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Netflix Q3 Earnings Beat Expectations, Outlook Weak
"Now Streaming" is The Fly's weekly recap of the stories surrounding the biggest content streamers.PLAYING THIS WEEKEND:Among this weekend's most notable new streaming content is season three of Netflixromantic comedy series "Nobody Wants This," starring Kristen Bell and Adam Brody. Netflix subscribers can also catch the new season of French mystery thriller series "Lupin," while Prime Videousers can watch season two of action thriller series "The Terminal List," starring Chris Pratt and Taylor Kitsch.NETFLIX RESULTS:Earlier this week, Netflix reported better-than-expected Q3 earnings per share with revenue that was in-line with consensus estimates. Operating margin grew to 34.6% from 28.2% year-over-year, with the company noting that revenue growth was driven primarily by subscription revenue, reflecting increases in memberships and pricing, growth in advertising revenue and a favorable impact from F/X rates, net of hedging. Looking ahead, Netflix provided a downbeat outlook for Q4 earnings and revenue and a below-consensus revenue outlook for fiscal 2026.Following the report, at least a dozen securities analysts cut their price targets on the shares, with UBS saying that the Q3 results were in line on revenue with better expense-timing-driven profits, while softer Q4 guidance and weaker advertising point to 2026 revenue at the low end of guidance. Margins and long-term goals remain intact, with improved U.S. content execution, focused investment in core film/TV/live offerings, and a new Chief Content Officer key to restoring engagement and growth, the firm added.Additionally, Needham analyst Laura Martin downgraded Netflix to Hold from Buy without a price target. The company's FX-neutral revenue growth decelerated from 14% in Q1 to 12% in Q2 and to 11% in Q3, with single-digit revenue growth projected in FY27, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Netflix content problem "seems clear", and while the firm believes Peter Rice is "an excellent TV executive," it will take him about two years to fix the company's $20 billion content slate, Needham noted, stating that the strategic position at Netflix relative to YouTubeis deteriorating.COMCAST RESULTS:Comcastalso reported quarterly results this week, with adjusted earnings per share and revenue for the third quarter coming in ahead of consensus estimates. Of note, Comcast's Peacock streaming platform delivered EBITDA of $261M, increasing $478M year-over-year, with paid subscribers on the platform rising 17% year-over-year to 48M. Looking ahead, CFO Jason Armstrong said during the company's earnings call, "We're simplifying our organizational structure to move faster, improve execution, and operate more efficiently. As part of this transformation, we do expect to take a significant charge in the fourth quarter... We expect to have a significant charge in the fourth quarter related mostly to our transformation efforts, and I would quantify that at over $1 billion."Following the report, several analysts lowered their price targets on the stock, with Citi saying the upcoming "transformation activities" to which the company alluded are "apt to create some uncertainty on 2027 expectations." Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs analyst Michael Ng lowered the firm's price target on Comcast to $23 from $24 and maintained a Neutral rating on the shares. The company's results demonstrated improving trends in Connectivity & Platforms segment EBITDA and broadband ARPU, which should continue in Q4 and provide confidence in Comcast's convergence strategy, the analyst tells investors in a research note. That said, broadband net losses missed and likely will continue to see pressure from increasing competition well the management focuses more on managing broadband as part of the overall converged relationship, the firm added.COMCAST JOB CUTS:Prior to the release of the Q3 print, Bloomberg's Kelcee Griffis reported that Comcast intends to cut a significant number of jobs as part of a broader overhaul of its cable TV, broadband, and wireless businesses. The reorganization is meant to put the company in a stronger position to operate as an independent entity after it spins off the NBCUniversal businesses in 2027, the author noted.SKYDANCE INVESTMENT:On Wednesday, John Malone said he predicts SpaceXcould invest $8B-$10B in Skydanceand secure a global content-output deal, helping David Ellison reduce the media company's debt burden while giving Elon Musk's company access to content and other assets, The Hollywood Reporter's Alex Weperin reported. "I think there's a deal coming there," Malone said at the Paley Center International Council Summit, pointing to the financial ties between Musk and Oraclefounder Larry Ellison, David Ellison's father and a major backer of Skydance. A day later, Semafor's Rohan Goswami reported that Elon Musk has invested roughly $1B in Skydance, according to people familiar with the matter.VERSANT/DISNEY:Versantannounced a licensing agreement to stream season one of E!'s The Golden Life on Hulu. The first two episodes will be available on Hulu and Hulu on Disney+for bundle subscribers in the U.S. beginning November 3, with remaining episodes available seven days after premiering on E!.FUBO/NBA:On Thursday, FuboTVannounced new distribution agreements for carriage of seven regional sports networks for the 2026-2027 National Basketball League season. The Fubo streaming service will continue to carry local coverage of the following teams in each respective market through new distribution agreements: Atlanta Hawks; Charlotte Hornets; Detroit Pistons; Miami HEAT; Milwaukee Bucks; Oklahoma City Thunder; Orlando Magic. Carriage of the Los Angeles Clippers was previously announced through a direct distribution agreement with the NBA and the team.STOCK PLAYS:Other publicly traded companies in the streaming space include Apple, AMC Networks, Fox, and Roku.
