Warrior Met Coal Inc

Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Stock Analysis

$89.460

-0.519 (-0.58%)At close

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High
90.425
Open
90.280
VWAP
89.34
Volume
495.68K
Mkt Cap
3.22B
Low
88.140
Amount
44.28M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
7.70

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is a producer and exporter of steelmaking coal, also known as hard coking coal (HCC), operating longwall operations in its underground mines based in Alabama. The Company's three operating mines: Mine No. 4, Mine No. 7 and Blue Creek. Mine No. 4 and Mine No. 7 are located approximately 300 miles from its export terminal at the Port of Mobile in Alabama. The Company sells its coal to a diversified customer base of blast furnace steel producers, primarily located in Europe, South America and Asia. The Company’s HCC, mined from the Southern Appalachian region of the United States, is characterized by low-to-high volatile matter, low sulfur, high fluidity, and high strength. Mine No. 4 and Mine No. 7 are located approximately 20 miles east of Tuscaloosa, Alabama and 30 miles southwest of Birmingham, Alabama. Its natural gas operations remove and sell natural gas from its owned and leased coal seams by reducing natural gas levels in our mines.

AI analysis of Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC)

Buy

Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) is a good buy right now due to its current price of $93.07, which is below the average analyst price target of $102, suggesting a potential upside of about 9.6%. Additionally, the stock has shown strong earnings growth with a net income of $87 million in Q2 2026 and an EPS of $1.65, reflecting a solid profitability outlook. However, a risk to consider is the recent insider selling, which has increased by 592.61%, indicating some caution from management.

Analyst Ratings (10)

-7.22% Downside
Hold
4 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Current: 89.46
Low
72.00
Average
83.00
High
100.00

UBS

2026-10-08

Price Target

$102

Buy

Jefferies

2026-07-09

Price Target

$110

Buy

UBS

2026-06-30

Price Target

$100

Buy

UBS

2026-05-01

Price Target

$102

Buy

B. Riley

2026-04-30

Price Target

$117

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) is 16.23, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 11.12.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
11.12
Current P/E
16.23
Overvalued
24.26
Undervalued
-2.01

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
5.72
Current EV/EBITDA
7.70
Overvalued
9.92
Undervalued
1.52

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.71
Current P/S
2.17
Overvalued
2.23
Undervalued
1.18

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for HCC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%HCC

$41.74

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%HCC

$34.54

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%HCC

$29.20

Scenario price

Whales holding HCC

G

Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC

+ HoldingHCC

+9.54%

3M Return

H

Hosking Partners LLP

+ HoldingHCC

+1.12%

3M Return

G

GoldenTree Asset Management LP

+ HoldingHCC

-14.57%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-05 (ET)

16:30:00

Warrior Reports Q2 Revenue of $509.69M, Beating Expectations

2026-04-30 (ET)

16:41:00

Warrior Reports Q1 Revenue of $458.59M, Below Consensus

16:40:00

Company Reaffirms 2026 Coal Sales Guidance

2026-02-12 (ET)

16:30:00

Warrior Reports Q4 Revenue of $384.0M

16:30:00

Warrior Met Coal Sees FY26 Coal Sales of 12.5-13.5M Short Tons

News

HCC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is a producer and exporter of steelmaking coal, also known as hard coking coal (HCC), operating longwall operations in its underground mines based in Alabama. The Company's three operating mines: Mine No. 4, Mine No. 7 and Blue Creek. Mine No. 4 and Mine No. 7 are located approximately 300 miles from its export terminal at the Port of Mobile in Alabama. The Company sells its coal to a diversified customer base of blast furnace steel producers, primarily located in Europe, South America and Asia. The Company’s HCC, mined from the Southern Appalachian region of the United States, is characterized by low-to-high volatile matter, low sulfur, high fluidity, and high strength. Mine No. 4 and Mine No. 7 are located approximately 20 miles east of Tuscaloosa, Alabama and 30 miles southwest of Birmingham, Alabama. Its natural gas operations remove and sell natural gas from its owned and leased coal seams by reducing natural gas levels in our mines. It operates in the Basic Materials sector (BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE MINING industry).

Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) is a good buy right now due to its current price of $93.07, which is below the average analyst price target of $102, suggesting a potential upside of about 9.6%. Additionally, the stock has shown strong earnings growth with a net income of $87 million in Q2 2026 and an EPS of $1.65, reflecting a solid profitability outlook. However, a risk to consider is the recent insider selling, which has increased by 592.61%, indicating some caution from management.

10 analysts cover HCC: 4 rate it Buy, 5 Hold and 1 Sell. The average price target is 83.00.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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