ASML Holding N.V.

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) Stock Analysis

$1,650.000

-65.010 (-3.94%)At close

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High
1,734.500
Open
1,676.800
VWAP
1,677.77
Volume
2.88M
Mkt Cap
405.64B
Low
1,648.800
Amount
4.83B
EV/EBITDA, TTM
30.54

ASML Holding N.V. is a holding company based in the Netherlands. The Company operates through its subsidiaries in the Netherlands, the United States, Italy, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Belgium, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia and Israel. The Company operates through one business segment which is engage in development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems, consisting of lithography, metrology and inspection systems. The Company offers TWINSCAN systems, equipped with lithography system with a mercury lamp as light source (i-line), Krypton Fluoride (KrF) and Argon Fluoride (ArF) light sources for processing wafers for manufacturing environments for which imaging at a small resolution is required. TWINSCAN systems also include immersion lithography systems (TWINSCAN immersion systems).

AI analysis of ASML Holding N.V. (ASML)

Buy

ASML is a good buy right now due to its strong revenue growth of 15.6% year-over-year, reaching $36.6 billion in FY 2025, and a forward P/E ratio of 28.90, which suggests potential for future earnings growth. The current price of $1,780.34 is below the analyst price target of $1,638.14 from JPMorgan, indicating room for appreciation. However, the main risk is the RSI of 45.62, which suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, indicating potential volatility in the short term.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is 28.90, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 33.53.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
33.53
Current P/E
28.90
Overvalued
41.21
Undervalued
25.84

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
27.00
Current EV/EBITDA
30.54
Overvalued
32.15
Undervalued
21.85

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
9.92
Current P/S
12.00
Overvalued
11.90
Undervalued
7.95

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for ASML

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%ASML

$987.59

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%ASML

$768.77

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%ASML

$656.12

Scenario price

Whales holding ASML

C

Corient Private Wealth LP

+ HoldingASML

+51.17%

3M Return

I

ICONIQ Capital, LLC

+ HoldingASML

+21.81%

3M Return

O

Ofi Invest Asset Management

+ HoldingASML

+15.74%

3M Return

P

PKO Towarzystwo Funduszy Inwestycyjnych SA

+ HoldingASML

+11.89%

3M Return

C

Compound Global Advisors, LLC

+ HoldingASML

+11.66%

3M Return

C

Caixa Econômica Federal

+ HoldingASML

+11.31%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-14 (ET)

16:30:00

S&P 500 Falls Over 1%, Nasdaq Slides About 2%

12:30:00

Major U.S. Averages Decline as CPI Rises

09:00:00

U.S. September CPI Exceeds Expectations, Stock Futures Decline

05:30:00

Company Expects Q4 Gross Margin of 57%

05:30:00

Q3 Revenue at €11.66B, Below Consensus of €11.72B

News

ASML FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

ASML Holding N.V. is a holding company based in the Netherlands. The Company operates through its subsidiaries in the Netherlands, the United States, Italy, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Belgium, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia and Israel. The Company operates through one business segment which is engage in development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems, consisting of lithography, metrology and inspection systems. The Company offers TWINSCAN systems, equipped with lithography system with a mercury lamp as light source (i-line), Krypton Fluoride (KrF) and Argon Fluoride (ArF) light sources for processing wafers for manufacturing environments for which imaging at a small resolution is required. TWINSCAN systems also include immersion lithography systems (TWINSCAN immersion systems). It operates in the Technology sector (SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NOT ELSEWHERE CLASSIFI industry).

ASML is a good buy right now due to its strong revenue growth of 15.6% year-over-year, reaching $36.6 billion in FY 2025, and a forward P/E ratio of 28.90, which suggests potential for future earnings growth. The current price of $1,780.34 is below the analyst price target of $1,638.14 from JPMorgan, indicating room for appreciation. However, the main risk is the RSI of 45.62, which suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, indicating potential volatility in the short term.

Community

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TeraMerkle19 hr. ago

If you missed September, don't miss October 🔥 We're already halfway through the month, right at the most active period of the market. Seize the opportunity to recover what was lost before, or push toward even greater heights. Time waits for no one, but in life you really only need to catch one or two opportunities — that's enough. #ASML and #TSMC are about to release Q3 earnings.

