Super Micro Computer Inc

Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) Stock Analysis

$35.780

-3.013 (-8.42%)At close

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High
38.020
Open
37.965
VWAP
36.48
Volume
33.24M
Mkt Cap
52.14B
Low
35.630
Amount
1.21B
EV/EBITDA, TTM
2.34

Super Micro Computer, Inc. is an application-optimized Total IT solutions provider including server, artificial intelligence (AI) systems, storage, Internet of Things (IoT) devices, switches, software, and support services. Total IT Solutions include complete servers, storage systems, modular blade servers, workstations, full-rack scale solutions, networking devices, server sub-systems, and server management. Its products are designed and manufactured in-house (in the United States, Taiwan, and the Netherlands). The Company's portfolio of Server Building Block Solutions allows customers to optimize for their exact workload and application by selecting from a broad family of systems built from the Company's flexible and reusable building blocks that support a comprehensive set of form factors, processors, memory, GPUs, storage, networking, power, and cooling solutions (air-conditioned, free air cooling or liquid cooling).

AI analysis of Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI)

Hold

Super Micro Computer Inc is currently trading at $41.855, which is below the average analyst price target of $45. The forward P/E ratio is 10.15, indicating potential undervaluation compared to the industry. However, the RSI is at 44.97, suggesting it is neither overbought nor oversold, and the stock has seen a 4.20% decline over the last five days, indicating recent weakness. The main risk is the negative sentiment in the tech sector due to OpenAI's revenue downgrade, which has affected stocks like Super Micro, leading to a 23.55% decline over the past year. Therefore, while there are positive indicators, the current market sentiment suggests caution, making it a hold for now.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+30.86% upside
Hold
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 35.78
Low
34.00
Average
46.82
High
63.00

Citi

2026-10-08

Price Target

$45

Neutral

Mizuho

2026-10-06

Price Target

$43

Neutral

Bernstein

2026-08-13

Price Target

$42

Market Perform

Wedbush

2026-08-12

Price Target

$40

Neutral

Rosenblatt

2026-08-12

Price Target

$51

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) is 10.15, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 13.18.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
13.18
Current P/E
10.15
Overvalued
19.88
Undervalued
6.48

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
9.17
Current EV/EBITDA
2.34
Overvalued
14.00
Undervalued
4.34

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.84
Current P/S
0.33
Overvalued
1.42
Undervalued
0.27

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for SMCI

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%SMCI

$83.75

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%SMCI

$81.96

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%SMCI

$64.36

Scenario price

Whales holding SMCI

I

IMC Trading B.V.

+ HoldingSMCI

+7.19%

3M Return

C

Capital Fund Management S.A.

+ HoldingSMCI

+6.76%

3M Return

Q

Quadrature Capital Limited

+ HoldingSMCI

+5.76%

3M Return

O

Optiver US LLC

+ HoldingSMCI

+4.54%

3M Return

P

Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P.

+ HoldingSMCI

+1.74%

3M Return

S

Seven Grand Managers LLC

+ HoldingSMCI

+0.47%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-15 (ET)

09:30:00

Super Micro Computer Appoints Mark Long as CFO

2026-10-12 (ET)

15:00:00

Super Micro Shares Slightly Down, Options Activity Moderate

2026-10-06 (ET)

15:30:00

Super Micro Shares Rise 1.01% to $43.62

2026-09-29 (ET)

14:30:00

NetApp Partners with Supermicro to Deliver AI Infrastructure Solutions

News

SMCI FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Super Micro Computer, Inc. is an application-optimized Total IT solutions provider including server, artificial intelligence (AI) systems, storage, Internet of Things (IoT) devices, switches, software, and support services. Total IT Solutions include complete servers, storage systems, modular blade servers, workstations, full-rack scale solutions, networking devices, server sub-systems, and server management. Its products are designed and manufactured in-house (in the United States, Taiwan, and the Netherlands). The Company's portfolio of Server Building Block Solutions allows customers to optimize for their exact workload and application by selecting from a broad family of systems built from the Company's flexible and reusable building blocks that support a comprehensive set of form factors, processors, memory, GPUs, storage, networking, power, and cooling solutions (air-conditioned, free air cooling or liquid cooling). It operates in the Technology sector (ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS industry).

Super Micro Computer Inc is currently trading at $41.855, which is below the average analyst price target of $45. The forward P/E ratio is 10.15, indicating potential undervaluation compared to the industry. However, the RSI is at 44.97, suggesting it is neither overbought nor oversold, and the stock has seen a 4.20% decline over the last five days, indicating recent weakness. The main risk is the negative sentiment in the tech sector due to OpenAI's revenue downgrade, which has affected stocks like Super Micro, leading to a 23.55% decline over the past year. Therefore, while there are positive indicators, the current market sentiment suggests caution, making it a hold for now.

6 analysts cover SMCI: 2 rate it Buy, 4 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 46.82.

Community

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skewsurge4310/3/2026

$SMCI — the break held. Last week the weekly lid gave way at $43.26. This week closed $43.69, tagged $44.58, held $40. SCTR 96.1. Cap $28.7B. Still ~13x earnings. Book $60B+. Vera Rubin racks shipping. Measured move still +158% toward **~$111**. $34.50 cannot go. Next print Nov 3. Full update on X:

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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