Semtech Corp

Semtech Corp (SMTC) Stock Analysis

$144.210

-14.435 (-10.01%)At close

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High
155.830
Open
153.200
VWAP
144.57
Volume
9.74M
Mkt Cap
1.85B
Low
133.655
Amount
1.41B
EV/EBITDA, TTM
42.70

Semtech Corporation is a provider of high-performance semiconductors, Internet of Things (IoT) systems and cloud connectivity service solutions. Signal Integrity segment designs, develops, manufactures and markets a portfolio of optical and copper data communications and video transport products used in a wide variety of infrastructure and industrial applications. The Analog Mixed Signal and Wireless segment designs, develops, manufactures and markets high-performance protection devices, which are often referred to as transient voltage suppressors and specialized sensing products. The IoT Systems and Connectivity segment designs, develops, operates and markets a comprehensive product portfolio of IoT solutions that enable businesses to connect and manage their devices, collect and analyze data, and improve decision-making. It also manufactures Indium Phosphide optoelectronic devices for optical transceivers used across data center interconnects and intra-data center interconnects.

AI analysis of Semtech Corp (SMTC)

Buy

Semtech Corp is a good buy right now due to its strong recent performance, with a current price of $187.3 and a forward P/E ratio of 53.19, indicating growth potential. The company reported a 33% year-over-year increase in Q2 net sales, reaching nearly $342 million, and a significant net income growth of 89% to $69.5 million, which surpasses analyst expectations. The main risk is the current RSI of 52.63, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, indicating potential volatility.

Analyst Ratings (5)

-42.54% Downside
Buy
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 144.21
Low
67.00
Average
82.87
High
95.00

Northland

2026-10-09

Price Target

—

Market Perform

Stifel

2026-10-05

Price Target

$220

Buy

Oppenheimer

2026-10-01

Price Target

$225

Outperform

Seaport Research

2026-09-22

Price Target

$200

Buy

Northland

2026-08-27

Price Target

$182

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Semtech Corp (SMTC) is 53.19, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 27.94.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
27.94
Current P/E
53.19
Overvalued
121.10
Undervalued
-65.23

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
24.17
Current EV/EBITDA
42.70
Overvalued
38.50
Undervalued
9.84

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
4.07
Current P/S
7.76
Overvalued
6.19
Undervalued
1.95

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for SMTC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%SMTC

$43.25

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%SMTC

$37.88

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%SMTC

$27.53

Scenario price

Whales holding SMTC

O

Oak Ridge Investments, LLC

+ HoldingSMTC

+8.16%

3M Return

K

KGI Securities Investment Trust Co., Ltd.

+ HoldingSMTC

+5.71%

3M Return

H

Hudson River Trading LLC

+ HoldingSMTC

+2.22%

3M Return

T

Tremblant Capital Group

+ HoldingSMTC

+1.87%

3M Return

W

Weiss Asset Management, LLC

+ HoldingSMTC

-1.57%

3M Return

C

Cramer Rosenthal McGlynn LLC

+ HoldingSMTC

-5.04%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-15 (ET)

19:30:00

CPI Exceeds Expectations, Market Sentiment Holds Steady

18:00:00

Semtech Raises Q3 Revenue Outlook to $415M-$420M

18:00:00

Semtech Shares Up 4% to $149.50 After Q3 Pre-Announcement

18:00:00

Sees FY30 Sales Reaching $3.2B

13:30:00

Semtech Expects Data Center Capex to Exceed $1 Trillion

News

SMTC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Semtech Corporation is a provider of high-performance semiconductors, Internet of Things (IoT) systems and cloud connectivity service solutions. Signal Integrity segment designs, develops, manufactures and markets a portfolio of optical and copper data communications and video transport products used in a wide variety of infrastructure and industrial applications. The Analog Mixed Signal and Wireless segment designs, develops, manufactures and markets high-performance protection devices, which are often referred to as transient voltage suppressors and specialized sensing products. The IoT Systems and Connectivity segment designs, develops, operates and markets a comprehensive product portfolio of IoT solutions that enable businesses to connect and manage their devices, collect and analyze data, and improve decision-making. It also manufactures Indium Phosphide optoelectronic devices for optical transceivers used across data center interconnects and intra-data center interconnects. It operates in the Technology sector (SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES industry).

Semtech Corp is a good buy right now due to its strong recent performance, with a current price of $187.3 and a forward P/E ratio of 53.19, indicating growth potential. The company reported a 33% year-over-year increase in Q2 net sales, reaching nearly $342 million, and a significant net income growth of 89% to $69.5 million, which surpasses analyst expectations. The main risk is the current RSI of 52.63, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, indicating potential volatility.

5 analysts cover SMTC: 4 rate it Buy, 1 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 82.87.

Community

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0xLunarbazaar9/23/2026

$SMTC Semtech initiated with a Buy at Seaport Research Seaport Research initiated coverage of Semtech with a Buy rating and $200 price target. The company has reinvented itself, moving away from its troubled past in connectivity with a strong focus on data center optical, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Semtech is well positioned to benefit from the AI optical coming in 2027 and 2028, the firm added.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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