Progressive Corp

Progressive Corp (PGR) Stock Analysis

$229.620

+8.588 (+3.74%)At close

Loading chart…
High
229.810
Open
223.320
VWAP
227.30
Volume
2.35M
Mkt Cap
123.78B
Low
222.460
Amount
533.16M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
10.16

The Progressive Corporation is an insurance holding company, which has insurance and non-insurance subsidiaries and affiliates. The Company's segments include Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other indemnity. The Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products. Its special lines of products include recreational vehicles, such as motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft. The Company's Personal Lines products are sold through both the agency and direct channels. The Commercial Lines segment writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance, business-related general liability and commercial property insurance predominately for small businesses, and workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry. Its reinsurance activity includes both transactions which are regulated and those that are non-regulated. It offers Snapshot through hardware-based and/or mobile-app versions in all states, other than California.

AI analysis of Progressive Corp (PGR)

Buy

Progressive Corp is a good buy right now due to its strong fundamentals and favorable technical indicators. The current price of $218.49 is below the average analyst price target of $250, indicating potential upside. Additionally, the company has a solid forward P/E ratio of 12.69, suggesting it is reasonably valued compared to its earnings growth. However, a notable risk is the recent 4.23% drop in stock price following the latest earnings report, which could indicate market volatility ahead.

Analyst Ratings (19)

+11.97% upside
Buy
9 Buy
8 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 229.62
Low
214.00
Average
257.11
High
328.00

Keefe Bruyette

2026-10-12

Price Target

$252

Outperform

Barclays

2026-10-07

Price Target

$247

Overweight

HSBC

2026-10-07

Price Target

$216

Hold

JPMorgan

2026-10-05

Price Target

$250

Neutral

BofA

2026-09-20

Price Target

$302

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Progressive Corp (PGR) is 12.69, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 18.18.

Forward P/E

Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
18.18
Current P/E
12.69
Overvalued
22.49
Undervalued
13.86

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.58
Current EV/EBITDA
10.16
Overvalued
14.17
Undervalued
-1.01

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.43
Current P/S
1.40
Overvalued
1.64
Undervalued
1.21

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for PGR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%PGR

$415.84

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%PGR

$380.41

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%PGR

$334.74

Scenario price

Whales holding PGR

L

La Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec

+ HoldingPGR

+54.60%

3M Return

T

Towers Watson Investment Management Limited

+ HoldingPGR

+11.73%

3M Return

F

Fairholme Capital Management, L.L.C.

+ HoldingPGRAAPL

+8.94%

3M Return

C

Consulta Ltd.

+ HoldingPGR

+8.49%

3M Return

F

Fayez Sarofim & Co., LLC

+ HoldingPGR

+8.21%

3M Return

B

Barrow, Hanley, Mewhinney & Strauss, LLC

+ HoldingPGR

+7.54%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-22 (ET)

15:00:00

DayOne Data Centers Weighs IPO Delay, Targeting $2.5B-$3B

2026-10-14 (ET)

09:00:00

Q3 Net Premiums Written Reach $22.3B

2026-09-23 (ET)

13:30:00

Insurify Blocks Meta's Muse from Accessing Its Platforms

2026-09-18 (ET)

16:30:00

Middle East War Influences Energy Prices and Markets

12:30:00

Stocks Drop as Treasury Yields Rebound

News

PGR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

The Progressive Corporation is an insurance holding company, which has insurance and non-insurance subsidiaries and affiliates. The Company's segments include Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other indemnity. The Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products. Its special lines of products include recreational vehicles, such as motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft. The Company's Personal Lines products are sold through both the agency and direct channels. The Commercial Lines segment writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance, business-related general liability and commercial property insurance predominately for small businesses, and workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry. Its reinsurance activity includes both transactions which are regulated and those that are non-regulated. It offers Snapshot through hardware-based and/or mobile-app versions in all states, other than California. It operates in the Financials sector (FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE industry).

Progressive Corp is a good buy right now due to its strong fundamentals and favorable technical indicators. The current price of $218.49 is below the average analyst price target of $250, indicating potential upside. Additionally, the company has a solid forward P/E ratio of 12.69, suggesting it is reasonably valued compared to its earnings growth. However, a notable risk is the recent 4.23% drop in stock price following the latest earnings report, which could indicate market volatility ahead.

19 analysts cover PGR: 9 rate it Buy, 8 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 257.11.

Community

More ↗
RektEddy9/15/2026

$PGR $SYK $BMY Many people enter the crypto space chasing quick profits, but real, consistent success is built on knowledge, discipline, and the right guidance. That’s where having a reliable mentor makes all the difference. Craig has played a key role in helping me understand the markets with more clarity and confidence. His approach to trading goes beyond signals, it’s about building structure, managing risk, and staying focused on long-term growth. With his guidance and his YouTube videos, I’ve been able to make smarter decisions, avoid emotional trading, and stay consistent even in volatile conditions. The shift in mindset alone has been a game changer.

Show more
Sign up or log in to join the discussion

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Start trading