$41.930
+0.260 (+0.62%)At close
Price Predictions
Open in app to unlock longer-horizon forecasts.
FRME Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Alphio's FRME stock price prediction model matches the current First Merchants Corp tape against historical breakout patterns, then publishes 1-day and 1-week targets first. The 1-day print is $42.13 (+0.47%). The 1-week path is $41.31 (-1.47%). Longer windows use the same pattern set plus seasonality; the 1-month and multi-year forecasts sit behind unlock because they include precise min / avg / max bands.
Should I Buy First Merchants Corp Stock?
First Merchants Corp is not a strong buy right now due to mixed signals in financial performance and market sentiment. The current price is $41.93, which is below the analyst target of $51, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 40.97, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold conditions, but it has not yet reached a buy signal. Additionally, insider selling has increased by 156.41% over the last month, which raises concerns about insider confidence in the stock's future performance. The company reported a net income of $43.5 million in Q2, translating to an EPS of $0.70, but this was below expectations, contributing to a 4.25% decline in stock price following the earnings report. Therefore, while there is potential for recovery, the risks associated with insider selling and recent performance suggest a cautious approach.
FRME stock price ended at $41.93 on Friday, after rising +0.62%
First Merchants Corp (FRME) last closed at $41.93, gaining +0.62%. These facts feed the 1-day and 1-week FRME price prediction above.
Analyst Consensus
First Merchants Corp (FRME): 3 buy, 3 hold, 0 sell. Outlook: Buy.
Sell / Buy
Technical signals summary based on buy and sell indicators. The gauge shows the overall market view.
Forecast Drivers
First Merchants Corp (FRME) forecast drivers combine similar chart patterns, seasonality, and moving averages.
Similar patterns
Bearish
Seasonality
Bullish
SMA 20
Bearish
SMA 200
Bullish
Similar Chart Patterns
Stocks whose recent price path most closely matches FRME, ranked by similarity.
Seasonality analysis for FRME
Historically the probability of a positive August return for FRME is 60.32%. July offers the highest probability of a positive month at 81.82%, while October is the weakest seasonal window. Alphio blends this calendar with technical signals and similar chart pattern matching before it writes the forecast.
10-year price projections for FRME
| Month | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $29.35 | $33.37 | $37.45 | -20.41% |
| Sep 2026 | $40.72 | $42.31 | $48.60 | +0.91% |
| Oct 2026 | $28.10 | $34.69 | $39.60 | -17.26% |
| Nov 2026 | $36.35 | $40.20 | $44.51 | -4.12% |
| Dec 2026 | $29.35 | $33.37 | $41.45 | -20.41% |
In 2026, First Merchants Corp (FRME) is projected to range from $28.10 to $48.60.
First Merchants Corp 2026 monthly forecast
In Aug 2026, First Merchants Corp is projected to average $33.37, with a low of $29.35 and high of $37.45.
In Sep 2026, First Merchants Corp is projected to average $42.31, with a low of $40.72 and high of $48.60.
In Oct 2026, First Merchants Corp is projected to average $34.69, with a low of $28.10 and high of $39.60.
In Nov 2026, First Merchants Corp is projected to average $40.20, with a low of $36.35 and high of $44.51.
In Dec 2026, First Merchants Corp is projected to average $33.37, with a low of $29.35 and high of $41.45.
This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.