Velocity Financial Inc

Velocity Financial Inc (VEL) Stock Analysis

$14.710

-0.100 (-0.68%)At close

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High
15.160
Open
14.890
VWAP
14.84
Volume
185.32K
Mkt Cap
602.98M
Low
14.640
Amount
2.75M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
58.09

Velocity Financial, Inc. is a vertically integrated real estate finance company that primarily originates and manages business purpose loans secured by 1-4-unit residential rental and small commercial properties. It originates loans nationwide across an extensive network of independent mortgage brokers. The Company's portfolio provides loans held for investment. The Company’s typical investor real estate loan is secured by a first lien on the underlying property with the added protection of a personal guarantee. Its portfolio of loans held for investment totaled $5.1 billion of unpaid principal balance (UPB) on properties in 45 states and the District of Columbia. Th Company funds its portfolio primarily through a combination of committed and uncommitted secured warehouse facilities, securitized debt, corporate debt and equity.

AI analysis of Velocity Financial Inc (VEL)

Hold

Velocity Financial Inc is currently not a strong buy due to its recent price decline and market volatility, despite some positive earnings reports. The current price is $14.71, with a forward P/E ratio of 0, indicating uncertainty in future earnings. The RSI is at 43.184, suggesting it is neither overbought nor oversold, which means it could be a waiting period for a better entry point. The main risk is the high debt-to-equity ratio of 972.46%, which poses a significant financial risk if market conditions worsen.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Velocity Financial Inc (VEL) is 0.00, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 8.64.

Forward P/E

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
8.64
Current P/E
0.00
Overvalued
10.02
Undervalued
7.26

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
9.48
Current EV/EBITDA
58.09
Overvalued
31.00
Undervalued
-12.05

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
3.18
Current P/S
2.43
Overvalued
3.70
Undervalued
2.67

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for VEL

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%VEL

$27.53

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%VEL

$25.12

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%VEL

$22.13

Scenario price

Whales holding VEL

P

Pacific Investment Management Company LLC

+ HoldingVEL

-3.57%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-27 (ET)

08:00:00

Velocity Financial Acquires Toorak Capital Operating Platform for Approximately $3.2 Billion

2026-08-05 (ET)

16:30:00

Company Reports Q2 Revenue of $94.99M

2026-06-02 (ET)

16:20:00

Velocity Financial Appoints Dean Thevaos as CTO

2026-05-06 (ET)

16:30:00

Velocity Reports Q1 Book Value per Share at $17.75

2026-03-11 (ET)

16:20:00

Velocity Reports Q4 Revenue of $102.904M

News

VEL FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Velocity Financial, Inc. is a vertically integrated real estate finance company that primarily originates and manages business purpose loans secured by 1-4-unit residential rental and small commercial properties. It originates loans nationwide across an extensive network of independent mortgage brokers. The Company's portfolio provides loans held for investment. The Company’s typical investor real estate loan is secured by a first lien on the underlying property with the added protection of a personal guarantee. Its portfolio of loans held for investment totaled $5.1 billion of unpaid principal balance (UPB) on properties in 45 states and the District of Columbia. Th Company funds its portfolio primarily through a combination of committed and uncommitted secured warehouse facilities, securitized debt, corporate debt and equity. It operates in the Financials sector (FINANCE SERVICES industry).

Velocity Financial Inc is currently not a strong buy due to its recent price decline and market volatility, despite some positive earnings reports. The current price is $14.71, with a forward P/E ratio of 0, indicating uncertainty in future earnings. The RSI is at 43.184, suggesting it is neither overbought nor oversold, which means it could be a waiting period for a better entry point. The main risk is the high debt-to-equity ratio of 972.46%, which poses a significant financial risk if market conditions worsen.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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