Greenfire Resources Ltd

Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR) Stock Analysis

$6.570

+0.122 (+1.86%)At close

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High
6.700
Open
6.480
VWAP
6.58
Volume
2.76M
Mkt Cap
448.98M
Low
6.470
Amount
18.14M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
3.71

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based company. The Company and its subsidiaries are engaged in the exploration, development and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta. Its operations include Thermal Oil Operations, Top Quality Reservoir, Hangingstone Facilities, Infrastructure & Pipelines and Cooperation with Trafigura. Its operations in the Canadian oil sands leverage in situ thermal oil development to access Western Canada’s energy resources. It operates over two steam-assisted gravity drainage(SAGD) oil production facilities within the same reservoir at Hangingstone, situated approximately 50 kilometers (km) south of Fort McMurray in Northern Alberta. Its Demo Asset is located over 50 km south of Fort McMurray, Alberta. It has 100% working interest and is an operator. The Expansion Asset and Demo Asset (together the Hangingstone Facilities) have a SAGD reservoir.

AI analysis of Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR)

Buy

Greenfire Resources is a good buy right now due to its current price of 6.57, a strong RSI of 63.416 indicating bullish momentum, and a significant year-to-date change of +36.59%. The recent acquisition of shares by Waterous Energy Fund at C$6.65 per share suggests confidence in the company's future. However, the main risk is the reported Q1 2026 net income loss of CAD 73 million, which indicates ongoing financial challenges.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR) is 7.69, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 6.84.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
6.84
Current P/E
7.69
Overvalued
17.71
Undervalued
-4.04

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
1.97
Current EV/EBITDA
3.71
Overvalued
4.19
Undervalued
-0.25

Forward P/S

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
0.44
Current P/S
1.73
Overvalued
0.89
Undervalued
-0.00

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for GFR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%GFR

$6.26

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%GFR

$5.31

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%GFR

$4.83

Scenario price

Whales holding GFR

E

Encompass Capital Advisors LLC

+ HoldingGFR

-2.72%

3M Return

GFR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based company. The Company and its subsidiaries are engaged in the exploration, development and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta. Its operations include Thermal Oil Operations, Top Quality Reservoir, Hangingstone Facilities, Infrastructure & Pipelines and Cooperation with Trafigura. Its operations in the Canadian oil sands leverage in situ thermal oil development to access Western Canada’s energy resources. It operates over two steam-assisted gravity drainage(SAGD) oil production facilities within the same reservoir at Hangingstone, situated approximately 50 kilometers (km) south of Fort McMurray in Northern Alberta. Its Demo Asset is located over 50 km south of Fort McMurray, Alberta. It has 100% working interest and is an operator. The Expansion Asset and Demo Asset (together the Hangingstone Facilities) have a SAGD reservoir. It operates in the Energy sector (CRUDE PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS industry).

Greenfire Resources is a good buy right now due to its current price of 6.57, a strong RSI of 63.416 indicating bullish momentum, and a significant year-to-date change of +36.59%. The recent acquisition of shares by Waterous Energy Fund at C$6.65 per share suggests confidence in the company's future. However, the main risk is the reported Q1 2026 net income loss of CAD 73 million, which indicates ongoing financial challenges.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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