$417.520
-9.561 (-2.29%)At close
Price Predictions
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TSM Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Alphio's TSM stock price prediction model matches the current Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd tape against historical breakout patterns, then publishes 1-day and 1-week targets first. The 1-day print is $401.65 (-3.80%). The 1-week path is $394.35 (-5.55%). Longer windows use the same pattern set plus seasonality; the 1-month and multi-year forecasts sit behind unlock because they include precise min / avg / max bands.
Should I Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd Stock?
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is a good buy right now due to its strong growth prospects and favorable valuation metrics. The current price is $417.52, which is below the average analyst target of $530, suggesting significant upside potential. Additionally, the company has shown impressive financial performance with a gross margin of 67.72% and a net margin of 55.64% in the latest quarter, indicating robust profitability. However, the stock is considered overvalued based on a DCF model, which estimates an intrinsic value of $328, presenting a risk of a potential price correction.
TSM stock price ended at $417.52 on Friday, after losing -2.29%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) last closed at $417.52, losing -2.29%. These facts feed the 1-day and 1-week TSM price prediction above.
Analyst Consensus
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM): 1 buy, 5 hold, 0 sell. Outlook: Hold.
Sell / Buy
Technical signals summary based on buy and sell indicators. The gauge shows the overall market view.
Forecast Drivers
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) forecast drivers combine similar chart patterns, seasonality, and moving averages.
Similar patterns
Bullish
Seasonality
Bullish
SMA 20
Bearish
SMA 200
Bullish
Similar Chart Patterns
Stocks whose recent price path most closely matches TSM, ranked by similarity.
Seasonality analysis for TSM
Historically the probability of a positive August return for TSM is 100.00%. July offers the highest probability of a positive month at 100.00%, while March is the weakest seasonal window. Alphio blends this calendar with technical signals and similar chart pattern matching before it writes the forecast.
10-year price projections for TSM
| Month | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $197.44 | $251.88 | $252.54 | -39.67% |
| Sep 2026 | $239.32 | $257.98 | $267.15 | -38.21% |
| Oct 2026 | $222.18 | $275.88 | $330.49 | -33.93% |
| Nov 2026 | $218.17 | $224.69 | $228.64 | -46.19% |
| Dec 2026 | $198.57 | $253.27 | $272.63 | -39.34% |
In 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) is projected to range from $197.44 to $330.49.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd 2026 monthly forecast
In Aug 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is projected to average $251.88, with a low of $197.44 and high of $252.54.
In Sep 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is projected to average $257.98, with a low of $239.32 and high of $267.15.
In Oct 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is projected to average $275.88, with a low of $222.18 and high of $330.49.
In Nov 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is projected to average $224.69, with a low of $218.17 and high of $228.64.
In Dec 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is projected to average $253.27, with a low of $198.57 and high of $272.63.
本页仅供研究参考，不构成投资建议。模型可能出错。过往表现不代表未来结果。