Mercury General Corp

Mercury General Corp (MCY) Stock Analysis

$102.970

+0.330 (+0.32%)At close

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High
104.195
Open
103.000
VWAP
103.12
Vol
207.45K
Mkt Cap
2.90B
Low
102.210
Amount
21.39M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
3.39

Mercury General Corporation is an insurance holding company. The Company is primarily engaged in writing personal automobile insurance and provides related property and casualty insurance products to its customers through 12 subsidiaries in approximately 11 states, principally in California. It writes about homeowners, commercial automobiles, commercial property, mechanical protection, and umbrella insurance. Its automobile coverage includes collision, property damage, bodily injury (BI), comprehensive, personal injury protection (PIP), underinsured, and uninsured motorists, and other hazards. Its homeowner's coverage includes dwelling, liability, personal property, and other coverage. It offers standard, non-standard, and preferred private passenger automobile insurance in over 11 states. The Company also offers homeowners insurance in 10 states, commercial automobile insurance in 4 states, and mechanical protection insurance in most states.

AI analysis of Mercury General Corp (MCY)

hold

Mercury General Corp is currently a hold. The stock has shown a strong year-to-date increase of 12.20% and a significant 33.47% rise over the past year, indicating positive long-term momentum. However, the RSI is at 34.99, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory, and the recent 5-day change of -2.58% raises concerns about short-term performance. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 19.76 indicates that the stock may be overvalued compared to its earnings growth potential, which is projected at only 1.3% over the next year. The primary risk is the recent decline in net income growth, with a notable drop to $190.4 million in Q1 2026 from a loss of $108.3 million in the same quarter last year, which could impact investor sentiment moving forward.

Analyst Ratings (3)

Hold
0 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Current: 102.97
Low
Average
High

Raymond James

2025-09-22

Price Target

$100

Strong Buy

Raymond James

2025-08-04

Price Target

$90

Strong Buy

Raymond James

2025-02-12

Price Target

$80

Strong Buy

Raymond James

2023-07-07

Price Target

$33

Buy

Raymond James

2023-05-08

Price Target

$40

Strong Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Mercury General Corp (MCY) is 19.76, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 17.96.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
17.96
Current P/E
19.76
Overvalued
105.74
Undervalued
-69.82

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
0.61
Current EV/EBITDA
3.39
Overvalued
2.18
Undervalued
-0.96

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
0.60
Current P/S
0.82
Overvalued
0.77
Undervalued
0.44

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for MCY

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%MCY

$70.18

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%MCY

$57.12

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%MCY

$50.70

Scenario price

Whales holding MCY

N

New Zealand

+ HoldingMCYAIZ

+6.15%

3M Return

M

Milford Asset Management, LTD

+ HoldingMCY

+2.67%

3M Return

R

Rubric Capital Management LP

+ HoldingMCY

-6.09%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-05-12 (ET)

09:10:00

Mercury Insurance Makes Strategic Investment in BurnBot

2026-05-07 (ET)

09:10:00

Mercury Insurance Partners with Olympus Insurance to Expand Coverage

2025-07-29 (ET)

16:24:29

Mercury General reports Q2 operating EPS $2.67 vs. $1.09 last year

2025-02-12 (ET)

11:02:13

Mercury General rises 14.5%

2025-02-11 (ET)

15:20:21

Mercury General reports Q4 operating EPS $2.78 vs. $1.15 last year

News

MCY FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Mercury General Corporation is an insurance holding company. The Company is primarily engaged in writing personal automobile insurance and provides related property and casualty insurance products to its customers through 12 subsidiaries in approximately 11 states, principally in California. It writes about homeowners, commercial automobiles, commercial property, mechanical protection, and umbrella insurance. Its automobile coverage includes collision, property damage, bodily injury (BI), comprehensive, personal injury protection (PIP), underinsured, and uninsured motorists, and other hazards. Its homeowner's coverage includes dwelling, liability, personal property, and other coverage. It offers standard, non-standard, and preferred private passenger automobile insurance in over 11 states. The Company also offers homeowners insurance in 10 states, commercial automobile insurance in 4 states, and mechanical protection insurance in most states. It operates in the Financials sector (FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE industry).

Mercury General Corp is currently a hold. The stock has shown a strong year-to-date increase of 12.20% and a significant 33.47% rise over the past year, indicating positive long-term momentum. However, the RSI is at 34.99, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory, and the recent 5-day change of -2.58% raises concerns about short-term performance. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 19.76 indicates that the stock may be overvalued compared to its earnings growth potential, which is projected at only 1.3% over the next year. The primary risk is the recent decline in net income growth, with a notable drop to $190.4 million in Q1 2026 from a loss of $108.3 million in the same quarter last year, which could impact investor sentiment moving forward.

3 analysts cover MCY: 0 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 1 Sell.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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