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HumbleMaxiyesterday

What are we talking about today? Gate Square's trending topics have been updated. US September CPI will be released tonight. Will the inflation data once again change the trading pace for $BTC and US stocks? Gate's derivatives market share has risen to 10.1%, the largest global increase in September. Can this growth continue? ASML and TSMC's Q3 earnings will be released soon. Will the semiconductor supply chain see a new round of repricing? Quality content may receive traffic support and featured recommendations. What are your thoughts? Join the discussion:

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omegaraider77yesterday

🔥 What are we talking about today? Gate Square's trending topics have been updated! 🔹 US September CPI is released tonight — will the inflation data once again change the trading rhythm for $BTC and US stocks? 🔹 Gate's derivatives market share rose to 10.1%, the largest global increase in September — can this growth continue? 🔹 ASML and TSMC Q3 earnings are coming up one after another — will the semiconductor supply chain see a new round of pricing? Quality content can receive traffic support + featured recommendations. 💰 Have a view? Come join the discussion:

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edgepilot2 days ago

#ASMLTSMCQ3EarningsSoon ASML and TSMC Earnings: The AI Boom Faces Its Next Major Reality Check The AI revolution has created huge opportunities across the semiconductor industry, but the next phase of growth depends on one important question: can chip demand continue to support the massive investment flowing into AI infrastructure? This week, two major players in the global semiconductor supply chain, ASML and TSMC, are preparing to release their Q3 2026 earnings updates. With investors focused on AI spending, advanced chip production, and future profitability, these reports could shape market sentiment across the entire tech sector. ASML: The Equipment Behind the AI Revolution ASML holds a strategically important position in semiconductor manufacturing. Its advanced lithography systems help chipmakers produce increasingly powerful and complex chips. Its extreme ultraviolet (EUV) technology is especially important for making cutting-edge semiconductors. ASML plans to report Q3 results on October 14. Investors will look beyond revenue and earnings figures, hoping to understand the company's future growth potential. The most important metrics include new orders, EUV system demand, margins, delivery timelines, and management's outlook for the coming quarters. Growing AI infrastructure investment could push chipmakers to expand capacity, potentially supporting long-term demand for ASML's equipment. However, export restrictions, customer investment decisions, production constraints, and high valuation expectations remain significant risks. TSMC: Turning AI Demand Into Revenue TSMC is another key part of the AI ecosystem. As a leading foundry semiconductor manufacturer, it produces advanced chips for customers across the tech industry. TSMC has already reported Q3 revenue of about NT$1.49 trillion, equivalent to about US$46.71 billion, up roughly 50% year over year. These figures highlight strong recent demand, but revenue alone cannot explain the full picture of the business. Investors will focus on quarterly profit, gross margins, advanced process demand, advanced packaging capacity, capital expenditure, and management's expectations for future growth. AI accelerators and high-performance computing remain important growth drivers. However, manufacturing costs, energy demand, capacity expansion, and competition for investment resources could affect future profitability. Three Factors That Could Move Semiconductor Stocks 1. The strength of AI demand: Are tech companies continuing to invest in data centers, AI processors, and computing infrastructure at the expected pace? 2. Future guidance: If management signals slower growth, fewer orders, or delayed customer investment, strong historical results may not be enough. 3. Margins and valuation: Investors must judge whether future earnings can support the prices already reflected in semiconductor stocks. What Could Happen Next? If ASML reports healthy order data and TSMC delivers strong profits with confident guidance, market sentiment toward the semiconductor sector could improve. On the other hand, even if both companies report solid quarterly figures, weaker-than-expected guidance, rising costs, or signs of slowing AI investment could trigger volatility. In my view, the market reaction will depend less on how impressive the past quarter was and more on what these companies say about the coming quarters. My Final Take ASML represents the complex equipment behind advanced chip production, while TSMC represents the manufacturing capability that turns semiconductor designs into actual products. Together, the two companies offer a valuable perspective on the health of the AI supply chain. However, investors should remember that a great company does not mean a great investment at any price. Expectations, valuation, profitability, and future guidance all matter. The real test is whether AI demand can continue to drive sustainable growth, not just generate impressive headlines. Will ASML and TSMC confirm that the AI semiconductor boom still has room to grow, or will their guidance remind investors that even the strongest trends face challenges? #ASML #TSMC #WCTCS9 #ShareWeekly

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fomowave2 days ago

📅 US Stock Market Outlook This Week | 10/12–10/16 After reviewing this week's US stock market calendar, the editor picked three key themes 👇 ① Q3 earnings season kicks off with major Wall Street banks ② US CPI and PPI data will be released ③ $ASML and $TSM earnings will test the semiconductor market Inflation data, banking, or semiconductors? Community members, which theme are you most focused on this week? Bullish or bearish is fine — tell us your reasoning first 👇 #USStocks #GateStocks

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