$49.950
-0.370 (-0.74%)At close
Price Predictions
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AA Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Alphio's AA stock price prediction model matches the current Alcoa Corp tape against historical breakout patterns, then publishes 1-day and 1-week targets first. The 1-day print is $51.44 (+1.07%). The 1-week path is $52.31 (+2.77%). Longer windows use the same pattern set plus seasonality; the 1-month and multi-year forecasts sit behind unlock because they include precise min / avg / max bands.
Should I Buy Alcoa Corp Stock?
Alcoa Corp is not a strong buy right now. The current price is $50.32, which is below the average analyst price target of $55. The stock has a forward P/E of 9.66, indicating it may be undervalued, but the recent 5-day change of -2.95% and a 1-year change of +62.64% suggest volatility. Additionally, the RSI of 49.26 indicates it is neither overbought nor oversold, making it a cautious hold rather than a buy. The main risk is the recent downgrade in analyst targets, which reflects concerns about market conditions and aluminum prices.
AA stock price ended at $49.95 on Monday, after losing -0.74%
Alcoa Corp (AA) last closed at $50.9, gaining +1.90%. These facts feed the 1-day and 1-week AA price prediction above.
Analyst Consensus
Alcoa Corp (AA): 9 buy, 5 hold, 0 sell. Outlook: Buy.
Sell / Buy
Technical signals summary based on buy and sell indicators. The gauge shows the overall market view.
Forecast Drivers
Alcoa Corp (AA) forecast drivers combine similar chart patterns, seasonality, and moving averages.
Similar patterns
Bullish
Seasonality
Bearish
SMA 20
Bullish
SMA 200
Bearish
Similar Chart Patterns
Stocks whose recent price path most closely matches AA, ranked by similarity.
Seasonality analysis for AA
Historically the probability of a positive September return for AA is 26.19%. December offers the highest probability of a positive month at 100.00%, while August is the weakest seasonal window. Alphio blends this calendar with technical signals and similar chart pattern matching before it writes the forecast.
10-year price projections for AA
| Month | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $30.98 | $36.22 | $37.44 | -28.84% |
| Oct 2026 | $34.44 | $37.02 | $45.61 | -27.28% |
| Nov 2026 | $28.74 | $35.76 | $41.26 | -29.75% |
| Dec 2026 | $25.71 | $30.79 | $33.25 | -39.50% |
In 2026, Alcoa Corp (AA) is projected to range from $25.71 to $45.61.
Alcoa Corp 2026 monthly forecast
In Sep 2026, Alcoa Corp is projected to average $36.22, with a low of $30.98 and high of $37.44.
In Oct 2026, Alcoa Corp is projected to average $37.02, with a low of $34.44 and high of $45.61.
In Nov 2026, Alcoa Corp is projected to average $35.76, with a low of $28.74 and high of $41.26.
In Dec 2026, Alcoa Corp is projected to average $30.79, with a low of $25.71 and high of $33.25.
This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.