Northern Oil and Gas Inc

Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG) Stock Analysis

$25.730

-0.345 (-1.34%)At close

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High
26.290
Open
26.010
VWAP
25.83
Vol
1.71M
Mkt Cap
3.81B
Low
25.460
Amount
44.03M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
2.57

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. operates as an independent energy company. The Company is engaged as a non-operator in the acquisition, exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas properties in North America, primarily in the Permian Basin, the Williston Basin, the Appalachian Basin, and the Uinta Basin in the United States. Its principal business is crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production in the United States. Its portfolio comprises 400,000 acres of low-breakeven lands with over 12,500 wells. Diversified by basin and across commodity type, its wells are operated by over 100 public and private operators. It engages in oil and natural gas exploration and production by participating on a proportionate basis alongside third-party interests in wells drilled and in spacing units that include its acreage. In addition, it acquires wellbore-only working interests in wells in which it does not hold the underlying leasehold interests from third parties.

AI analysis of Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG)

buy

Northern Oil and Gas Inc is a good buy right now, primarily due to its attractive forward P/E ratio of 6.79 and a strong gross margin of 45.83% in Q2 2026. The recent declaration of a quarterly dividend of $0.45 per share, yielding 8.71%, reflects stable cash flow and enhances investor confidence. However, the main risk is the negative net income reported in Q1 2026 of -522,847,000 USD, which indicates potential volatility in earnings.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+10.10% upside
Hold
0 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Current: 25.73
Low
25.00
Average
28.33
High
33.00

Citi

2026-07-20

Price Target

$28

Buy

Raymond James

2026-07-15

Price Target

$28

Outperform

Mizuho

2026-07-14

Price Target

$29

Neutral

Morgan Stanley

2026-06-29

Price Target

$25

Underweight

Johnson Rice

2026-05-20

Price Target

$36

Hold

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG) is 6.79, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 5.86.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
5.86
Current P/E
6.79
Overvalued
7.69
Undervalued
4.03

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
2.60
Current EV/EBITDA
2.57
Overvalued
4.88
Undervalued
0.32

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.36
Current P/S
1.20
Overvalued
1.62
Undervalued
1.10

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for NOG

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%NOG

$34.74

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%NOG

$30.97

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%NOG

$26.35

Scenario price

Whales holding NOG

J

Julius Baer Brasil Gestão de Patrimônio e Consultoria de Valores Mobiliários Ltda

+ HoldingNOG

+5.37%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-19 (ET)

07:30:00

Northern Oil and Gas Plans to Offer $500M Senior Notes

2026-08-06 (ET)

17:30:00

NOG Reports Q2 Revenue of $670.8M, Beating Estimates

17:30:00

Northern Oil and Gas Confirms FY26 Production View of 143K-148K boe/d

2026-07-13 (ET)

06:30:00

Northern Oil and Gas Updates Q2 Results and Buyback Plan

2026-06-01 (ET)

16:50:00

Northern Oil and Gas Files Automatic Mixed Securities Shelf

News

NOG FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. operates as an independent energy company. The Company is engaged as a non-operator in the acquisition, exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas properties in North America, primarily in the Permian Basin, the Williston Basin, the Appalachian Basin, and the Uinta Basin in the United States. Its principal business is crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production in the United States. Its portfolio comprises 400,000 acres of low-breakeven lands with over 12,500 wells. Diversified by basin and across commodity type, its wells are operated by over 100 public and private operators. It engages in oil and natural gas exploration and production by participating on a proportionate basis alongside third-party interests in wells drilled and in spacing units that include its acreage. In addition, it acquires wellbore-only working interests in wells in which it does not hold the underlying leasehold interests from third parties. It operates in the Energy sector (CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS industry).

Northern Oil and Gas Inc is a good buy right now, primarily due to its attractive forward P/E ratio of 6.79 and a strong gross margin of 45.83% in Q2 2026. The recent declaration of a quarterly dividend of $0.45 per share, yielding 8.71%, reflects stable cash flow and enhances investor confidence. However, the main risk is the negative net income reported in Q1 2026 of -522,847,000 USD, which indicates potential volatility in earnings.

6 analysts cover NOG: 0 rate it Buy, 5 Hold and 1 Sell. The average price target is 28.33.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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