Rivian Automotive Inc

Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN) Stock Analysis

$12.420

-0.573 (-4.61%)At close

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High
13.190
Open
13.150
VWAP
12.66
Volume
26.03M
Mkt Cap
14.40B
Low
12.360
Amount
329.43M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-4.05

Rivian Automotive, Inc. is an automotive technology company, which is engaged in developing and manufacturing category-defining electric vehicles (EVs) as well as vertically integrated technologies and services. The Company's R1 platform consists of two vehicles: the R1T, a two-row five-passenger pickup truck, and the R1S, a three-row seven-passenger sport utility vehicle (SUV). In the commercial market, the Company offers a Rivian Commercial Vehicle (RCV) platform. The vehicle on this platform is the Electric Delivery Van (EDV), designed and engineered by Rivian in collaboration with Amazon. The Company also offers FleetOS, its proprietary, end-to-end centralized fleet management subscription platform. It also offers a variety of services, including vehicle repair and maintenance, financing, insurance, joint venture, software subscriptions, and vehicle accessories, among others. Its other services include vehicle electrical architecture and software development services, and more.

rivian.com

AI analysis of Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN)

Sell

Rivian Automotive Inc is not a good buy right now due to its current price of $12.42, which is significantly below the average analyst price target of $20.75. The stock has a very low RSI of 10.15, indicating it is oversold, but the negative momentum and declining gross margins (currently at 10.80%) suggest further downside risk. Additionally, the company has reported substantial net income losses, with a projected EPS of -0.86 for the next earnings date, indicating ongoing financial struggles. The main risk is the high debt-to-equity ratio of 102.48%, which raises concerns about financial stability.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN) is 0.00, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -5.16.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
-5.16
Current P/E
0.00
Overvalued
-2.42
Undervalued
-7.89

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-5.26
Current EV/EBITDA
-4.05
Overvalued
-1.09
Undervalued
-9.43

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
7.09
Current P/S
1.61
Overvalued
20.58
Undervalued
-6.40

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for RIVN

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%RIVN

$23.22

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%RIVN

$19.09

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%RIVN

$15.54

Scenario price

Whales holding RIVN

G

Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co. LLC

+ HoldingRIVN

+3.49%

3M Return

B

Baillie Gifford

+ HoldingRIVN

+2.43%

3M Return

S

Slate Path Capital LP

+ HoldingRIVN

-0.04%

3M Return

G

Greenhouse Funds LLLP

+ HoldingRIVN

-0.40%

3M Return

A

Amazon.com, Inc.

+ HoldingRIVN

-25.35%

3M Return

P

Porsche Automobil Holding SE

+ HoldingRIVN

-29.10%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-15 (ET)

13:30:00

Rivian Shares Up 0.46% to $13.01

2026-10-14 (ET)

09:30:00

Rivian Expands Partnership with Redwood Materials

2026-10-07 (ET)

16:30:00

Rivian Secures $1 Billion Loan from Volkswagen Group

2026-10-02 (ET)

17:00:00

Major U.S. Averages Rise on Jobs Data

12:30:00

Major Averages Rise as Jobs Data Shows Weak Growth; Nasdaq Up 1.09%

News

RIVN FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Rivian Automotive, Inc. is an automotive technology company, which is engaged in developing and manufacturing category-defining electric vehicles (EVs) as well as vertically integrated technologies and services. The Company's R1 platform consists of two vehicles: the R1T, a two-row five-passenger pickup truck, and the R1S, a three-row seven-passenger sport utility vehicle (SUV). In the commercial market, the Company offers a Rivian Commercial Vehicle (RCV) platform. The vehicle on this platform is the Electric Delivery Van (EDV), designed and engineered by Rivian in collaboration with Amazon. The Company also offers FleetOS, its proprietary, end-to-end centralized fleet management subscription platform. It also offers a variety of services, including vehicle repair and maintenance, financing, insurance, joint venture, software subscriptions, and vehicle accessories, among others. Its other services include vehicle electrical architecture and software development services, and more. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES industry).

Rivian Automotive Inc is not a good buy right now due to its current price of $12.42, which is significantly below the average analyst price target of $20.75. The stock has a very low RSI of 10.15, indicating it is oversold, but the negative momentum and declining gross margins (currently at 10.80%) suggest further downside risk. Additionally, the company has reported substantial net income losses, with a projected EPS of -0.86 for the next earnings date, indicating ongoing financial struggles. The main risk is the high debt-to-equity ratio of 102.48%, which raises concerns about financial stability.

Community

More ↗
0xSkewfalcon2 days ago

There's a good argument that $RIVN is a $15 stock, and if that's the case, the $15 11/20 calls at 0.44 currently are extremely cheap. Do with that information as you wish.

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lunarviper10/8/2026

$RIVN just got a $1B boost from Volkswagen. 💰🚗 6.03% fixed for 10 years. No payments until Oct. 2028. More cash. Longer runway 🛣️ But funding is no longer the main concern. Profitability is. ⚠️ We’d get bullish when RIVN hits its Q4 delivery target and turns automotive gross margin positive. 📈 For now, more cash — but the stock’s story hasn’t changed. 👀

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azureblock3510/4/2026

$RIVN Only two American automakers in U.S. history have never gone bankrupt... Ford and Tesla. The odds are not in Rivian's favor.

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