Elastic NV

Elastic NV (ESTC) Stock Analysis

$92.060

-2.209 (-2.40%)At close

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High
94.990
Open
92.620
VWAP
92.74
Volume
1.59M
Mkt Cap
11.67B
Low
91.160
Amount
147.72M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-8,330.80

Elastic NV is a Netherlands-based data analytics company. The Company’s platform, which is available as both a hosted, managed service across public clouds as well as self-managed software, allows its customers to find insights from large amounts of data and take action. The Company offers three search-powered solutions - Enterprise Search, Observability, and Security - that are built into the platform, which is built on the Elastic Stack, a set of software products that ingest data from any source, in any format, and perform search, analysis, and visualization of that data. The Company helps organizations, their employees, and their customers find what they need, while keeping mission-critical applications running smoothly, and protecting against cyber threats. The Company generates revenue primarily from sales of subscriptions to its platform.

AI analysis of Elastic NV (ESTC)

Buy

Elastic NV appears to be a strong buy at the current price of $98.23, especially considering its recent profitability shift with a net income of $368 million in fiscal 2026 and a gross margin of 76%. The positive momentum in AI integration and the raised price targets from analysts further support this recommendation. However, the significant insider selling, which has increased by 1994.18%, poses a risk to consider.

Analyst Ratings (7)

+9.86% upside
Hold
3 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 92.06
Low
75.00
Average
101.14
High
130.00

Stifel

2026-10-09

Price Target

$120

Buy

Monness Crespi

2026-10-09

Price Target

$120

Buy

Wedbush

2026-09-11

Price Target

$125

Outperform

Scotiabank

2026-08-28

Price Target

$84

Sector Perform

Cantor Fitzgerald

2026-08-28

Price Target

$100

Neutral

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Elastic NV (ESTC) is 27.40, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 22.57.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
22.57
Current P/E
27.40
Overvalued
216.76
Undervalued
-171.63

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-225.60
Current EV/EBITDA
-8330.80
Overvalued
709.68
Undervalued
-1160.88

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
6.09
Current P/S
4.31
Overvalued
8.72
Undervalued
3.46

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for ESTC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%ESTC

$116.11

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%ESTC

$96.58

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%ESTC

$81.94

Scenario price

Whales holding ESTC

N

Natixis Investment Managers

+ HoldingESTC

-1.08%

3M Return

C

Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC

+ HoldingESTC

-10.52%

3M Return

G

GoldenTree Asset Management LP

+ HoldingESTCJAZZ

-14.57%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-09 (ET)

16:30:00

Trump Says U.S. Will Not Strike Iran, Oil Pulls Back

12:00:00

Tech Stock Rebound Boosts Major Averages

2026-10-08 (ET)

14:30:00

Nvidia-Backed Lambda Raises $4B, Valuation at $14.5B

2026-09-17 (ET)

09:30:00

Elastic Launches Cross-Project Search Feature

2026-08-28 (ET)

16:30:00

Stocks Broadly Lower Following Fed Chair Speech

News

ESTC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Elastic NV is a Netherlands-based data analytics company. The Company’s platform, which is available as both a hosted, managed service across public clouds as well as self-managed software, allows its customers to find insights from large amounts of data and take action. The Company offers three search-powered solutions - Enterprise Search, Observability, and Security - that are built into the platform, which is built on the Elastic Stack, a set of software products that ingest data from any source, in any format, and perform search, analysis, and visualization of that data. The Company helps organizations, their employees, and their customers find what they need, while keeping mission-critical applications running smoothly, and protecting against cyber threats. The Company generates revenue primarily from sales of subscriptions to its platform. It operates in the Technology sector (SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE industry).

Elastic NV appears to be a strong buy at the current price of $98.23, especially considering its recent profitability shift with a net income of $368 million in fiscal 2026 and a gross margin of 76%. The positive momentum in AI integration and the raised price targets from analysts further support this recommendation. However, the significant insider selling, which has increased by 1994.18%, poses a risk to consider.

7 analysts cover ESTC: 3 rate it Buy, 4 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 101.14.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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