Alaska Air Group Inc

Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) Stock Analysis

$35.730

-1.965 (-5.50%)At close

Loading chart…
High
37.420
Open
37.420
VWAP
36.26
Volume
4.00M
Mkt Cap
5.17B
Low
35.630
Amount
145.20M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
34.83

Alaska Air Group, Inc. is engaged in operating airlines. The Company operates through its subsidiaries Alaska Airlines, Inc., Hawaiian Holdings, Inc., Horizon Air Industries, Inc., and McGee Air Services. The Company's segments include Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional. The Alaska Airlines segment includes scheduled air transportation of passengers and cargo on Boeing 737 (B737), Boeing 787 (B787), Boeing 717 (B717), Airbus A330 (A330), Airbus A321neo (A321neo), and others, throughout North America, Latin America, Asia, and the Pacific. The Regional segment includes Horizon's and other third-party carriers scheduled air transportation on E175 jet aircraft for passengers under capacity purchase agreements (CPAs). The Company serves more than 140 destinations throughout North America, Central America, Asia and across the Pacific. The Company provides freight and mail services (cargo) using both freighter aircraft and the bellies of its passenger aircraft.

AI analysis of Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK)

Hold

Alaska Air Group Inc is currently trading at $39.36, which is below the analyst price target range of $44 to $54. However, the stock has a low RSI of 42.67, indicating it is nearing oversold territory, but the forward P/E ratio of 7.36 suggests potential undervaluation. The main risk is the ongoing volatility in fuel prices, which could impact future earnings, as highlighted by TD Cowen's commentary on fluctuating fuel prices affecting the airline sector's outlook.

Analyst Ratings (14)

+98.99% upside
Buy
11 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 35.73
Low
63.00
Average
71.10
High
80.00

BofA

2026-10-05

Price Target

$50

Buy

TD Cowen

2026-10-02

Price Target

$44

Buy

UBS

2026-09-22

Price Target

$54

Buy

Barclays

2026-09-11

Price Target

$52

Overweight

UBS

2026-09-10

Price Target

$52

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) is 7.36, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 24.17.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
24.17
Current P/E
7.36
Overvalued
72.31
Undervalued
-23.97

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
4.90
Current EV/EBITDA
34.83
Overvalued
14.46
Undervalued
-4.66

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
0.48
Current P/S
0.25
Overvalued
0.62
Undervalued
0.34

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for ALK

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%ALK

$74.16

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%ALK

$53.74

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%ALK

$52.98

Scenario price

Whales holding ALK

C

Compound Global Advisors, LLC

+ HoldingALK

+11.66%

3M Return

S

South Dakota Investment Council

+ HoldingALK

+5.13%

3M Return

G

Group One Trading LLC

+ HoldingALK

-1.53%

3M Return

P

Par Capital Management, Inc.

+ HoldingALK

-5.64%

3M Return

F

Frontier Capital Management

+ HoldingALK

-13.04%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-09 (ET)

08:00:00

Delta Air Lines Shares Down About 2% After Q3 Earnings Miss

2026-10-01 (ET)

17:30:00

Multiple Airlines Awarded $4.216 Billion Contract

2026-09-29 (ET)

09:00:00

Alaska Air Group Introduces New Premium Economy Cabin in 2028

09:00:00

Alaska Air Group Unveils New Strategic Plan Aiming for $1 Billion Incremental Profit by 2027

News

ALK FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Alaska Air Group, Inc. is engaged in operating airlines. The Company operates through its subsidiaries Alaska Airlines, Inc., Hawaiian Holdings, Inc., Horizon Air Industries, Inc., and McGee Air Services. The Company's segments include Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional. The Alaska Airlines segment includes scheduled air transportation of passengers and cargo on Boeing 737 (B737), Boeing 787 (B787), Boeing 717 (B717), Airbus A330 (A330), Airbus A321neo (A321neo), and others, throughout North America, Latin America, Asia, and the Pacific. The Regional segment includes Horizon's and other third-party carriers scheduled air transportation on E175 jet aircraft for passengers under capacity purchase agreements (CPAs). The Company serves more than 140 destinations throughout North America, Central America, Asia and across the Pacific. The Company provides freight and mail services (cargo) using both freighter aircraft and the bellies of its passenger aircraft. It operates in the Industrials sector (AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED industry).

Alaska Air Group Inc is currently trading at $39.36, which is below the analyst price target range of $44 to $54. However, the stock has a low RSI of 42.67, indicating it is nearing oversold territory, but the forward P/E ratio of 7.36 suggests potential undervaluation. The main risk is the ongoing volatility in fuel prices, which could impact future earnings, as highlighted by TD Cowen's commentary on fluctuating fuel prices affecting the airline sector's outlook.

14 analysts cover ALK: 11 rate it Buy, 3 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 71.10.

Community

More ↗
0xRangeraptor9/22/2026

$SPCX Starlink on airlines is a game changer. I got two incoming phone calls while over the Pacific $ALK. If you are not long $SPCX I can’t help you.

Show more
Sign up or log in to join the discussion

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Start trading