$42.900
-0.755 (-1.76%)At close
Price Predictions
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AAP Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Alphio's AAP stock price prediction model matches the current Advance Auto Parts Inc tape against historical breakout patterns, then publishes 1-day and 1-week targets first. The 1-day print is $43.08 (+0.42%). The 1-week path is $42.58 (-0.74%). Longer windows use the same pattern set plus seasonality; the 1-month and multi-year forecasts sit behind unlock because they include precise min / avg / max bands.
Should I Buy Advance Auto Parts Inc Stock?
Advance Auto Parts Inc is not a good buy right now due to its current price of $42.90 being significantly below analyst targets, which range from $48 to $52. The company's RSI is at a low 21.175, indicating it is oversold, but this reflects underlying weaknesses rather than a buying opportunity. Additionally, the company has reported a net income of only $44 million for FY 2025, resulting in a net margin of just 0.5%, highlighting ongoing financial struggles. The main risk is the significant decline in revenue, with a 5.4% year-over-year drop reported, which raises concerns about its competitive position in the market.
AAP stock price ended at $42.90 on Friday, after losing -1.76%
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) last closed at $42.9, losing -1.76%. These facts feed the 1-day and 1-week AAP price prediction above.
Analyst Consensus
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP): 13 buy, 11 hold, 3 sell. Outlook: Buy.
Sell / Buy
Technical signals summary based on buy and sell indicators. The gauge shows the overall market view.
Forecast Drivers
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) forecast drivers combine similar chart patterns, seasonality, and moving averages.
Similar patterns
Bullish
Seasonality
Bullish
SMA 20
Bearish
SMA 200
Bearish
Similar Chart Patterns
Stocks whose recent price path most closely matches AAP, ranked by similarity.
Seasonality analysis for AAP
Historically the probability of a positive August return for AAP is 69.84%. June offers the highest probability of a positive month at 91.67%, while December is the weakest seasonal window. Alphio blends this calendar with technical signals and similar chart pattern matching before it writes the forecast.
10-year price projections for AAP
| Month | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $40.36 | $41.90 | $47.79 | -2.34% |
| Sep 2026 | $28.52 | $37.26 | $44.76 | -13.16% |
| Oct 2026 | $33.70 | $43.06 | $43.76 | +0.37% |
| Nov 2026 | $34.27 | $43.18 | $43.26 | +0.66% |
| Dec 2026 | $35.58 | $40.05 | $41.50 | -6.65% |
In 2026, Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) is projected to range from $28.52 to $47.79.
Advance Auto Parts Inc 2026 monthly forecast
In Aug 2026, Advance Auto Parts Inc is projected to average $41.90, with a low of $40.36 and high of $47.79.
In Sep 2026, Advance Auto Parts Inc is projected to average $37.26, with a low of $28.52 and high of $44.76.
In Oct 2026, Advance Auto Parts Inc is projected to average $43.06, with a low of $33.70 and high of $43.76.
In Nov 2026, Advance Auto Parts Inc is projected to average $43.18, with a low of $34.27 and high of $43.26.
In Dec 2026, Advance Auto Parts Inc is projected to average $40.05, with a low of $35.58 and high of $41.50.
This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.