Comcast Expects Over $1 Billion Charge in Q4
Comcast CFO Jason Armstrong said during the company's earnings call: "We're simplifying our organizational structure to move faster, improve execution, and operate more efficiently. As part of this transformation, we do expect to take a significant charge in the fourth quarter... We expect to have a significant charge in the fourth quarter related mostly to our transformation efforts, and I would quantify that at over $1 billion."
Comcast Plans Job Cuts to Overhaul Business
Comcast intends to cut a significant number of jobs as part of a broader overhaul of its cable TV, broadband, and wireless businesses, Bloomberg's Kelcee Griffiths reports, citing people familiar with the company's thinking. The reorganization is meant to put the company in a stronger position to operate as an independent entity after it spins off the NBCUniversal businesses in 2027, the author notes.
Morgan Stanley Cuts Comcast Price Target to $27
Comcastreports fiscal third quarter results on Thursday, October 22, while Skydanceis expected to announced earnings on Monday, November 9. Here's what could move the stocks:OUTLOOK:Comcast is expected to deliver third quarter EPS 98c on revenue of $29.21B, and Skydance 19c on $7.02B.STOCK ACTION:Comcast shares are down almost 5% over the past month, and Skydance about 23%.VOLATILITY TO PERSIST:Bernstein's Laurent Yoon cut Skydance's target to $6 from $12, keeping an Underperform rating on the name, citing ongoing uncertainty around synergies, free cash flow, leverage, and the balance sheet. The firm says the long‑term opportunity is meaningful, but the story remains a "show me" one with notable execution risk.SPACEX PRESSURE:Yoon also lowered Comcast's target to $23 from $28 and maintained a Market Perform rating on the stock, pointing to sustained pressure from SpaceX'spush into broadband and wireless, compounded by recent pricing moves and typical Q4 seasonality.Morgan Stanley's Sean Diffley trimmed Equal Weight-rated Comcast's target to $27 from $29, noting that AI agents helping customers reduce monthly bills have become a bigger investor concern than SpaceX and Starlink. The analyst sees wireless better positioned than cable given stronger satisfaction scores and more favorable pricing.
Tech Stock Rebound Boosts Major Averages
The major averages were broadly higher near noon as a rebound in tech stocks helps Wall Street bounce back. The major indexes are still on track for weekly gains, despite two consecutive sessions of losses for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The 10-year Treasury yield is holding around 5.27%, below Wednesday's 24-year high of 5.36%. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump said that the U.S. will not resume military strikes against Iran before the November midterm elections, citing productive discussions with Tehran, helping to calm the oil market.Get caught up quickly on the top news and calls moving stocks with these five Top Five lists.1. STOCK NEWS:SpaceXwill acquire a nationwide low-band spectrum license portfolio of up to 14 megahertz of paired spectrum in the 800 MHz band as part of efforts to help Starlink Mobile become a "major mobile carrier" in the U.S.Humanashares jumped while Alignment Healthcareslipped after the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services published its 2027 Medicare Part C and Part D Star RatingsDeltareported mixed Q3 results and cut its FY26 earnings outlookApplehas asked some of its suppliers to cut production of components for its iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max, Nikkei Asia reportsLumentumCEO Michael Hurlston said the company has "completely sold out" in its optoelectronics parts through nearly 2029, Bloomberg reports2. WALL STREET CALLS:Scotiabank upgraded Webullto Outperform on valuationPershing Squaredowngraded to Sell at Citi after share rallyMonness upgraded Elasticto Buy on agentic AI trendsAlignment Healthcaredowngraded to Neutral at BofAOppenheimer upgraded Fastlyto Outperform on solid industry checks, agentic AI opportunity3. AROUND THE WEB:Southwestis leaning toward Boeing's787 Dreamliner as its first widebody aircraft to support potential long-haul international expansion, though no final decision has been made and approval rests with the board, Reuters reportsChina-made Teslavehicles were up 5% from a year ago in September, an increase from a 3.6% gain in August, Reuters saysNvidiaconsidered a last-minute OpenRouter bid, telling its leadership it was prepared to make a generous offer, but OpenRouter didn't want to wait, The Information reportsSources detail MetaCEO Mark Zuckerberg's decision to launch Muse despite safety concerns, including an unauthorized password change, after seeing that AI startup Instinct's similar agent product gained traction, NY Times saysCarlyleis no longer actively pursuing a deal to acquire international assets of Lukoil, Reuters reports4. MOVERS:Quantum-Sigains after announcing it demonstrated detection of 19 amino acids in its Proteus development programGinkgo Bioworksrises after announcing it will provide autonomous lab access to NSF X-Labs researchersTevahigher in New York after announcing the FDA approved WeltruzaBrookdale Senior Livinglower after announcing occupancy for SeptemberJoby Aviationfalls after Barclays downgraded the stock to Underweight5. EARNINGS/GUIDANCE:Braema Hotels & Resortsprovided guidance for FY27Park Aerospacereported Q2 results, with EPS and revenue higher year-over-yearOil-Dri Corporation of Americareported Q4 results, with Daniel Jaffee commenting the company reported its "strongest full year sales" in its historyJPMorganto report Q3 results on October 13Johnson & Johnsonto report Q3 results on October 13INDEXES:Near midday, the Dow was up 289.63, or 0.57%, to 51,521.27, the Nasdaq was up 151.83, or 0.56%, to 27,345.17, and the S&P 500 was up 36.74, or 0.47%, to 7,802.10.
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