American Airlines Group Inc.

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stock Analysis

$12.110

-0.471 (-3.89%)At close

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High
12.300
Open
12.290
VWAP
12.07
Volume
62.53M
Mkt Cap
7.40B
Low
11.810
Amount
754.93M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
17.85

American Airlines Group Inc. is a holding company. Its primary business activity is the operation of a major network air carrier, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, D.C. and partner gateways, including in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney and Tokyo, among others. Together with its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers operating as American Eagle. Its cargo division provides a wide range of freight and mail services, with facilities and interline connections available across the globe. It operates approximately 1,013 mainline aircraft supported by its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers, which together operate an additional 567 regional aircraft. Its subsidiaries include American Airlines, Inc., Envoy Aviation Group Inc., PSA Airlines, Inc. and Piedmont Airlines, Inc.

AI analysis of American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)

Hold

American Airlines is not a strong buy at the moment due to its current price of $12.11, which is below the average analyst target of $14. Additionally, the RSI is at 43.67, indicating a lack of momentum for a potential upward move. The company is facing significant challenges with a 19.3% revenue growth overshadowed by a $1.9 billion increase in fuel costs, leading to losses. The main risk is the negative sentiment from hedge funds, which have increased their selling by 195.86% over the last quarter.

Analyst Ratings (18)

+48.06% upside
Buy
9 Buy
7 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 12.11
Low
11.00
Average
17.93
High
22.00

Wells Fargo

2026-10-06

Price Target

$14

Equal Weight

BofA

2026-10-05

Price Target

$15

Neutral

TD Cowen

2026-10-02

Price Target

$15

Buy

Goldman Sachs

2026-10-02

Price Target

$11

Sell

BMO Capital

2026-09-28

Price Target

$19

Market Perform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) is 5.32, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 12.13.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
12.13
Current P/E
5.32
Overvalued
25.49
Undervalued
-1.22

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
8.24
Current EV/EBITDA
17.85
Overvalued
12.82
Undervalued
3.67

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
0.17
Current P/S
0.12
Overvalued
0.21
Undervalued
0.13

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for AAL

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%AAL

$11.94

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%AAL

$11.59

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%AAL

$9.79

Scenario price

Whales holding AAL

S

Sound Shore Management, Inc.

+ HoldingAAL

+1.13%

3M Return

J

Jacobs Levy Equity Management Inc

+ HoldingAAL

+1.13%

3M Return

H

Hennessy Advisors, Inc.

+ HoldingAAL

-14.84%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-22 (ET)

09:00:00

American Airlines Expects Growth Rate to 'Decelerate Considerably' in 2027

09:00:00

Sees Opportunity for Better Performance in Expanded Partnership with Citi

09:00:00

American Airlines Reports Q3 Loss but Positive Outlook

09:00:00

Tech Stocks Plummet, Tesla Down 3%

09:00:00

American Airlines Sees Fuel Expense Over $7B Higher in 2026 vs. 2025

News

AAL FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

American Airlines Group Inc. is a holding company. Its primary business activity is the operation of a major network air carrier, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, D.C. and partner gateways, including in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney and Tokyo, among others. Together with its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers operating as American Eagle. Its cargo division provides a wide range of freight and mail services, with facilities and interline connections available across the globe. It operates approximately 1,013 mainline aircraft supported by its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers, which together operate an additional 567 regional aircraft. Its subsidiaries include American Airlines, Inc., Envoy Aviation Group Inc., PSA Airlines, Inc. and Piedmont Airlines, Inc. It operates in the Industrials sector (AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED industry).

American Airlines is not a strong buy at the moment due to its current price of $12.11, which is below the average analyst target of $14. Additionally, the RSI is at 43.67, indicating a lack of momentum for a potential upward move. The company is facing significant challenges with a 19.3% revenue growth overshadowed by a $1.9 billion increase in fuel costs, leading to losses. The main risk is the negative sentiment from hedge funds, which have increased their selling by 195.86% over the last quarter.

18 analysts cover AAL: 9 rate it Buy, 7 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 17.93.

Community

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0xCopeseeker9/26/2026

American Airlines, United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, and JetBlue Airways said customers can change their flights for a host of airports in the New York City area, Boston and smaller New England airports, without paying a change fee or difference in fare if they can fly anytime before the middle of next week. The potential weekend disruptions come after an equipment outage on Monday forced carriers to cancel hundreds of flights bound for the New York area and Philadelphia $AAL $UAL $DAL

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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