Hci Group Inc

Hci Group Inc (HCI) Stock Analysis

$196.380

+0.628 (+0.32%)At close

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High
200.270
Open
199.840
VWAP
197.41
Volume
190.38K
Mkt Cap
958.70M
Low
195.570
Amount
37.58M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
3.30

HCI Group, Inc. is a holding company. The Company is primarily engaged in the property and casualty insurance business. The Company provide various homeowners’ property and casualty insurance products for properties located in the State of Florida, which is our primary market, as well as in other states in the northeast and southeast regions of the United States. The Company operates through five segments: Insurance Operations, Exzeo Group, Reciprocal Exchange Operations, Real Estate, and Corporate and Other. The Insurance Operations includes property and casualty insurance division and reinsurance operations, excluding the insurance operations under Reciprocal Exchange Operations. The Exzeo segment includes insurance technology and operations solutions for property and casualty insurance carriers. The Reciprocal Exchange Operations segment represents the insurance operations of consolidated reciprocal insurance exchanges that are owned by their policyholders.

hcigroup.com

AI analysis of Hci Group Inc (HCI)

Buy

HCI Group Inc is a good buy right now due to its strong financial performance, including a recent EPS of $5.60 that exceeded expectations by $0.47, and a forward P/E ratio of 8.90, indicating potential for growth. Additionally, hedge funds have increased their buying activity by 2084.66% over the last quarter, reflecting strong institutional confidence. However, the RSI is currently at 74.93, suggesting the stock is nearing overbought territory, which could pose a risk if the momentum shifts.

Analyst Ratings (5)

+12.66% upside
Buy
3 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 196.38
Low
190.00
Average
221.25
High
255.00

Citizens

2026-08-07

Price Target

$265

Outperform

Oppenheimer

2025-11-13

Price Target

—

Perform

Citizens JMP

2025-11-10

Price Target

$255

Outperform

Truist

2025-11-09

Price Target

$234

Buy

Compass Point

2025-05-30

Price Target

$205

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Hci Group Inc (HCI) is 8.90, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -45.37.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
-45.37
Current P/E
8.90
Overvalued
249.52
Undervalued
-340.26

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-756.41
Current EV/EBITDA
3.30
Overvalued
1065.74
Undervalued
-2578.56

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
1.49
Current P/S
2.28
Overvalued
2.06
Undervalued
0.92

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for HCI

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%HCI

$193.60

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%HCI

$160.46

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%HCI

$155.54

Scenario price

Whales holding HCI

H

Hood River Capital Management LLC

+ HoldingHCI

-7.65%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-05-06 (ET)

16:30:00

HCI Group Reports Q1 Revenue of $242.9M

2026-03-03 (ET)

07:20:00

HCI Group Authorizes Up to $80 Million Share Repurchase

2026-02-25 (ET)

17:00:00

HCI Group Reports Q4 Revenue of $246.243M

2025-11-06 (ET)

16:30:19

HCI Group announces Q3 diluted earnings per share of $4.90, surpassing consensus estimate of $2.81.

2025-11-05 (ET)

10:30:15

Exzeo Debuts at $21, IPO Set at $21 per Share

News

HCI FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

HCI Group, Inc. is a holding company. The Company is primarily engaged in the property and casualty insurance business. The Company provide various homeowners’ property and casualty insurance products for properties located in the State of Florida, which is our primary market, as well as in other states in the northeast and southeast regions of the United States. The Company operates through five segments: Insurance Operations, Exzeo Group, Reciprocal Exchange Operations, Real Estate, and Corporate and Other. The Insurance Operations includes property and casualty insurance division and reinsurance operations, excluding the insurance operations under Reciprocal Exchange Operations. The Exzeo segment includes insurance technology and operations solutions for property and casualty insurance carriers. The Reciprocal Exchange Operations segment represents the insurance operations of consolidated reciprocal insurance exchanges that are owned by their policyholders. It operates in the Financials sector (FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE industry).

HCI Group Inc is a good buy right now due to its strong financial performance, including a recent EPS of $5.60 that exceeded expectations by $0.47, and a forward P/E ratio of 8.90, indicating potential for growth. Additionally, hedge funds have increased their buying activity by 2084.66% over the last quarter, reflecting strong institutional confidence. However, the RSI is currently at 74.93, suggesting the stock is nearing overbought territory, which could pose a risk if the momentum shifts.

5 analysts cover HCI: 3 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 221.25.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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