Advance Auto Parts Inc

Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) Stock Analysis

$41.880

+0.222 (+0.53%)At close

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High
42.420
Open
41.900
VWAP
41.85
Volume
997.75K
Mkt Cap
3.74B
Low
41.250
Amount
41.76M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
5.20

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is an automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America, serving both professional installers (professional) and do-it-yourself (DIY) customers, as well as independently owned operators. The Company's stores and branches offer a range selection of brand names, original equipment manufacturer (OEM) and brand-owned automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles and light and heavy-duty trucks. The Company operates approximately 4,305 stores primarily within the United States (U.S.), with additional locations in Canada, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The Company also serves approximately 809 independently owned Carquest branded stores across these locations in addition to Mexico and various Caribbean islands. Its stores operate primarily under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest trade names.

AI analysis of Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)

Hold

Advance Auto Parts Inc is currently priced at $42.30, with a forward P/E ratio of 10.76, which suggests it is undervalued compared to its earnings potential. However, the company has faced a 5.4% decline in revenue year-over-year, and analysts have downgraded their price targets significantly, with the lowest target set at $45. The main risk is the company's reliance on debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.4, indicating potential financial strain if conditions worsen.

Analyst Ratings (27)

+23.09% upside
Buy
13 Buy
11 Hold
3 Sell
Current: 41.88
Low
40.00
Average
51.55
High
65.00

Evercore ISI

2026-10-06

Price Target

$45

Hold

Morgan Stanley

2026-08-21

Price Target

$52

Equal Weight

DA Davidson

2026-08-21

Price Target

$48

Neutral

Roth Capital

2026-08-21

Price Target

$48

Neutral

BMO Capital

2026-08-21

Price Target

$50

Market Perform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) is 10.76, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 30.51.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
30.51
Current P/E
10.76
Overvalued
65.91
Undervalued
-4.90

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
11.84
Current EV/EBITDA
5.20
Overvalued
15.65
Undervalued
8.04

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.54
Current P/S
0.29
Overvalued
0.87
Undervalued
0.21

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for AAP

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%AAP

$41.50

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%AAP

$40.05

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%AAP

$35.58

Scenario price

Whales holding AAP

B

BW Gestao de Investimentos Ltda.

+ HoldingAAP

+4.06%

3M Return

B

Bragg Financial Advisors, Inc.

+ HoldingAAP

+2.72%

3M Return

C

Cramer Rosenthal McGlynn LLC

+ HoldingAAP

-5.77%

3M Return

C

Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC

+ HoldingAAP

-8.50%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-20 (ET)

16:30:00

Major Averages Broadly Lower as Bond Market Pressure Increases

12:30:00

Advance Auto Parts Stock Drops 25.2% to $42.04

12:00:00

Major Averages Decline Amid Bond Market Pressure and Rising Oil Prices

10:30:00

Advance Auto Parts Shares Down 21.1%

07:00:00

Advance Q2 Revenue at $2.0B, Below Consensus

News

AAP FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is an automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America, serving both professional installers (professional) and do-it-yourself (DIY) customers, as well as independently owned operators. The Company's stores and branches offer a range selection of brand names, original equipment manufacturer (OEM) and brand-owned automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles and light and heavy-duty trucks. The Company operates approximately 4,305 stores primarily within the United States (U.S.), with additional locations in Canada, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The Company also serves approximately 809 independently owned Carquest branded stores across these locations in addition to Mexico and various Caribbean islands. Its stores operate primarily under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest trade names. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (RETAIL-AUTO & HOME SUPPLY STORES industry).

Advance Auto Parts Inc is currently priced at $42.30, with a forward P/E ratio of 10.76, which suggests it is undervalued compared to its earnings potential. However, the company has faced a 5.4% decline in revenue year-over-year, and analysts have downgraded their price targets significantly, with the lowest target set at $45. The main risk is the company's reliance on debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.4, indicating potential financial strain if conditions worsen.

27 analysts cover AAP: 13 rate it Buy, 11 Hold and 3 Sell. The average price target is 51.55.

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