Semtech Corp

Semtech Corp (SMTC) Stock Analysis

$141.630

+5.651 (+3.99%)At close

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High
142.695
Open
141.330
VWAP
140.67
Volume
2.71M
Mkt Cap
1.85B
Low
137.680
Amount
381.27M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
35.95

Semtech Corporation is a provider of high-performance semiconductors, Internet of Things (IoT) systems and cloud connectivity service solutions. Signal Integrity segment designs, develops, manufactures and markets a portfolio of optical and copper data communications and video transport products used in a wide variety of infrastructure and industrial applications. The Analog Mixed Signal and Wireless segment designs, develops, manufactures and markets high-performance protection devices, which are often referred to as transient voltage suppressors and specialized sensing products. The IoT Systems and Connectivity segment designs, develops, operates and markets a comprehensive product portfolio of IoT solutions that enable businesses to connect and manage their devices, collect and analyze data, and improve decision-making. It also manufactures Indium Phosphide optoelectronic devices for optical transceivers used across data center interconnects and intra-data center interconnects.

AI analysis of Semtech Corp (SMTC)

Sell

Currently, Semtech Corp (SMTC) is not a good buy due to its current price of $136.73, which is significantly lower than analyst price targets ranging from $200 to $300. The stock has experienced a drastic 27% decline over the past five days, and the RSI is at a very low 16.085, indicating oversold conditions. However, the forward P/E ratio of 53.19 suggests that the stock is still overvalued relative to its earnings potential, which poses a risk for new investors. The main risk is the recent insider investigation regarding fiduciary duties, which could impact investor confidence and stock performance.

Analyst Ratings (5)

-41.49% Downside
Buy
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 141.63
Low
67.00
Average
82.87
High
95.00

Northland

2026-10-09

Price Target

—

Market Perform

Stifel

2026-10-05

Price Target

$220

Buy

Oppenheimer

2026-10-01

Price Target

$225

Outperform

Seaport Research

2026-09-22

Price Target

$200

Buy

Northland

2026-08-27

Price Target

$182

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Semtech Corp (SMTC) is 53.19, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 28.04.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
28.04
Current P/E
53.19
Overvalued
121.22
Undervalued
-65.14

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
24.23
Current EV/EBITDA
35.95
Overvalued
38.58
Undervalued
9.88

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
4.07
Current P/S
6.47
Overvalued
6.19
Undervalued
1.95

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for SMTC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%SMTC

$43.25

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%SMTC

$37.88

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%SMTC

$27.53

Scenario price

Whales holding SMTC

A

Ardmore Road Asset Management LP

+ HoldingSMTC

+12.83%

3M Return

O

Oak Ridge Investments, LLC

+ HoldingSMTC

+10.16%

3M Return

C

CastleArk Management LLC

+ HoldingSMTC

+8.92%

3M Return

K

KGI Securities Investment Trust Co., Ltd.

+ HoldingSMTC

+7.42%

3M Return

D

Dorsal Capital Management, LP

+ HoldingSMTC

+6.74%

3M Return

T

Tremblant Advisors LP

+ HoldingSMTC

+4.51%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-15 (ET)

19:30:00

CPI Exceeds Expectations, Market Sentiment Holds Steady

18:00:00

Sees FY30 Sales Reaching $3.2B

18:00:00

Semtech Raises Q3 Revenue Outlook to $415M-$420M

18:00:00

Semtech Shares Up 4% to $149.50 After Q3 Pre-Announcement

13:30:00

Semtech Shares Down 11% to $142.82 at Analyst Day

News

SMTC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Semtech Corporation is a provider of high-performance semiconductors, Internet of Things (IoT) systems and cloud connectivity service solutions. Signal Integrity segment designs, develops, manufactures and markets a portfolio of optical and copper data communications and video transport products used in a wide variety of infrastructure and industrial applications. The Analog Mixed Signal and Wireless segment designs, develops, manufactures and markets high-performance protection devices, which are often referred to as transient voltage suppressors and specialized sensing products. The IoT Systems and Connectivity segment designs, develops, operates and markets a comprehensive product portfolio of IoT solutions that enable businesses to connect and manage their devices, collect and analyze data, and improve decision-making. It also manufactures Indium Phosphide optoelectronic devices for optical transceivers used across data center interconnects and intra-data center interconnects. It operates in the Technology sector (SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES industry).

Currently, Semtech Corp (SMTC) is not a good buy due to its current price of $136.73, which is significantly lower than analyst price targets ranging from $200 to $300. The stock has experienced a drastic 27% decline over the past five days, and the RSI is at a very low 16.085, indicating oversold conditions. However, the forward P/E ratio of 53.19 suggests that the stock is still overvalued relative to its earnings potential, which poses a risk for new investors. The main risk is the recent insider investigation regarding fiduciary duties, which could impact investor confidence and stock performance.

5 analysts cover SMTC: 4 rate it Buy, 1 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 82.87.

Community

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0xLunarbazaar9/23/2026

$SMTC Semtech initiated with a Buy at Seaport Research Seaport Research initiated coverage of Semtech with a Buy rating and $200 price target. The company has reinvented itself, moving away from its troubled past in connectivity with a strong focus on data center optical, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Semtech is well positioned to benefit from the AI optical coming in 2027 and 2028, the firm added.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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