Progressive Corp

Progressive Corp (PGR) Stock Analysis

$230.180

+4.604 (+2.00%)At close

Loading chart…
High
230.340
Open
228.430
VWAP
229.29
Volume
1.84M
Mkt Cap
123.78B
Low
227.345
Amount
420.83M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
10.53

The Progressive Corporation is an insurance holding company, which has insurance and non-insurance subsidiaries and affiliates. The Company's segments include Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other indemnity. The Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products. Its special lines of products include recreational vehicles, such as motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft. The Company's Personal Lines products are sold through both the agency and direct channels. The Commercial Lines segment writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance, business-related general liability and commercial property insurance predominately for small businesses, and workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry. Its reinsurance activity includes both transactions which are regulated and those that are non-regulated. It offers Snapshot through hardware-based and/or mobile-app versions in all states, other than California.

AI analysis of Progressive Corp (PGR)

Buy

Progressive Corp is a good buy right now, trading at $228.07 with a forward P/E of 12.69, which is attractive compared to its historical averages. The stock has shown a strong 5-day change of +4.38% and a solid RSI of 71.776, indicating bullish momentum. However, the main risk is its recent price volatility, as seen with a -4.23% change following the last earnings report.

Analyst Ratings (19)

+11.70% upside
Buy
9 Buy
8 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 230.18
Low
214.00
Average
257.11
High
328.00

BofA

2026-10-25

Price Target

$262

Buy

Keefe Bruyette

2026-10-12

Price Target

$252

Outperform

Barclays

2026-10-07

Price Target

$247

Overweight

HSBC

2026-10-07

Price Target

$216

Hold

JPMorgan

2026-10-05

Price Target

$250

Neutral

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Progressive Corp (PGR) is 13.77, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 18.13.

Forward P/E

Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
18.13
Current P/E
13.77
Overvalued
22.44
Undervalued
13.82

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.63
Current EV/EBITDA
10.53
Overvalued
14.21
Undervalued
-0.95

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.43
Current P/S
1.45
Overvalued
1.64
Undervalued
1.21

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for PGR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%PGR

$415.84

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%PGR

$380.41

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%PGR

$334.74

Scenario price

Whales holding PGR

L

La Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec

+ HoldingPGR

+53.35%

3M Return

G

GQG Partners, LLC

+ HoldingPGR

+9.90%

3M Return

M

MUFG Securities EMEA plc

+ HoldingPGR

+3.71%

3M Return

G

Gillson Capital LP

+ HoldingPGR

+2.65%

3M Return

F

Fidelity International Ltd

+ HoldingPGR

+2.34%

3M Return

C

Chilton Investment Company, Inc.

+ HoldingPGR

+1.77%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-22 (ET)

15:00:00

DayOne Data Centers Weighs IPO Delay, Targeting $2.5B-$3B

2026-10-14 (ET)

09:00:00

Q3 Net Premiums Written Reach $22.3B

2026-09-23 (ET)

13:30:00

Insurify Blocks Meta's Muse from Accessing Its Platforms

2026-09-18 (ET)

16:30:00

Middle East War Influences Energy Prices and Markets

12:30:00

Stocks Drop as Treasury Yields Rebound

News

PGR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

The Progressive Corporation is an insurance holding company, which has insurance and non-insurance subsidiaries and affiliates. The Company's segments include Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other indemnity. The Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products. Its special lines of products include recreational vehicles, such as motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft. The Company's Personal Lines products are sold through both the agency and direct channels. The Commercial Lines segment writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance, business-related general liability and commercial property insurance predominately for small businesses, and workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry. Its reinsurance activity includes both transactions which are regulated and those that are non-regulated. It offers Snapshot through hardware-based and/or mobile-app versions in all states, other than California. It operates in the Financials sector (FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE industry).

Progressive Corp is a good buy right now, trading at $228.07 with a forward P/E of 12.69, which is attractive compared to its historical averages. The stock has shown a strong 5-day change of +4.38% and a solid RSI of 71.776, indicating bullish momentum. However, the main risk is its recent price volatility, as seen with a -4.23% change following the last earnings report.

19 analysts cover PGR: 9 rate it Buy, 8 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 257.11.

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RektEddy9/15/2026

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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