Super Micro Computer Inc

Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) Stock Analysis

$32.695

-0.242 (-0.74%)At close

Loading chart…
High
33.500
Open
33.070
VWAP
32.93
Volume
23.29M
Mkt Cap
52.14B
Low
32.580
Amount
766.71M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
1.91

Super Micro Computer, Inc. is an application-optimized Total IT solutions provider including server, artificial intelligence (AI) systems, storage, Internet of Things (IoT) devices, switches, software, and support services. Total IT Solutions include complete servers, storage systems, modular blade servers, workstations, full-rack scale solutions, networking devices, server sub-systems, and server management. Its products are designed and manufactured in-house (in the United States, Taiwan, and the Netherlands). The Company's portfolio of Server Building Block Solutions allows customers to optimize for their exact workload and application by selecting from a broad family of systems built from the Company's flexible and reusable building blocks that support a comprehensive set of form factors, processors, memory, GPUs, storage, networking, power, and cooling solutions (air-conditioned, free air cooling or liquid cooling).

AI analysis of Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI)

Buy

Super Micro Computer Inc is a good buy right now due to its recent guidance upgrade forecasting Q1 2027 revenue between $18.5 billion and $19.5 billion, which is a 25% increase from previous estimates. Additionally, the gross margin is expected to improve to 12.5%, up from 10.8%, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the current RSI of 33.83 suggests the stock is oversold, which could present a buying opportunity. The main risk is the recent 20-day change of -23.86%, indicating potential volatility in the stock price.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+43.20% upside
Hold
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 32.69
Low
34.00
Average
46.82
High
63.00

Citi

2026-10-08

Price Target

$45

Neutral

Mizuho

2026-10-06

Price Target

$43

Neutral

Bernstein

2026-08-13

Price Target

$42

Market Perform

Wedbush

2026-08-12

Price Target

$40

Neutral

Rosenblatt

2026-08-12

Price Target

$51

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) is 10.15, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 13.18.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
13.18
Current P/E
10.15
Overvalued
19.88
Undervalued
6.48

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
9.15
Current EV/EBITDA
1.91
Overvalued
14.00
Undervalued
4.29

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.84
Current P/S
0.27
Overvalued
1.42
Undervalued
0.27

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for SMCI

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%SMCI

$83.75

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%SMCI

$81.96

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%SMCI

$64.36

Scenario price

Whales holding SMCI

J

Jane Street Group, LLC

+ HoldingSMCI

+15.88%

3M Return

Q

Quadrature Capital Limited

+ HoldingSMCI

+14.58%

3M Return

H

Hwabao WP Fund Management Co., Ltd

+ HoldingSMCI

+12.67%

3M Return

D

Disciplined Growth Investors, Inc.

+ HoldingSMCI

+9.90%

3M Return

C

Clear Street LLC

+ HoldingSMCI

+9.42%

3M Return

O

Optiver US LLC

+ HoldingSMCI

+6.58%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-22 (ET)

06:00:00

Super Micro Launches Nvidia Vera CPU Rack, Expands DCBBS Portfolio

2026-10-21 (ET)

16:30:00

Nasdaq Rises on SpaceX Earnings Report

12:30:00

SpaceX Reports First Profit, Tesla Merger Proposal Gains Attention

12:30:00

Super Micro Shares Rise 9.8% to $35.64

10:30:00

Super Micro Stock Rises 11.9% to $36.35

News

SMCI FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Super Micro Computer, Inc. is an application-optimized Total IT solutions provider including server, artificial intelligence (AI) systems, storage, Internet of Things (IoT) devices, switches, software, and support services. Total IT Solutions include complete servers, storage systems, modular blade servers, workstations, full-rack scale solutions, networking devices, server sub-systems, and server management. Its products are designed and manufactured in-house (in the United States, Taiwan, and the Netherlands). The Company's portfolio of Server Building Block Solutions allows customers to optimize for their exact workload and application by selecting from a broad family of systems built from the Company's flexible and reusable building blocks that support a comprehensive set of form factors, processors, memory, GPUs, storage, networking, power, and cooling solutions (air-conditioned, free air cooling or liquid cooling). It operates in the Technology sector (ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS industry).

Super Micro Computer Inc is a good buy right now due to its recent guidance upgrade forecasting Q1 2027 revenue between $18.5 billion and $19.5 billion, which is a 25% increase from previous estimates. Additionally, the gross margin is expected to improve to 12.5%, up from 10.8%, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the current RSI of 33.83 suggests the stock is oversold, which could present a buying opportunity. The main risk is the recent 20-day change of -23.86%, indicating potential volatility in the stock price.

6 analysts cover SMCI: 2 rate it Buy, 4 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 46.82.

Community

More ↗
VolStorm4 days ago

$TTMI suddenly at 9x EPS. $SMCI at 4x EPS If you own semiconductors well above these multiples - which is most of them - you very obviously need to watch out

Show more
scalpshard665 days ago

$SMCI Daily. Are we sure about the veracity of this firm, given multi-year accounting issues? The market wants to buy the bullish AI news, but bigger earnings reports are coming up. $38 resistance.

Show more
VolStorm6 days ago

$SMCI with $19B in revenue this Q, SMCI will have more AI revenue than DELL. We probably see the current ~$70B revenue guide raised well above DELL's $74B AI server annual guide. DELL is set to add $23B to its market cap today based off of SMCI's beat, roughly equivalent to the market cap of SMCI.

Show more
VolStorm6 days ago

$SMCI what is the upside? DELL trades at 20x 2026 EPS, HPE at 16x, and SMCI at about 4x. SMCI's largest customer is SPCX and has the greatest upside to estimates, yet it is the cheapest. A new CFO and better governance mean that if the ~75-80% discount disappears, this goes from the mid $30s to ~$150. I expect we will see very active options trading tomorrow. 5x EPS is $48, 7x EPS (where this traded as of today pre-update) is $60. People can reasonably buy options 50%+ OTM for pennies that may be ITM within weeks.

Show more
Sign up or log in to join the discussion

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Start trading