Frontier Group Holdings Inc

Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) Stock Analysis

$5.580

-0.098 (-1.76%)At close

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High
5.756
Open
5.700
VWAP
5.59
Volume
2.76M
Mkt Cap
1.07B
Low
5.445
Amount
15.43M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-14.19

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is a holding company. The Company operates through its subsidiary, Frontier Airlines, Inc., which is an ultra-low-cost carrier company. The Company offers flights throughout the United States and to select near international destinations in the Americas. It has a fleet of approximately 176 Airbus single-aisle aircraft, consisting of overe A320ceos, 89 A320neos, 21 A321ceos and 60 A321neos. The Company primarily provides air transportation for passengers. It provides passenger airline service primarily to leisure travelers. It combines its fares with flexible optional services for an additional cost. Such additional options include carry-on and checked baggage, advance seat selection, extended-legroom premium seats, priority boarding and ticket changes and cancellations, as well as bundled options combining various optional services. The Company serves approximately 100 airports throughout the United States and international destinations in the Americas.

AI analysis of Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC)

Sell

Frontier Group Holdings Inc is not a good buy right now due to several concerning factors. The current price is $5.86, which is below the recently downgraded analyst price target of $6. Additionally, the stock has a low RSI of 37.99, indicating it is oversold and may not have immediate upward momentum. The company has also faced significant profitability challenges, with a net income loss of $90 million in Q2 2026 and a forward P/E of 11.70, suggesting potential overvaluation given its current financial struggles. The main risk is the high insider selling activity, which has increased by 1398.78% over the last month, signaling a lack of confidence from those closest to the company.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) is 11.70, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -11.44.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
-11.44
Current P/E
11.70
Overvalued
44.15
Undervalued
-67.03

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
0.82
Current EV/EBITDA
-14.19
Overvalued
18.08
Undervalued
-16.45

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.44
Current P/S
0.24
Overvalued
0.68
Undervalued
0.19

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for ULCC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%ULCC

$5.65

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%ULCC

$5.13

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%ULCC

$4.34

Scenario price

Whales holding ULCC

P

Par Capital Management, Inc.

+ HoldingULCC

-5.50%

3M Return

ULCC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is a holding company. The Company operates through its subsidiary, Frontier Airlines, Inc., which is an ultra-low-cost carrier company. The Company offers flights throughout the United States and to select near international destinations in the Americas. It has a fleet of approximately 176 Airbus single-aisle aircraft, consisting of overe A320ceos, 89 A320neos, 21 A321ceos and 60 A321neos. The Company primarily provides air transportation for passengers. It provides passenger airline service primarily to leisure travelers. It combines its fares with flexible optional services for an additional cost. Such additional options include carry-on and checked baggage, advance seat selection, extended-legroom premium seats, priority boarding and ticket changes and cancellations, as well as bundled options combining various optional services. The Company serves approximately 100 airports throughout the United States and international destinations in the Americas. It operates in the Industrials sector (AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED industry).

Frontier Group Holdings Inc is not a good buy right now due to several concerning factors. The current price is $5.86, which is below the recently downgraded analyst price target of $6. Additionally, the stock has a low RSI of 37.99, indicating it is oversold and may not have immediate upward momentum. The company has also faced significant profitability challenges, with a net income loss of $90 million in Q2 2026 and a forward P/E of 11.70, suggesting potential overvaluation given its current financial struggles. The main risk is the high insider selling activity, which has increased by 1398.78% over the last month, signaling a lack of confidence from those closest to the company.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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