KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF) Stock Analysis

$5.780

+0.632 (+10.94%)At close

Loading chart…
High
5.800
Open
5.320
VWAP
5.63
Volume
1.40M
Mkt Cap
636.99M
Low
5.320
Amount
7.88M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
0.00

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. is a real estate investment trust. The Company primarily originates or acquires transitional senior loans collateralized by institutional-quality commercial real estate (CRE) assets that are owned and operated by sponsors and located in liquid markets with underlying fundamentals. The Company's target assets also include mezzanine loans, preferred equity and other debt-oriented instruments with these characteristics. The Company's investment objective is capital preservation and the generation of attractive risk-adjusted returns for its stockholders over the long term, primarily through dividends. Its portfolio of diversified investments consists of performing senior and mezzanine loans. It focuses on originating and acquiring senior loans that are secured by CRE properties and evidenced by a first-priority mortgage. The Company is externally managed by KKR Real Estate Finance Manager LLC, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of KKR & Co. Inc.

AI analysis of KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF)

Hold

Given the current price of $5.25 and a forward P/E of 11.67, KREF may not be a strong buy at this moment. The stock is currently trading near its 52-week low of $4.93, and the RSI is at 29.70, indicating it is oversold. However, the recent negative earnings reports and a significant debt-to-equity ratio of 332.50% raise concerns about its financial stability. The company has also reported a substantial loss of $116 million in Q2 2026, which could deter potential investors. Therefore, while the stock shows potential for recovery, the risks outweigh the benefits right now, suggesting a hold position until clearer indicators of recovery emerge.

Analyst Ratings (2)

+79.58% upside
Hold
0 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 5.78
Low
9.00
Average
10.38
High
12.00

Keefe Bruyette

2026-11-03

Price Target

—

Market Perform

JPMorgan

2026-07-24

Price Target

$8

Underweight

Keefe Bruyette

2026-07-23

Price Target

$7

Market Perform

JPMorgan

2026-07-17

Price Target

$6

Underweight

Keefe Bruyette

2026-06-15

Price Target

$6

Market Perform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF) is 5.68, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 7.72.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
7.72
Current P/E
5.68
Overvalued
17.13
Undervalued
-1.69

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
0.00
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued
0.00
Undervalued
0.00

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
5.60
Current P/S
5.67
Overvalued
6.82
Undervalued
4.37

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for KREF

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%KREF

$8.94

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%KREF

$7.68

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%KREF

$7.10

Scenario price

Whales holding KREF

K

KKR & Co. Inc.

+ HoldingKREF

+8.77%

3M Return

N

Nan Shan Life Insurance Co., Ltd.

+ HoldingKREF

+1.93%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-28 (ET)

17:31:00

Company Reports Book Value of $582.5M as of September 30

2026-07-21 (ET)

16:30:00

KKR Real Estate Finance Q2 EPS of 58c Beats Consensus of 31c

16:30:00

KKR Real Estate Finance Establishes Strategic Review Committee

2026-04-23 (ET)

16:20:00

Tesla Agrees to Acquire AI Hardware Company for $2 Billion

12:10:00

Major U.S. Indices Slightly Lower as Tesla Acquires AI Company

News

KREF FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. is a real estate investment trust. The Company primarily originates or acquires transitional senior loans collateralized by institutional-quality commercial real estate (CRE) assets that are owned and operated by sponsors and located in liquid markets with underlying fundamentals. The Company's target assets also include mezzanine loans, preferred equity and other debt-oriented instruments with these characteristics. The Company's investment objective is capital preservation and the generation of attractive risk-adjusted returns for its stockholders over the long term, primarily through dividends. Its portfolio of diversified investments consists of performing senior and mezzanine loans. It focuses on originating and acquiring senior loans that are secured by CRE properties and evidenced by a first-priority mortgage. The Company is externally managed by KKR Real Estate Finance Manager LLC, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of KKR & Co. Inc. It operates in the Real Estate sector (REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS industry).

Given the current price of $5.25 and a forward P/E of 11.67, KREF may not be a strong buy at this moment. The stock is currently trading near its 52-week low of $4.93, and the RSI is at 29.70, indicating it is oversold. However, the recent negative earnings reports and a significant debt-to-equity ratio of 332.50% raise concerns about its financial stability. The company has also reported a substantial loss of $116 million in Q2 2026, which could deter potential investors. Therefore, while the stock shows potential for recovery, the risks outweigh the benefits right now, suggesting a hold position until clearer indicators of recovery emerge.

2 analysts cover KREF: 0 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 10.38.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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