Dollar Tree Inc

Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Stock Analysis

$126.590

-1.646 (-1.30%)At close

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High
131.480
Open
128.260
VWAP
127.52
Vol
3.50M
Mkt Cap
22.61B
Low
124.500
Amount
446.87M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
7.92

Dollar Tree, Inc. is an operator of retail discount stores operating under the brand names of Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada. The Company operates approximately 9,000 stores across 48 states and the District of Columbia and approximately 275 stores across seven Canadian provinces. Its Dollar Tree segment is an operator of discount variety stores offering merchandise predominantly at the opening price point. The Dollar Tree segment includes its operations under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, 16 distribution centers in the United States and two distribution centers in Canada. The merchandise mix in its stores consists of consumable merchandise and discretionary merchandise, including variety merchandise and seasonal goods. Consumable merchandise includes everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health and personal care products, and in most stores, frozen and refrigerated food.

AI analysis of Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)

buy

Dollar Tree Inc is a good buy right now due to its strong Q2 performance, with net sales increasing by 7% to $4.9 billion and a significant gross margin expansion to 42.9%, up 850 basis points. The current price of $128.26 is below the average analyst price target of $145, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 13%. However, a risk to consider is the RSI of 41.44, indicating that the stock is nearing oversold territory, which could lead to volatility in the short term.

Analyst Ratings (26)

+0.65% upside
Buy
15 Buy
11 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 126.59
Low
75.00
Average
127.41
High
160.00

Goldman Sachs

2026-08-31

Price Target

$131

Neutral

Piper Sandler

2026-08-31

Price Target

$121

Neutral

UBS

2026-08-28

Price Target

$150

Buy

Morgan Stanley

2026-08-28

Price Target

$145

Equal Weight

Raymond James

2026-08-28

Price Target

$145

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) is 18.76, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 18.42.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
18.42
Current P/E
18.76
Overvalued
22.20
Undervalued
14.65

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
12.46
Current EV/EBITDA
7.92
Overvalued
14.84
Undervalued
10.08

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.96
Current P/S
1.10
Overvalued
1.19
Undervalued
0.73

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for DLTR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%DLTR

$91.47

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%DLTR

$82.96

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%DLTR

$62.95

Scenario price

Whales holding DLTR

E

EdgePoint Investment Group Inc.

+ HoldingDLTR

+8.25%

3M Return

M

Mondrian Investment Partners Limited

+ HoldingDLTR

+6.87%

3M Return

T

Towers Watson Investment Management Limited

+ HoldingDLTR

+6.41%

3M Return

F

Fiduciary Management, Inc.

+ HoldingDLTR

+4.93%

3M Return

E

Empower Advisory Group, LLC

+ HoldingDLTR

+1.64%

3M Return

T

The London Company of Virginia, LLC

+ HoldingDLTR

+0.90%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-27 (ET)

16:30:00

Nvidia's Quarterly Report Drives Tech Stocks Higher

12:30:00

Nasdaq Rises 350.95 Points on Nvidia Earnings

09:00:00

Nvidia Projects 70% Revenue Growth for Next Fiscal Year

07:00:00

Dollar Tree Reports Q2 Revenue of $4.89B, Exceeds Expectations

07:00:00

Company Sees Q3 Revenue of $5B-$5.1B

News

DLTR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Dollar Tree, Inc. is an operator of retail discount stores operating under the brand names of Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada. The Company operates approximately 9,000 stores across 48 states and the District of Columbia and approximately 275 stores across seven Canadian provinces. Its Dollar Tree segment is an operator of discount variety stores offering merchandise predominantly at the opening price point. The Dollar Tree segment includes its operations under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, 16 distribution centers in the United States and two distribution centers in Canada. The merchandise mix in its stores consists of consumable merchandise and discretionary merchandise, including variety merchandise and seasonal goods. Consumable merchandise includes everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health and personal care products, and in most stores, frozen and refrigerated food. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (RETAIL-VARIETY STORES industry).

Dollar Tree Inc is a good buy right now due to its strong Q2 performance, with net sales increasing by 7% to $4.9 billion and a significant gross margin expansion to 42.9%, up 850 basis points. The current price of $128.26 is below the average analyst price target of $145, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 13%. However, a risk to consider is the RSI of 41.44, indicating that the stock is nearing oversold territory, which could lead to volatility in the short term.

26 analysts cover DLTR: 15 rate it Buy, 11 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 127.41.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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