Greenfire Resources Ltd

Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR) Stock Analysis

$6.290

+0.133 (+2.11%)At close

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High
6.310
Open
6.250
VWAP
6.23
Vol
1.32M
Mkt Cap
448.98M
Low
6.090
Amount
8.23M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
1.68

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based company. The Company and its subsidiaries are engaged in the exploration, development and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta. Its operations include Thermal Oil Operations, Top Quality Reservoir, Hangingstone Facilities, Infrastructure & Pipelines and Cooperation with Trafigura. Its operations in the Canadian oil sands leverage in situ thermal oil development to access Western Canada’s energy resources. It operates over two steam-assisted gravity drainage(SAGD) oil production facilities within the same reservoir at Hangingstone, situated approximately 50 kilometers (km) south of Fort McMurray in Northern Alberta. Its Demo Asset is located over 50 km south of Fort McMurray, Alberta. It has 100% working interest and is an operator. The Expansion Asset and Demo Asset (together the Hangingstone Facilities) have a SAGD reservoir.

AI analysis of Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR)

hold

Greenfire Resources Ltd is currently not a good buy due to recent financial struggles and declining production, despite some positive analyst ratings. The stock is trading at C$6.06, with a low RSI of 33.92 indicating potential oversold conditions. However, the company reported a significant net loss of C$73 million in Q1 2026 and has lowered its production guidance, which raises concerns about its growth prospects.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR) is 43.29, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 6.72.

Forward P/E

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
6.72
Current P/E
43.29
Overvalued
17.66
Undervalued
-4.21

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
1.94
Current EV/EBITDA
1.68
Overvalued
4.19
Undervalued
-0.30

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.41
Current P/S
0.73
Overvalued
0.83
Undervalued
-0.00

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for GFR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%GFR

$6.26

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%GFR

$5.31

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%GFR

$4.83

Scenario price

Whales holding GFR

E

Encompass Capital Advisors LLC

+ HoldingGFR

-5.42%

3M Return

GFR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based company. The Company and its subsidiaries are engaged in the exploration, development and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta. Its operations include Thermal Oil Operations, Top Quality Reservoir, Hangingstone Facilities, Infrastructure & Pipelines and Cooperation with Trafigura. Its operations in the Canadian oil sands leverage in situ thermal oil development to access Western Canada’s energy resources. It operates over two steam-assisted gravity drainage(SAGD) oil production facilities within the same reservoir at Hangingstone, situated approximately 50 kilometers (km) south of Fort McMurray in Northern Alberta. Its Demo Asset is located over 50 km south of Fort McMurray, Alberta. It has 100% working interest and is an operator. The Expansion Asset and Demo Asset (together the Hangingstone Facilities) have a SAGD reservoir. It operates in the Energy sector (CRUDE PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS industry).

Greenfire Resources Ltd is currently not a good buy due to recent financial struggles and declining production, despite some positive analyst ratings. The stock is trading at C$6.06, with a low RSI of 33.92 indicating potential oversold conditions. However, the company reported a significant net loss of C$73 million in Q1 2026 and has lowered its production guidance, which raises concerns about its growth prospects.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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