challenges. The main risk is the declining financial performance, with a net income of -1.13 CNY per share in Q1 2026 and -0.85 CNY per share in Q2 2026, which raises concerns about profitability moving forward.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Li Auto Inc (LI) is 140.85, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 128.57.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
128.57
Current P/E
140.85
Overvalued
662.47
Undervalued
-405.33

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
102.47
Current EV/EBITDA
-0.15
Overvalued
460.74
Undervalued
-255.81

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
1.59
Current P/S
0.08
Overvalued
2.81
Undervalued
0.37

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for LI

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%LI

$45.77

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%LI

$37.96

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%LI

$29.85

Scenario price

Whales holding LI

H

Hang Seng Investment Management Limited

+ HoldingLI

-2.63%

3M Return

M

Meituan

+ HoldingLI

-9.75%

3M Return

A

AEGON-Industrial Fund Management Co. Ltd.

+ HoldingLIBABA

-13.36%

3M Return

C

CSOP Asset Management Limited

+ HoldingLI

-17.93%

3M Return

Z

Zhong Ou Fund Management Co., Ltd

+ HoldingLI

-27.93%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-15 (ET)

09:00:00

MiniMed Group Borrow Rate Increases to 88.04%

2026-10-01 (ET)

06:00:00

Li Auto Delivers 31,817 Vehicles in September

2026-09-16 (ET)

09:30:00

Li Auto Launches Li i9 SUV Priced at RMB 369,800

2026-09-11 (ET)

10:30:00

U.S. Defense Department Considers $5B Loan to Fluidstack

2026-09-09 (ET)

13:00:00

Senator Warns Trump Allowing Chinese Cars in US Will Impact 1.2 Million Jobs

News

LI FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Li Auto Inc is a holding company primarily engaged in the design, development, manufacturing, and sales of smart electric vehicles. The Company’s main products include the Li L9, Li L8, Li L7, Li L6, and Li MEGA, encompassing six-seat sport utility vehicles (SUVs), five-seat SUVs, and multi-purpose vehicles (MPVs). The Company is also engaged in research and development activities relating to intelligent vehicle technologies, the design, development and manufacturing of various components and systems for new energy vehicles, and the provision of value-added services such as charging, vehicle maintenance and repair. The Company mainly conducts its businesses within domestic market. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (MOTOR VEHICLES AND PASSENGER CAR BODIES industry).

Li Auto Inc is not a strong buy right now due to its current price of $11.34, which is significantly below its 200-day simple moving average of $15.102. The company's forward P/E ratio is extremely high at 140.8451, suggesting that the stock is overvalued based on future earnings expectations. Additionally, the stock has seen a year-to-date decline of 34.26%, indicating ongoing challenges. The main risk is the declining financial performance, with a net income of -1.13 CNY per share in Q1 2026 and -0.85 CNY per share in Q2 2026, which raises concerns about profitability moving forward.

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velvetswellyesterday

LIT | Short 🔴 | Bearish | 15m 24h: -8.24% | Volume: 77.7M USDT Short rationale: Price is below EMA200; EMA20/50/200 are in a bearish alignment; RSI14 is 41.3; MACD histogram is negative; ADX14 is 23.0; volume is 0.71x the 20-candle average; trend pullback/continuation. Entry: 3.321 Stop loss: 3.41883 Take profit 1: 3.19872 | Take profit 2: 3.12535 | Take profit 3: 3.02752 Entry price is for reference only; do not chase the trade. The strategy is invalidated if the stop-loss level is hit. This is technical analysis only and does not constitute investment advice. $LI

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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