$12.310
-0.090 (-0.73%)At close
Price Predictions
Open in app to unlock longer-horizon forecasts.
NCDL Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Alphio's NCDL stock price prediction model matches the current Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp tape against historical breakout patterns, then publishes 1-day and 1-week targets first. The 1-day print is $12.31 (+0.03%). The 1-week path is $12.37 (+0.45%). Longer windows use the same pattern set plus seasonality; the 1-month and multi-year forecasts sit behind unlock because they include precise min / avg / max bands.
Should I Buy Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp Stock?
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL) is not a good buy right now due to its current price of $12.31 being below analyst targets, with a forward P/E of 7.93 indicating potential undervaluation but also reflecting market concerns. The recent decline in net income to $3.59 million in Q2 2026, down from $36.64 million in Q3 2024, raises concerns about future profitability and dividend sustainability. The main risk is the downgrade by Wells Fargo, which highlights the risk of continued non-accruals impacting dividend coverage.
NCDL stock price ended at $12.31 on Friday, after losing -0.73%
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL) last closed at $12.31, losing -0.73%. These facts feed the 1-day and 1-week NCDL price prediction above.
Forecast Drivers
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL) forecast drivers combine similar chart patterns, seasonality, and moving averages.
Similar patterns
Bullish
Seasonality
Bearish
SMA 20
Bearish
SMA 200
Bearish
Similar Chart Patterns
Stocks whose recent price path most closely matches NCDL, ranked by similarity.
Seasonality analysis for NCDL
Historically the probability of a positive August return for NCDL is 39.68%. February offers the highest probability of a positive month at 86.21%, while August is the weakest seasonal window. Alphio blends this calendar with technical signals and similar chart pattern matching before it writes the forecast.
10-year price projections for NCDL
| Month | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $14.06 | $17.37 | $17.98 | +41.12% |
| Sep 2026 | $18.00 | $18.58 | $20.92 | +50.93% |
| Oct 2026 | $18.08 | $19.25 | $19.44 | +56.40% |
| Nov 2026 | $18.42 | $18.73 | $21.36 | +52.14% |
| Dec 2026 | $18.45 | $19.43 | $22.39 | +57.84% |
In 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL) is projected to range from $14.06 to $22.39.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp 2026 monthly forecast
In Aug 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp is projected to average $17.37, with a low of $14.06 and high of $17.98.
In Sep 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp is projected to average $18.58, with a low of $18.00 and high of $20.92.
In Oct 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp is projected to average $19.25, with a low of $18.08 and high of $19.44.
In Nov 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp is projected to average $18.73, with a low of $18.42 and high of $21.36.
In Dec 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp is projected to average $19.43, with a low of $18.45 and high of $22.39.
This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.