First Merchants Corp

First Merchants Corp (FRME) Stock Analysis

$41.930

+0.260 (+0.62%)At close

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High
42.100
Open
41.740
VWAP
41.90
Vol
398.44K
Mkt Cap
1.89B
Low
41.665
Amount
16.69M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
11.24

First Merchants Corporation is a financial holding company. It has one full-service bank charter, First Merchants Bank (the Bank). The Bank operates First Merchants Private Wealth Advisors (a division of First Merchants Bank). Through the Bank, the Company offers a broad range of commercial and consumer banking services. Its commercial banking solutions include debt capital, treasury management services and depository products. Its consumer banking solutions include consumer deposit and lending products. Its mortgage banking offers consumer mortgage solutions to assist with the purchase, refinance, construction or renovation of residential properties. Its private wealth advisors offer personal wealth management services with expertise in investment management, private banking, fiduciary estate and financial planning. It operates approximately 111 banking locations in Indiana, Ohio, and Michigan.

AI analysis of First Merchants Corp (FRME)

hold

First Merchants Corp is not a strong buy right now due to mixed signals in financial performance and market sentiment. The current price is $41.93, which is below the analyst target of $51, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 40.97, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold conditions, but it has not yet reached a buy signal. Additionally, insider selling has increased by 156.41% over the last month, which raises concerns about insider confidence in the stock's future performance. The company reported a net income of $43.5 million in Q2, translating to an EPS of $0.70, but this was below expectations, contributing to a 4.25% decline in stock price following the earnings report. Therefore, while there is potential for recovery, the risks associated with insider selling and recent performance suggest a cautious approach.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+14.48% upside
Buy
3 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 41.93
Low
46.00
Average
48.00
High
50.00

Piper Sandler

2026-06-26

Price Target

$51

Overweight

Piper Sandler

2026-02-04

Price Target

$49

Overweight

Piper Sandler

2025-10-27

Price Target

$46

Overweight

Raymond James

2025-09-26

Price Target

Market Perform

Keefe Bruyette

2025-09-26

Price Target

$50

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for First Merchants Corp (FRME) is 11.07, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 10.05.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
10.05
Current P/E
11.07
Overvalued
11.27
Undervalued
8.82

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
1.95
Current EV/EBITDA
11.24
Overvalued
7.07
Undervalued
-3.18

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
3.20
Current P/S
3.11
Overvalued
3.61
Undervalued
2.80

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for FRME

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%FRME

$41.45

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%FRME

$33.37

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%FRME

$29.35

Scenario price

Whales holding FRME

S

Systematic Financial Management LP

+ HoldingFRME

-6.60%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-22 (ET)

16:30:00

First Merchants Reports Q2 Revenue of $196.1M

2026-04-22 (ET)

16:40:00

First Merchants Reports Q1 Tangible Book Value of $29.34

2026-03-31 (ET)

07:40:00

Spiral Partners with First Merchants Bank

2026-02-02 (ET)

08:10:00

First Merchants and First Savings Finalize Merger

2026-01-26 (ET)

16:20:00

First Merchants Q4 Revenue $178.36M, Beats Expectations

News

FRME FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

First Merchants Corporation is a financial holding company. It has one full-service bank charter, First Merchants Bank (the Bank). The Bank operates First Merchants Private Wealth Advisors (a division of First Merchants Bank). Through the Bank, the Company offers a broad range of commercial and consumer banking services. Its commercial banking solutions include debt capital, treasury management services and depository products. Its consumer banking solutions include consumer deposit and lending products. Its mortgage banking offers consumer mortgage solutions to assist with the purchase, refinance, construction or renovation of residential properties. Its private wealth advisors offer personal wealth management services with expertise in investment management, private banking, fiduciary estate and financial planning. It operates approximately 111 banking locations in Indiana, Ohio, and Michigan. It operates in the Financials sector (NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS industry).

First Merchants Corp is not a strong buy right now due to mixed signals in financial performance and market sentiment. The current price is $41.93, which is below the analyst target of $51, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 40.97, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold conditions, but it has not yet reached a buy signal. Additionally, insider selling has increased by 156.41% over the last month, which raises concerns about insider confidence in the stock's future performance. The company reported a net income of $43.5 million in Q2, translating to an EPS of $0.70, but this was below expectations, contributing to a 4.25% decline in stock price following the earnings report. Therefore, while there is potential for recovery, the risks associated with insider selling and recent performance suggest a cautious approach.

6 analysts cover FRME: 3 rate it Buy, 3 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 48.00.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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