Progressive Corp

Progressive Corp (PGR) Stock Analysis

$218.640

+0.984 (+0.45%)At close

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High
220.070
Open
218.270
VWAP
218.74
Vol
924.97K
Mkt Cap
123.78B
Low
217.520
Amount
202.33M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
7.91

The Progressive Corporation is an insurance holding company, which has insurance and non-insurance subsidiaries and affiliates. The Company's segments include Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other indemnity. The Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products. Its special lines of products include recreational vehicles, such as motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft. The Company's Personal Lines products are sold through both the agency and direct channels. The Commercial Lines segment writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance, business-related general liability and commercial property insurance predominately for small businesses, and workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry. Its reinsurance activity includes both transactions which are regulated and those that are non-regulated. It offers Snapshot through hardware-based and/or mobile-app versions in all states, other than California.

AI analysis of Progressive Corp (PGR)

buy

Progressive Corp (PGR) is a good buy right now, trading at $218.64 with a forward P/E of 12.42, suggesting it is undervalued compared to its growth potential. The company has shown strong revenue growth, with Q2 2026 revenue at $23.6 billion, up from $22.2 billion in Q1 2026, indicating a solid upward trend. The RSI is at 53.30, indicating a neutral momentum, but the stock recently saw a 4% increase following positive earnings results, reflecting investor confidence. The main risk is the recent decline in net income, which fell to $961 million in July 2026 from $1.09 billion in July 2025, indicating some profitability challenges that could affect future performance.

Analyst Ratings (19)

+17.60% upside
Buy
9 Buy
8 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 218.64
Low
214.00
Average
257.11
High
328.00

UBS

2026-08-27

Price Target

$234

Neutral

Roth Capital

2026-08-20

Price Target

$245

Buy

BofA

2026-08-20

Price Target

$309

Buy

Keefe Bruyette

2026-08-19

Price Target

$250

Outperform

JPMorgan

2026-08-04

Price Target

$241

Neutral

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Progressive Corp (PGR) is 12.42, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 18.50.

Forward P/E

Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
18.50
Current P/E
12.42
Overvalued
22.82
Undervalued
14.17

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.34
Current EV/EBITDA
7.91
Overvalued
14.01
Undervalued
-1.33

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.42
Current P/S
1.38
Overvalued
1.64
Undervalued
1.19

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for PGR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%PGR

$415.84

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%PGR

$380.41

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%PGR

$334.74

Scenario price

Whales holding PGR

C

Chilton Investment Company, Inc.

+ HoldingPGR

+8.90%

3M Return

A

Artisan Partners Limited Partnership

+ HoldingPGR

+8.81%

3M Return

B

Brighthouse Investment Advisers, LLC

+ HoldingPGR

+8.07%

3M Return

B

Barrow, Hanley, Mewhinney & Strauss, LLC

+ HoldingPGR

+5.97%

3M Return

L

Longview Partners (Guernsey) Limited

+ HoldingPGR

+5.80%

3M Return

M

Madison Investment Holdings, Inc

+ HoldingPGR

+5.28%

3M Return

PGR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

The Progressive Corporation is an insurance holding company, which has insurance and non-insurance subsidiaries and affiliates. The Company's segments include Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other indemnity. The Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products. Its special lines of products include recreational vehicles, such as motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft. The Company's Personal Lines products are sold through both the agency and direct channels. The Commercial Lines segment writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance, business-related general liability and commercial property insurance predominately for small businesses, and workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry. Its reinsurance activity includes both transactions which are regulated and those that are non-regulated. It offers Snapshot through hardware-based and/or mobile-app versions in all states, other than California. It operates in the Financials sector (FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE industry).

Progressive Corp (PGR) is a good buy right now, trading at $218.64 with a forward P/E of 12.42, suggesting it is undervalued compared to its growth potential. The company has shown strong revenue growth, with Q2 2026 revenue at $23.6 billion, up from $22.2 billion in Q1 2026, indicating a solid upward trend. The RSI is at 53.30, indicating a neutral momentum, but the stock recently saw a 4% increase following positive earnings results, reflecting investor confidence. The main risk is the recent decline in net income, which fell to $961 million in July 2026 from $1.09 billion in July 2025, indicating some profitability challenges that could affect future performance.

19 analysts cover PGR: 9 rate it Buy, 8 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 257.11.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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