Advance Auto Parts Inc

Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) Stock Analysis

$42.900

-0.755 (-1.76%)At close

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High
44.030
Open
43.720
VWAP
43.20
Vol
1.31M
Mkt Cap
3.74B
Low
42.670
Amount
56.77M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
5.33

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is an automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America, serving both professional installers (professional) and do-it-yourself (DIY) customers, as well as independently owned operators. The Company's stores and branches offer a range selection of brand names, original equipment manufacturer (OEM) and brand-owned automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles and light and heavy-duty trucks. The Company operates approximately 4,305 stores primarily within the United States (U.S.), with additional locations in Canada, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The Company also serves approximately 809 independently owned Carquest branded stores across these locations in addition to Mexico and various Caribbean islands. Its stores operate primarily under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest trade names.

AI analysis of Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)

sell

Advance Auto Parts Inc is not a good buy right now due to its current price of $42.90 being significantly below analyst targets, which range from $48 to $52. The company's RSI is at a low 21.175, indicating it is oversold, but this reflects underlying weaknesses rather than a buying opportunity. Additionally, the company has reported a net income of only $44 million for FY 2025, resulting in a net margin of just 0.5%, highlighting ongoing financial struggles. The main risk is the significant decline in revenue, with a 5.4% year-over-year drop reported, which raises concerns about its competitive position in the market.

Analyst Ratings (27)

+20.16% upside
Buy
13 Buy
11 Hold
3 Sell
Current: 42.90
Low
40.00
Average
51.55
High
65.00

Morgan Stanley

2026-08-21

Price Target

$52

Equal Weight

DA Davidson

2026-08-21

Price Target

$48

Neutral

Roth Capital

2026-08-21

Price Target

$48

Neutral

BMO Capital

2026-08-21

Price Target

$50

Market Perform

JPMorgan

2026-08-21

Price Target

$55

Neutral

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) is 17.76, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 30.68.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
30.68
Current P/E
17.76
Overvalued
66.04
Undervalued
-4.68

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
12.01
Current EV/EBITDA
5.33
Overvalued
15.66
Undervalued
8.36

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.56
Current P/S
0.30
Overvalued
0.91
Undervalued
0.22

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for AAP

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%AAP

$41.50

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%AAP

$40.05

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%AAP

$35.58

Scenario price

Whales holding AAP

B

Bragg Financial Advisors, Inc.

+ HoldingAAP

+0.57%

3M Return

B

BW Gestao de Investimentos Ltda.

+ HoldingAAP

-0.51%

3M Return

C

Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC

+ HoldingAAP

-3.16%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-20 (ET)

16:30:00

Major Averages Broadly Lower as Bond Market Pressure Increases

12:30:00

Advance Auto Parts Stock Drops 25.2% to $42.04

12:00:00

Major Averages Decline Amid Bond Market Pressure and Rising Oil Prices

10:30:00

Advance Auto Parts Shares Down 21.1%

07:00:00

Advance Q2 Revenue at $2.0B, Below Consensus

News

AAP FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is an automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America, serving both professional installers (professional) and do-it-yourself (DIY) customers, as well as independently owned operators. The Company's stores and branches offer a range selection of brand names, original equipment manufacturer (OEM) and brand-owned automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles and light and heavy-duty trucks. The Company operates approximately 4,305 stores primarily within the United States (U.S.), with additional locations in Canada, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The Company also serves approximately 809 independently owned Carquest branded stores across these locations in addition to Mexico and various Caribbean islands. Its stores operate primarily under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest trade names. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (RETAIL-AUTO & HOME SUPPLY STORES industry).

Advance Auto Parts Inc is not a good buy right now due to its current price of $42.90 being significantly below analyst targets, which range from $48 to $52. The company's RSI is at a low 21.175, indicating it is oversold, but this reflects underlying weaknesses rather than a buying opportunity. Additionally, the company has reported a net income of only $44 million for FY 2025, resulting in a net margin of just 0.5%, highlighting ongoing financial struggles. The main risk is the significant decline in revenue, with a 5.4% year-over-year drop reported, which raises concerns about its competitive position in the market.

27 analysts cover AAP: 13 rate it Buy, 11 Hold and 3 Sell. The average price target is 51.55.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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