Northern Oil and Gas Inc

Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG) Stock Analysis

$27.160

+1.488 (+5.48%)At close

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High
27.265
Open
26.050
VWAP
26.78
Volume
1.69M
Mkt Cap
3.81B
Low
25.910
Amount
45.31M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
2.47

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. operates as an independent energy company. The Company is engaged as a non-operator in the acquisition, exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas properties in North America, primarily in the Permian Basin, the Williston Basin, the Appalachian Basin, and the Uinta Basin in the United States. Its principal business is crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production in the United States. Its portfolio comprises 400,000 acres of low-breakeven lands with over 12,500 wells. Diversified by basin and across commodity type, its wells are operated by over 100 public and private operators. It engages in oil and natural gas exploration and production by participating on a proportionate basis alongside third-party interests in wells drilled and in spacing units that include its acreage. In addition, it acquires wellbore-only working interests in wells in which it does not hold the underlying leasehold interests from third parties.

AI analysis of Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG)

Buy

Northern Oil and Gas Inc appears to be a good buy right now due to its current price of $27.16 being significantly lower than the analyst average price target of $30.89, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 13.5%. Additionally, the company has reported a gross margin of 45.83% in Q2 2026, indicating strong profitability. However, investors should be cautious of the high debt-to-equity ratio of 136.56%, which poses a risk to financial stability.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+4.31% upside
Hold
0 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Current: 27.16
Low
25.00
Average
28.33
High
33.00

Raymond James

2026-09-10

Price Target

$31

Outperform

Citi

2026-07-20

Price Target

$28

Buy

Raymond James

2026-07-15

Price Target

$28

Outperform

Mizuho

2026-07-14

Price Target

$29

Neutral

Morgan Stanley

2026-06-29

Price Target

$25

Underweight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG) is 4.56, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 5.89.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
5.89
Current P/E
4.56
Overvalued
7.69
Undervalued
4.08

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
2.58
Current EV/EBITDA
2.47
Overvalued
4.86
Undervalued
0.31

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.36
Current P/S
1.12
Overvalued
1.62
Undervalued
1.10

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for NOG

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%NOG

$34.74

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%NOG

$30.97

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%NOG

$26.35

Scenario price

Whales holding NOG

E

Encompass Capital Advisors LLC

+ HoldingNOG

-2.72%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-12 (ET)

16:30:00

NOG Closes 19 Deals in Q3 with Capital Expenditures of $250 Million

2026-08-19 (ET)

07:30:00

Northern Oil and Gas Plans to Offer $500M Senior Notes

2026-08-06 (ET)

17:30:00

NOG Reports Q2 Revenue of $670.8M, Beating Estimates

17:30:00

Northern Oil and Gas Confirms FY26 Production View of 143K-148K boe/d

2026-07-13 (ET)

06:30:00

Northern Oil and Gas Updates Q2 Results and Buyback Plan

News

NOG FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. operates as an independent energy company. The Company is engaged as a non-operator in the acquisition, exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas properties in North America, primarily in the Permian Basin, the Williston Basin, the Appalachian Basin, and the Uinta Basin in the United States. Its principal business is crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production in the United States. Its portfolio comprises 400,000 acres of low-breakeven lands with over 12,500 wells. Diversified by basin and across commodity type, its wells are operated by over 100 public and private operators. It engages in oil and natural gas exploration and production by participating on a proportionate basis alongside third-party interests in wells drilled and in spacing units that include its acreage. In addition, it acquires wellbore-only working interests in wells in which it does not hold the underlying leasehold interests from third parties. It operates in the Energy sector (CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS industry).

Northern Oil and Gas Inc appears to be a good buy right now due to its current price of $27.16 being significantly lower than the analyst average price target of $30.89, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 13.5%. Additionally, the company has reported a gross margin of 45.83% in Q2 2026, indicating strong profitability. However, investors should be cautious of the high debt-to-equity ratio of 136.56%, which poses a risk to financial stability.

6 analysts cover NOG: 0 rate it Buy, 5 Hold and 1 Sell. The average price target is 28.33.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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