$102.970
+0.330 (+0.32%)At close
Price Predictions
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MCY Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Alphio's MCY stock price prediction model matches the current Mercury General Corp tape against historical breakout patterns, then publishes 1-day and 1-week targets first. The 1-day print is $100.67 (-2.23%). The 1-week path is $100.86 (-2.05%). Longer windows use the same pattern set plus seasonality; the 1-month and multi-year forecasts sit behind unlock because they include precise min / avg / max bands.
Should I Buy Mercury General Corp Stock?
Mercury General Corp is currently a hold. The stock has shown a strong year-to-date increase of 12.20% and a significant 33.47% rise over the past year, indicating positive long-term momentum. However, the RSI is at 34.99, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory, and the recent 5-day change of -2.58% raises concerns about short-term performance. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 19.76 indicates that the stock may be overvalued compared to its earnings growth potential, which is projected at only 1.3% over the next year. The primary risk is the recent decline in net income growth, with a notable drop to $190.4 million in Q1 2026 from a loss of $108.3 million in the same quarter last year, which could impact investor sentiment moving forward.
MCY stock price ended at $102.97 on Friday, after rising +0.32%
Mercury General Corp (MCY) last closed at $102.97, gaining +0.32%. These facts feed the 1-day and 1-week MCY price prediction above.
Analyst Consensus
Mercury General Corp (MCY): 0 buy, 2 hold, 1 sell. Outlook: Sell.
Sell / Buy
Technical signals summary based on buy and sell indicators. The gauge shows the overall market view.
Forecast Drivers
Mercury General Corp (MCY) forecast drivers combine similar chart patterns, seasonality, and moving averages.
Similar patterns
Bullish
Seasonality
Bullish
SMA 20
Bearish
SMA 200
Bullish
Similar Chart Patterns
Stocks whose recent price path most closely matches MCY, ranked by similarity.
Seasonality analysis for MCY
Historically the probability of a positive August return for MCY is 100.00%. July offers the highest probability of a positive month at 100.00%, while January is the weakest seasonal window. Alphio blends this calendar with technical signals and similar chart pattern matching before it writes the forecast.
10-year price projections for MCY
| Month | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $54.96 | $59.11 | $71.71 | -42.59% |
| Sep 2026 | $65.58 | $77.73 | $86.91 | -24.51% |
| Oct 2026 | $66.44 | $71.26 | $78.11 | -30.80% |
| Nov 2026 | $69.28 | $77.73 | $89.26 | -24.51% |
| Dec 2026 | $50.70 | $57.12 | $70.18 | -44.53% |
In 2026, Mercury General Corp (MCY) is projected to range from $50.70 to $89.26.
Mercury General Corp 2026 monthly forecast
In Aug 2026, Mercury General Corp is projected to average $59.11, with a low of $54.96 and high of $71.71.
In Sep 2026, Mercury General Corp is projected to average $77.73, with a low of $65.58 and high of $86.91.
In Oct 2026, Mercury General Corp is projected to average $71.26, with a low of $66.44 and high of $78.11.
In Nov 2026, Mercury General Corp is projected to average $77.73, with a low of $69.28 and high of $89.26.
In Dec 2026, Mercury General Corp is projected to average $57.12, with a low of $50.70 and high of $70.18.
This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.