Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL) Stock Analysis

$11.100

+0.245 (+2.21%)At close

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High
11.220
Open
10.770
VWAP
11.03
Volume
462.36K
Mkt Cap
—
Low
10.770
Amount
5.10M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
0.00

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. is a specialty finance company. The Company's investment objective is to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns through current income by investing primarily in senior secured loans to private equity-owned United States middle market companies. It invests in directly originated senior secured loans that typically pay floating interest rates and are senior in the capital structure to junior debt and equity. It primarily focuses on investments in United States middle market companies with $10 million to $100 million of EBITDA, which it considers the core middle market. Its portfolio is comprised primarily of first-lien senior secured debt and unitranche loans. It also opportunistically invests in junior capital opportunities, including second-lien loans, equity co-investments and similar equity-related securities. It is externally managed by its investment adviser, Churchill DLC Advisor LLC, and by its sub-adviser, Churchill Asset Management LLC.

AI analysis of Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL)

Hold

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL) is currently not a strong buy due to its declining performance metrics. The current price is $10.55, which is significantly below its 200-day simple moving average of $12.826, indicating a bearish trend. Additionally, the RSI is at 42.439, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory but not yet a strong buy signal. The forward P/E ratio is 8.39, which is attractive, but the company has shown a negative 21.79% year-to-date change and a 27.54% decline over the past year, indicating ongoing challenges. The main risk is the declining net income, which dropped to $3,594,000 in Q2 2026 from $29,451,000 in Q4 2024, reflecting potential issues in sustaining profitability.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL) is 8.39, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 8.12.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
8.12
Current P/E
8.39
Overvalued
8.36
Undervalued
7.87

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
35.32
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued
35.64
Undervalued
34.99

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
3.56
Current P/S
3.03
Overvalued
3.84
Undervalued
3.29

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for NCDL

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%NCDL

$22.39

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%NCDL

$19.43

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%NCDL

$18.45

Scenario price

Whales holding NCDL

A

Ares Management LLC

+ HoldingNCDL

-11.91%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-06 (ET)

08:00:00

NCDL Reports Q2 Net Asset Value Per Share of $17.19

2026-05-07 (ET)

07:40:00

Company's Board Declares $0.36 Per Share Dividend

07:40:00

NCDL Reports Net Asset Value Per Share of $17.50

2026-02-26 (ET)

08:00:00

NCDL Reports Q4 NAV per Share of $17.72

2025-11-04 (ET)

07:56:50

Nuveen Churchill announces Q3 EPS of 43 cents, below consensus estimate of 45 cents

News

NCDL FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. is a specialty finance company. The Company's investment objective is to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns through current income by investing primarily in senior secured loans to private equity-owned United States middle market companies. It invests in directly originated senior secured loans that typically pay floating interest rates and are senior in the capital structure to junior debt and equity. It primarily focuses on investments in United States middle market companies with $10 million to $100 million of EBITDA, which it considers the core middle market. Its portfolio is comprised primarily of first-lien senior secured debt and unitranche loans. It also opportunistically invests in junior capital opportunities, including second-lien loans, equity co-investments and similar equity-related securities. It is externally managed by its investment adviser, Churchill DLC Advisor LLC, and by its sub-adviser, Churchill Asset Management LLC. It operates in the Financials sector.

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL) is currently not a strong buy due to its declining performance metrics. The current price is $10.55, which is significantly below its 200-day simple moving average of $12.826, indicating a bearish trend. Additionally, the RSI is at 42.439, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory but not yet a strong buy signal. The forward P/E ratio is 8.39, which is attractive, but the company has shown a negative 21.79% year-to-date change and a 27.54% decline over the past year, indicating ongoing challenges. The main risk is the declining net income, which dropped to $3,594,000 in Q2 2026 from $29,451,000 in Q4 2024, reflecting potential issues in sustaining profitability.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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