Obsidian Energy Ltd

Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) Stock Analysis

$11.970

+0.522 (+4.36%)At close

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High
12.035
Open
11.520
VWAP
11.79
Volume
669.60K
Mkt Cap
579.00M
Low
11.360
Amount
7.89M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
2.38

Obsidian Energy Ltd. is an intermediate-sized oil and gas producer with a portfolio asset, primarily on the Peace River, Willesden Green (Cardium and Belly River) and Viking areas in Alberta. The Company's business is to explore for, develop and hold interests in oil and natural gas properties and related production infrastructure in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. The Viking stands out as a shallow, light oil resource play with associated natural gas located in central Alberta. Its ownership is in cold-flow heavy oil resource within the heart of the Peace River Oilsands region. Its Peace River assets own large, contiguous, long-term land base of >700 sections with Bluesky and Clearwater heavy oil rights.

AI analysis of Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE)

Buy

Obsidian Energy Ltd appears to be a good buy right now due to its strong recent performance and positive financial indicators. The current price is $11.97, with a 5-day change of +7.64% and a year-to-date change of +90.30%. Additionally, the gross margin has improved significantly to 50.17% in Q2 2026, indicating strong profitability. However, the main risk is the net income, which was negative at -18.7 million CAD in Q1 2026, showing potential volatility in earnings.

Analyst Ratings (5)

-41.35% Downside
Hold
1 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 11.97
Low
6.84
Average
7.02
High
7.20

Raymond James

2026-09-16

Price Target

$21

Outperform

BMO Capital

2026-06-02

Price Target

$19

Outperform

BMO Capital

2026-05-08

Price Target

$18

Outperform

Raymond James

2026-03-30

Price Target

$15

Outperform

RBC Capital

2026-02-20

Price Target

$10

Sector Perform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) is 9.09, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 7.68.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
7.68
Current P/E
9.09
Overvalued
18.12
Undervalued
-2.75

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
2.97
Current EV/EBITDA
2.38
Overvalued
6.04
Undervalued
-0.11

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.88
Current P/S
0.96
Overvalued
1.07
Undervalued
0.69

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for OBE

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%OBE

$5.28

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%OBE

$4.89

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%OBE

$4.38

Scenario price

Whales holding OBE

G

GMT Capital Corp.

+ HoldingOBE

+1.49%

3M Return

OBE FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Obsidian Energy Ltd. is an intermediate-sized oil and gas producer with a portfolio asset, primarily on the Peace River, Willesden Green (Cardium and Belly River) and Viking areas in Alberta. The Company's business is to explore for, develop and hold interests in oil and natural gas properties and related production infrastructure in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. The Viking stands out as a shallow, light oil resource play with associated natural gas located in central Alberta. Its ownership is in cold-flow heavy oil resource within the heart of the Peace River Oilsands region. Its Peace River assets own large, contiguous, long-term land base of >700 sections with Bluesky and Clearwater heavy oil rights. It operates in the Energy sector (CRUDE PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS industry).

Obsidian Energy Ltd appears to be a good buy right now due to its strong recent performance and positive financial indicators. The current price is $11.97, with a 5-day change of +7.64% and a year-to-date change of +90.30%. Additionally, the gross margin has improved significantly to 50.17% in Q2 2026, indicating strong profitability. However, the main risk is the net income, which was negative at -18.7 million CAD in Q1 2026, showing potential volatility in earnings.

5 analysts cover OBE: 1 rate it Buy, 4 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 7.02.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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