SM Energy Co

SM Energy Co (SM) Stock Analysis

$39.500

+2.086 (+5.28%)At close

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High
39.550
Open
37.950
VWAP
38.98
Volume
2.76M
Mkt Cap
4.99B
Low
37.900
Amount
107.62M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
2.44

SM Energy Company is an independent energy company. It is a premier, scaled operator of top-tier oil and gas assets across United States shale basins, including the Permian Basin, DJ Basin, and Uinta Basin. The Permian Basin is a sedimentary basin in western Texas and southeastern New Mexico, United States noted for its petroleum, natural gas, and potassium deposits. The Permian Basin is made up of three component parts: the eastern Midland Basin, the Central Basin Platform, and the western Delaware Basin. Permian Basin assets comprise approximately 237,000 net acres located in the Midland Basin and Delaware Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. The DJ Basin assets comprise approximately 303,000 net acres located primarily in northeastern Colorado (DJ Basin) and provide development and exploration opportunities within multiple oil-rich intervals in the Niobrara and Codell formations. The Uinta Basin assets comprise approximately 62,000 net acres in northeastern Utah (Uinta Basin).

AI analysis of SM Energy Co (SM)

Buy

SM Energy Co is a good buy right now due to its strong financial performance, highlighted by a remarkable one-year revenue growth rate of 75.4% and a forward P/E ratio of 4.40, indicating it is undervalued compared to its growth potential. Additionally, the stock has shown a recent price increase of 4.99% over the last five days, suggesting positive momentum. However, a potential risk is the high debt-to-equity ratio of 90.06%, which could impact financial stability if not managed properly.

Analyst Ratings (20)

-24.05% Downside
Buy
10 Buy
10 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 39.50
Low
23.00
Average
30.00
High
42.00

Truist

2026-10-07

Price Target

$48

Buy

Mizuho

2026-10-07

Price Target

$39

Outperform

KeyBanc

2026-09-15

Price Target

$46

Overweight

UBS

2026-09-14

Price Target

$48

Buy

Stifel

2026-09-09

Price Target

$42

Hold

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for SM Energy Co (SM) is 4.41, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 5.40.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
5.40
Current P/E
4.41
Overvalued
6.57
Undervalued
4.23

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
3.37
Current EV/EBITDA
2.44
Overvalued
5.89
Undervalued
0.86

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.38
Current P/S
1.17
Overvalued
1.82
Undervalued
0.95

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for SM

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%SM

$32.02

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%SM

$29.61

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%SM

$25.00

Scenario price

Whales holding SM

G

Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC

+ HoldingSM

+12.74%

3M Return

E

Encompass Capital Advisors LLC

+ HoldingSM

-2.72%

3M Return

D

Donald Smith & Co., Inc.

+ HoldingSM

-3.26%

3M Return

SM FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

SM Energy Company is an independent energy company. It is a premier, scaled operator of top-tier oil and gas assets across United States shale basins, including the Permian Basin, DJ Basin, and Uinta Basin. The Permian Basin is a sedimentary basin in western Texas and southeastern New Mexico, United States noted for its petroleum, natural gas, and potassium deposits. The Permian Basin is made up of three component parts: the eastern Midland Basin, the Central Basin Platform, and the western Delaware Basin. Permian Basin assets comprise approximately 237,000 net acres located in the Midland Basin and Delaware Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. The DJ Basin assets comprise approximately 303,000 net acres located primarily in northeastern Colorado (DJ Basin) and provide development and exploration opportunities within multiple oil-rich intervals in the Niobrara and Codell formations. The Uinta Basin assets comprise approximately 62,000 net acres in northeastern Utah (Uinta Basin). It operates in the Energy sector (CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS industry).

SM Energy Co is a good buy right now due to its strong financial performance, highlighted by a remarkable one-year revenue growth rate of 75.4% and a forward P/E ratio of 4.40, indicating it is undervalued compared to its growth potential. Additionally, the stock has shown a recent price increase of 4.99% over the last five days, suggesting positive momentum. However, a potential risk is the high debt-to-equity ratio of 90.06%, which could impact financial stability if not managed properly.

20 analysts cover SM: 10 rate it Buy, 10 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 30.00.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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