Matador Resources Co

Matador Resources Co (MTDR) Stock Analysis

$53.770

-1.382 (-2.57%)At close

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High
55.730
Open
55.120
VWAP
54.34
Volume
1.45M
Mkt Cap
7.44B
Low
53.515
Amount
78.79M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
2.93

Matador Resources Company is an independent energy company. The Company is engaged in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States, with an emphasis on oil and natural gas shale and other unconventional plays. Its operations are focused primarily on the oil and liquids-rich portion of the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in the Delaware Basin in Southeast New Mexico and West Texas. It also operates in the Haynesville shale, and Cotton Valley plays in Northwest Louisiana. Additionally, the Company conducts midstream operations primarily through its midstream joint venture, San Mateo Midstream, LLC and its subsidiaries in support of, and to provide flow assurance for, the Company’s exploration, development and production operations, and San Mateo provides natural gas processing, oil transportation services, oil, natural gas and produced water gathering services and produced water disposal services to third parties.

AI analysis of Matador Resources Co (MTDR)

Buy

Matador Resources Co is a good buy right now, trading at $54.28 with a forward P/E of 5.50, indicating strong valuation potential. The recent insider purchase of 2,500 shares at $56.64 reflects confidence in the company's future, while the gross margin of 60.57% in Q2 2026 shows robust profitability. The main risk is the recent decline in free cash flow, which reached $(568) million, suggesting financial pressures that could impact future performance.

Analyst Ratings (19)

+6.16% upside
Buy
14 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 53.77
Low
50.00
Average
57.08
High
70.00

KeyBanc

2026-09-15

Price Target

$73

Overweight

UBS

2026-09-14

Price Target

$64

Neutral

Stifel

2026-09-09

Price Target

$66

Buy

Seaport Research

2026-09-02

Price Target

—

Neutral

Wells Fargo

2026-09-02

Price Target

$77

Overweight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Matador Resources Co (MTDR) is 5.50, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 7.64.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
7.64
Current P/E
5.50
Overvalued
10.02
Undervalued
5.26

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
4.09
Current EV/EBITDA
2.93
Overvalued
4.93
Undervalued
3.26

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
1.93
Current P/S
1.50
Overvalued
2.34
Undervalued
1.51

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for MTDR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%MTDR

$42.99

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%MTDR

$42.82

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%MTDR

$39.99

Scenario price

Whales holding MTDR

G

Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC

+ HoldingMTDR

+10.07%

3M Return

C

Champlain Investment Partners, LLC

+ HoldingMTDR

+4.06%

3M Return

R

Recurrent Investment Advisors LLC

+ HoldingMTDR

+1.62%

3M Return

C

Copeland Capital Management, LLC

+ HoldingMTDR

-6.86%

3M Return

MTDR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Matador Resources Company is an independent energy company. The Company is engaged in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States, with an emphasis on oil and natural gas shale and other unconventional plays. Its operations are focused primarily on the oil and liquids-rich portion of the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in the Delaware Basin in Southeast New Mexico and West Texas. It also operates in the Haynesville shale, and Cotton Valley plays in Northwest Louisiana. Additionally, the Company conducts midstream operations primarily through its midstream joint venture, San Mateo Midstream, LLC and its subsidiaries in support of, and to provide flow assurance for, the Company’s exploration, development and production operations, and San Mateo provides natural gas processing, oil transportation services, oil, natural gas and produced water gathering services and produced water disposal services to third parties. It operates in the Energy sector (CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS industry).

Matador Resources Co is a good buy right now, trading at $54.28 with a forward P/E of 5.50, indicating strong valuation potential. The recent insider purchase of 2,500 shares at $56.64 reflects confidence in the company's future, while the gross margin of 60.57% in Q2 2026 shows robust profitability. The main risk is the recent decline in free cash flow, which reached $(568) million, suggesting financial pressures that could impact future performance.

19 analysts cover MTDR: 14 rate it Buy, 5 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 57.08.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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