$136.730
-7.096 (-5.19%)At close
Price Predictions
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SMTC Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Alphio's SMTC stock price prediction model matches the current Semtech Corp tape against historical breakout patterns, then publishes 1-day and 1-week targets first. The 1-day print is $135.99 (-0.54%). The 1-week path is $139.22 (+1.82%). Longer windows use the same pattern set plus seasonality; the 1-month and multi-year forecasts sit behind unlock because they include precise min / avg / max bands.
Should I Buy Semtech Corp Stock?
Currently, Semtech Corp (SMTC) is not a good buy due to its current price of $136.73, which is significantly lower than analyst price targets ranging from $200 to $300. The stock has experienced a drastic 27% decline over the past five days, and the RSI is at a very low 16.085, indicating oversold conditions. However, the forward P/E ratio of 53.19 suggests that the stock is still overvalued relative to its earnings potential, which poses a risk for new investors. The main risk is the recent insider investigation regarding fiduciary duties, which could impact investor confidence and stock performance.
SMTC stock price ended at $136.73 on Friday, after losing -5.19%
Semtech Corp (SMTC) last closed at $136.73, losing -5.19%. These facts feed the 1-day and 1-week SMTC price prediction above.
Analyst Consensus
Semtech Corp (SMTC): 4 buy, 1 hold, 0 sell. Outlook: Strong Buy.
Sell / Buy
Technical signals summary based on buy and sell indicators. The gauge shows the overall market view.
Forecast Drivers
Semtech Corp (SMTC) forecast drivers combine similar chart patterns, seasonality, and moving averages.
Similar patterns
Bullish
Seasonality
Bullish
SMA 20
Bearish
SMA 200
Bullish
Similar Chart Patterns
Stocks whose recent price path most closely matches SMTC, ranked by similarity.
Seasonality analysis for SMTC
Historically the probability of a positive October return for SMTC is 100.00%. October offers the highest probability of a positive month at 100.00%, while February is the weakest seasonal window. Alphio blends this calendar with technical signals and similar chart pattern matching before it writes the forecast.
10-year price projections for SMTC
| Month | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $49.10 | $51.26 | $59.20 | -62.51% |
| Nov 2026 | $38.75 | $48.23 | $55.68 | -64.73% |
| Dec 2026 | $27.53 | $37.88 | $43.25 | -72.29% |
In 2026, Semtech Corp (SMTC) is projected to range from $27.53 to $59.20.
Semtech Corp 2026 monthly forecast
In Oct 2026, Semtech Corp is projected to average $51.26, with a low of $49.10 and high of $59.20.
In Nov 2026, Semtech Corp is projected to average $48.23, with a low of $38.75 and high of $55.68.
In Dec 2026, Semtech Corp is projected to average $37.88, with a low of $27.53 and high of $43.25.
This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.