United Parcel Service Inc

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) Stock Analysis

$105.620

-0.465 (-0.44%)At close

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High
106.400
Open
105.390
VWAP
105.34
Volume
5.90M
Mkt Cap
116.21B
Low
104.000
Amount
621.05M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
9.14

United Parcel Service, Inc. is a global package delivery and logistics provider. Its U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of air and ground package transportation services. Its air portfolio offers time-definite, same-day, next-day, two-day and three-day delivery alternatives as well as air cargo services. Its ground network enables customers to ship using its day-definite ground service. Ground Saver provides residential ground service for customers with non-urgent, lightweight residential shipments. Its International Package segment consists of small package operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America and Asia. It offers a selection of guaranteed day and time-definite international transportation services supported by its brokerage capabilities that facilitate cross-border clearance for international shipments. Its supply chain solutions consist of customized third-party logistics and specialized cold chain transportation solutions.

www.ups.com

AI analysis of United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)

Hold

UPS is currently priced at $101.06, with a forward P/E of 12.05, indicating potential undervaluation compared to its earnings growth prospects. However, the RSI is at 80.29, suggesting that the stock may be overbought in the short term. The recent adjustment in profit guidance, with operating profit margins forecasted to drop to 9.48%, raises concerns about profitability. Therefore, while there are positive long-term prospects, the current high RSI and margin pressures suggest a cautious approach, making it a hold for now.

Analyst Ratings (26)

+1.36% upside
Hold
6 Buy
19 Hold
1 Sell
Current: 105.62
Low
80.00
Average
107.06
High
126.00

Citi

2026-10-28

Price Target

$131

Buy

Wells Fargo

2026-10-28

Price Target

$112

Equal Weight

UBS

2026-10-28

Price Target

$125

Buy

TD Cowen

2026-10-28

Price Target

$116

Hold

Truist

2026-10-28

Price Target

$120

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) is 12.63, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 15.77.

Forward P/E

Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
15.77
Current P/E
12.63
Overvalued
18.14
Undervalued
13.40

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
10.37
Current EV/EBITDA
9.14
Overvalued
11.84
Undervalued
8.91

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
1.30
Current P/S
0.94
Overvalued
1.62
Undervalued
0.99

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for UPS

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%UPS

$91.92

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%UPS

$82.88

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%UPS

$68.87

Scenario price

Whales holding UPS

C

Capula Management Ltd

+ HoldingUPS

+6.98%

3M Return

S

Snowden Capital Advisors LLC

+ HoldingUPS

+6.77%

3M Return

O

OpenArc Corporate Advisory, LLC

+ HoldingUPS

+6.40%

3M Return

R

RNC Capital Management LLC

+ HoldingUPS

+5.43%

3M Return

M

Mutual Advisors, LLC

+ HoldingUPS

+5.30%

3M Return

S

Saturna Capital Corporation

+ HoldingUPS

+5.20%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-27 (ET)

16:30:00

Major Averages Rise as Investors Await Fed Interest Rate Decision

12:00:00

Major Averages Rise as Investors Await Fed Interest Rate Decision

09:30:00

Company Q4 Performance Strong, Expects Core Business Growth in 2027

09:00:00

Company Reports Year-over-Year Revenue Growth in Q3, Strong Holiday Demand Outlook

09:00:00

U.S. Stock Futures Rise as Investors Await Fed Rate Decision

News

UPS FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

United Parcel Service, Inc. is a global package delivery and logistics provider. Its U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of air and ground package transportation services. Its air portfolio offers time-definite, same-day, next-day, two-day and three-day delivery alternatives as well as air cargo services. Its ground network enables customers to ship using its day-definite ground service. Ground Saver provides residential ground service for customers with non-urgent, lightweight residential shipments. Its International Package segment consists of small package operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America and Asia. It offers a selection of guaranteed day and time-definite international transportation services supported by its brokerage capabilities that facilitate cross-border clearance for international shipments. Its supply chain solutions consist of customized third-party logistics and specialized cold chain transportation solutions. It operates in the Industrials sector (TRUCKING & COURIER SERVICES (NO AIR) industry).

UPS is currently priced at $101.06, with a forward P/E of 12.05, indicating potential undervaluation compared to its earnings growth prospects. However, the RSI is at 80.29, suggesting that the stock may be overbought in the short term. The recent adjustment in profit guidance, with operating profit margins forecasted to drop to 9.48%, raises concerns about profitability. Therefore, while there are positive long-term prospects, the current high RSI and margin pressures suggest a cautious approach, making it a hold for now.

26 analysts cover UPS: 6 rate it Buy, 19 Hold and 1 Sell. The average price target is 107.06.

Community

More ↗
jade_estuaryyesterday

UPS stock is on track for its best week since May: United Parcel's Q3 beat wins Wall Street praise, CEO sees strong holiday demand. $UPS $IYT $XTN

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rho_anchor10/8/2026

Took a long term swing on some $UPS calls today. Price is coming into a support area and this looks like a solid initial entry. There is plenty of time on these and they are reasonably priced, so I can scale up as needed. Chart and position attached for reference.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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