SM Energy Co

SM Energy Co (SM) Stock Analysis

$36.620

-0.190 (-0.52%)At close

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High
37.050
Open
36.910
VWAP
36.61
Vol
4.48M
Mkt Cap
4.99B
Low
36.150
Amount
164.04M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
2.44

SM Energy Company is an independent energy company. It is a premier, scaled operator of top-tier oil and gas assets across United States shale basins, including the Permian Basin, DJ Basin, and Uinta Basin. The Permian Basin is a sedimentary basin in western Texas and southeastern New Mexico, United States noted for its petroleum, natural gas, and potassium deposits. The Permian Basin is made up of three component parts: the eastern Midland Basin, the Central Basin Platform, and the western Delaware Basin. Permian Basin assets comprise approximately 229,000 net acres located in the Midland Basin and Delaware Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. The DJ Basin assets comprise approximately 303,000 net acres located primarily in northeastern Colorado (DJ Basin) and provide development and exploration opportunities within multiple oil-rich intervals in the Niobrara and Codell formations. The Uinta Basin assets comprise approximately 62,000 net acres in northeastern Utah (Uinta Basin).

AI analysis of SM Energy Co (SM)

buy

SM Energy is a good buy right now due to its strong financial performance and positive market sentiment. The current price is $36.62, and the forward P/E ratio is an attractive 5.06, indicating potential for growth. Additionally, the company has a robust one-year revenue growth rate of 75.4% and a gross margin of 48.7%, which are both impressive figures. The main risk is the recent volatility in net income, which saw a significant drop to -335 million in Q1 2026, but the recovery to 1.07 billion in Q2 2026 suggests a positive trend.

Analyst Ratings (20)

-18.08% downside
Buy
10 Buy
10 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 36.62
Low
23.00
Average
30.00
High
42.00

Wells Fargo

2026-08-12

Price Target

$47

Overweight

Truist

2026-08-10

Price Target

$43

Buy

Susquehanna

2026-07-21

Price Target

$32

Neutral

Raymond James

2026-07-21

Price Target

$48

Outperform

UBS

2026-07-14

Price Target

$36

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for SM Energy Co (SM) is 5.06, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 5.50.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
5.50
Current P/E
5.06
Overvalued
6.82
Undervalued
4.17

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
3.40
Current EV/EBITDA
2.44
Overvalued
5.92
Undervalued
0.89

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.38
Current P/S
1.16
Overvalued
1.82
Undervalued
0.95

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for SM

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%SM

$32.02

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%SM

$29.61

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%SM

$25.00

Scenario price

Whales holding SM

D

Donald Smith & Co., Inc.

+ HoldingSM

+13.02%

3M Return

C

Capital Counsel LLC

+ HoldingSM

+3.98%

3M Return

A

Aristeia Capital, LLC

+ HoldingSM

+3.11%

3M Return

G

Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC

+ HoldingSM

+0.20%

3M Return

W

Whitebox Advisors LLC

+ HoldingSM

-0.18%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-05 (ET)

16:30:00

SM Raises Second-Half Production Outlook to 435-440 MBoe/d

16:30:00

Company Reports Q2 Production of Approximately 440 MBoe/d

16:30:00

SM Reports Q2 EPS of $2.19, Beats Consensus

2026-06-22 (ET)

16:30:00

Nasdaq Declines Amid Weakness in Tech Stocks

12:30:00

S&P 500 Declines Amid Weakness in Tech Stocks

News

SM FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

SM Energy Company is an independent energy company. It is a premier, scaled operator of top-tier oil and gas assets across United States shale basins, including the Permian Basin, DJ Basin, and Uinta Basin. The Permian Basin is a sedimentary basin in western Texas and southeastern New Mexico, United States noted for its petroleum, natural gas, and potassium deposits. The Permian Basin is made up of three component parts: the eastern Midland Basin, the Central Basin Platform, and the western Delaware Basin. Permian Basin assets comprise approximately 229,000 net acres located in the Midland Basin and Delaware Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. The DJ Basin assets comprise approximately 303,000 net acres located primarily in northeastern Colorado (DJ Basin) and provide development and exploration opportunities within multiple oil-rich intervals in the Niobrara and Codell formations. The Uinta Basin assets comprise approximately 62,000 net acres in northeastern Utah (Uinta Basin). It operates in the Energy sector (CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS industry).

SM Energy is a good buy right now due to its strong financial performance and positive market sentiment. The current price is $36.62, and the forward P/E ratio is an attractive 5.06, indicating potential for growth. Additionally, the company has a robust one-year revenue growth rate of 75.4% and a gross margin of 48.7%, which are both impressive figures. The main risk is the recent volatility in net income, which saw a significant drop to -335 million in Q1 2026, but the recovery to 1.07 billion in Q2 2026 suggests a positive trend.

20 analysts cover SM: 10 rate it Buy, 10 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 30.00.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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