Dollar Tree Inc

Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Stock Analysis

$124.180

-0.224 (-0.18%)At close

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High
126.330
Open
124.720
VWAP
124.67
Volume
2.14M
Mkt Cap
22.61B
Low
123.500
Amount
267.17M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
13.50

Dollar Tree, Inc. is an operator of retail discount stores operating under the brand names of Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada. The Company operates approximately 9,000 stores across 48 states and the District of Columbia and approximately 275 stores across seven Canadian provinces. Its Dollar Tree segment is an operator of discount variety stores offering merchandise predominantly at the opening price point. The Dollar Tree segment includes its operations under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, 16 distribution centers in the United States and two distribution centers in Canada. The merchandise mix in its stores consists of consumable merchandise and discretionary merchandise, including variety merchandise and seasonal goods. Consumable merchandise includes everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health and personal care products, and in most stores, frozen and refrigerated food.

AI analysis of Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)

Buy

Dollar Tree Inc is a good buy right now due to its current price of $124.18, which is below the analyst price target of $140, suggesting significant upside potential. The company has shown a strong gross margin of 39.17% for the latest quarter and a positive 1-year change of 25.41%. However, a risk to consider is the recent decline in consumer confidence, which has contributed to a 13% drop in shares over the past month.

Analyst Ratings (26)

+2.60% upside
Buy
15 Buy
11 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 124.18
Low
75.00
Average
127.41
High
160.00

Loop Capital

2026-10-01

Price Target

$140

Buy

Evercore ISI

2026-09-29

Price Target

$135

In Line

Barclays

2026-09-08

Price Target

$160

Overweight

Barclays

2026-09-04

Price Target

$160

Overweight

Goldman Sachs

2026-08-31

Price Target

$131

Neutral

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) is 16.95, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 18.44.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
18.44
Current P/E
16.95
Overvalued
22.21
Undervalued
14.67

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
12.48
Current EV/EBITDA
13.50
Overvalued
14.86
Undervalued
10.09

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.97
Current P/S
1.06
Overvalued
1.19
Undervalued
0.74

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for DLTR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%DLTR

$91.47

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%DLTR

$82.96

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%DLTR

$62.95

Scenario price

Whales holding DLTR

T

The Woodbridge Company Limited

+ HoldingDLTR

+13.82%

3M Return

E

Empower Advisory Group, LLC

+ HoldingDLTR

+4.56%

3M Return

E

EdgePoint Investment Group Inc.

+ HoldingDLTR

+3.94%

3M Return

M

Mondrian Investment Partners Limited

+ HoldingDLTR

+2.68%

3M Return

L

Los Angeles Capital Management LLC

+ HoldingDLTR

+2.36%

3M Return

A

ArrowMark Colorado Holdings, LLC

+ HoldingDLTR

-3.39%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-06 (ET)

20:00:00

Nasdaq and S&P 500 Hit Record Highs

2026-09-01 (ET)

10:00:00

Howmet Aerospace Gains $9.03 to $253.98

2026-08-27 (ET)

16:30:00

Nvidia's Quarterly Report Drives Tech Stocks Higher

12:30:00

Nasdaq Rises 350.95 Points on Nvidia Earnings

09:00:00

Nvidia Projects 70% Revenue Growth for Next Fiscal Year

News

DLTR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Dollar Tree, Inc. is an operator of retail discount stores operating under the brand names of Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada. The Company operates approximately 9,000 stores across 48 states and the District of Columbia and approximately 275 stores across seven Canadian provinces. Its Dollar Tree segment is an operator of discount variety stores offering merchandise predominantly at the opening price point. The Dollar Tree segment includes its operations under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, 16 distribution centers in the United States and two distribution centers in Canada. The merchandise mix in its stores consists of consumable merchandise and discretionary merchandise, including variety merchandise and seasonal goods. Consumable merchandise includes everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health and personal care products, and in most stores, frozen and refrigerated food. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (RETAIL-VARIETY STORES industry).

Dollar Tree Inc is a good buy right now due to its current price of $124.18, which is below the analyst price target of $140, suggesting significant upside potential. The company has shown a strong gross margin of 39.17% for the latest quarter and a positive 1-year change of 25.41%. However, a risk to consider is the recent decline in consumer confidence, which has contributed to a 13% drop in shares over the past month.

26 analysts cover DLTR: 15 rate it Buy, 11 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 127.41.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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