American Airlines Group Inc.

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stock Analysis

$11.680

-0.196 (-1.68%)At close

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High
12.155
Open
12.040
VWAP
11.83
Volume
37.21M
Mkt Cap
7.40B
Low
11.640
Amount
439.96M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
11.10

American Airlines Group Inc. is a holding company. Its primary business activity is the operation of a major network air carrier, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, D.C. and partner gateways, including in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney and Tokyo, among others. Together with its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers operating as American Eagle. Its cargo division provides a wide range of freight and mail services, with facilities and interline connections available across the globe. It operates approximately 1,013 mainline aircraft supported by its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers, which together operate an additional 567 regional aircraft. Its subsidiaries include American Airlines, Inc., Envoy Aviation Group Inc., PSA Airlines, Inc. and Piedmont Airlines, Inc.

AI analysis of American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)

Sell

American Airlines Group Inc is not a good buy right now. The current price is $11.88, which is below the average analyst price target of $14 from Wells Fargo, indicating potential downside. Additionally, the RSI is at 29.154, suggesting that the stock is oversold, but the overall trend is negative with a 5-day change of -6.90% and a year-to-date change of -23.26%. The main risk is the significant insider selling, which has increased by 195.86% over the last quarter, indicating a lack of confidence from insiders.

Analyst Ratings (18)

+53.51% upside
Buy
9 Buy
7 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 11.68
Low
11.00
Average
17.93
High
22.00

Wells Fargo

2026-10-06

Price Target

$14

Equal Weight

BofA

2026-10-05

Price Target

$15

Neutral

TD Cowen

2026-10-02

Price Target

$15

Buy

Goldman Sachs

2026-10-02

Price Target

$11

Sell

BMO Capital

2026-09-28

Price Target

$19

Market Perform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) is 5.32, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 12.10.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
12.10
Current P/E
5.32
Overvalued
25.50
Undervalued
-1.30

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
8.26
Current EV/EBITDA
11.10
Overvalued
12.85
Undervalued
3.66

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
0.17
Current P/S
0.12
Overvalued
0.21
Undervalued
0.13

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for AAL

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%AAL

$11.94

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%AAL

$11.59

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%AAL

$9.79

Scenario price

Whales holding AAL

J

Jacobs Levy Equity Management Inc

+ HoldingAAL

+3.67%

3M Return

S

Sound Shore Management, Inc.

+ HoldingAAL

-0.06%

3M Return

H

Hennessy Advisors, Inc.

+ HoldingAAL

-13.61%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-09 (ET)

08:00:00

Delta Air Lines Shares Down About 2% After Q3 Earnings Miss

2026-10-08 (ET)

16:30:00

Major Averages Decline Amid Rising Oil Prices

12:30:00

Major Averages Decline as Oil Prices Surge

10:00:00

American Airlines to Roll Out SpaceX Starlink in 2027

News

AAL FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

American Airlines Group Inc. is a holding company. Its primary business activity is the operation of a major network air carrier, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, D.C. and partner gateways, including in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney and Tokyo, among others. Together with its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers operating as American Eagle. Its cargo division provides a wide range of freight and mail services, with facilities and interline connections available across the globe. It operates approximately 1,013 mainline aircraft supported by its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers, which together operate an additional 567 regional aircraft. Its subsidiaries include American Airlines, Inc., Envoy Aviation Group Inc., PSA Airlines, Inc. and Piedmont Airlines, Inc. It operates in the Industrials sector (AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED industry).

American Airlines Group Inc is not a good buy right now. The current price is $11.88, which is below the average analyst price target of $14 from Wells Fargo, indicating potential downside. Additionally, the RSI is at 29.154, suggesting that the stock is oversold, but the overall trend is negative with a 5-day change of -6.90% and a year-to-date change of -23.26%. The main risk is the significant insider selling, which has increased by 195.86% over the last quarter, indicating a lack of confidence from insiders.

18 analysts cover AAL: 9 rate it Buy, 7 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 17.93.

Community

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0xCopeseeker9/26/2026

American Airlines, United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, and JetBlue Airways said customers can change their flights for a host of airports in the New York City area, Boston and smaller New England airports, without paying a change fee or difference in fare if they can fly anytime before the middle of next week. The potential weekend disruptions come after an equipment outage on Monday forced carriers to cancel hundreds of flights bound for the New York area and Philadelphia $AAL $UAL $DAL

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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