Firefly Aerospace Inc

Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY) Stock Analysis

$16.750

-1.015 (-6.06%)At close

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High
18.040
Open
17.680
VWAP
17.14
Volume
3.13M
Mkt Cap
—
Low
16.630
Amount
53.69M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-4.79

Firefly Aerospace Inc. is a space and defense technology company. The Company provides comprehensive mission solutions to national security, government, and commercial customers. It has designed, developed, and deployed its vehicles and dynamic spacecraft solutions to support critical customer missions across the space domain. It has a differentiated and scalable platform of Launch and Spacecraft Solutions with flight heritage. Within Launch, it has two offerings built on common technologies: Alpha and Eclipse. Alpha is a United States-based orbital rocket in the 1,000 kilograms class to successfully reach orbit, with four launches completed. Eclipse, a reusable and scaled up version of Alpha. Its Spacecraft Solutions include Blue Ghost lander (Blue Ghost) and Elytra offerings, highlight the heritage of common technologies from its launch vehicles. Blue Ghost Lander and Elytra are highly maneuverable spacecraft enabled by high-performance rocket engine technology.

AI analysis of Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY)

Hold

Firefly Aerospace Inc is currently trading at $20, which is significantly below several analyst price targets, including $34 from Barclays and $35 from Jefferies. However, the stock has a low RSI of 24.366, indicating it is oversold, but it has also seen a steep decline of 33.07% over the past year. The company reported a substantial revenue growth of 659% year-over-year in Q2, reaching $117.7 million, which suggests strong growth potential. However, the main risk is the ongoing net losses, with a reported net income loss of approximately $92 million in Q2 2026, which raises concerns about sustainability. Given these factors, it is advisable to hold rather than buy at this time, as the stock may need more time to stabilize and show consistent profitability.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY) is 0.00, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -26.13.

Forward P/E

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
-26.13
Current P/E
0.00
Overvalued
-17.41
Undervalued
-34.84

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-13.99
Current EV/EBITDA
-4.79
Overvalued
0.50
Undervalued
-28.47

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
10.96
Current P/S
4.15
Overvalued
20.68
Undervalued
1.25

Whales holding FLY

M

Moneta Group Investment Advisors, LLC

+ HoldingFLY

+1.09%

3M Return

G

Ghisallo Capital Management LLC

+ HoldingFLY

-11.46%

3M Return

T

Tema ETFs LLC

+ HoldingFLY

-16.53%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-09-30 (ET)

08:30:00

Firefly Aerospace Signs New Agreement with Starcloud

2026-09-09 (ET)

08:30:00

Firefly Aerospace Signs Multi-Launch Agreement with SSC Space

2026-08-13 (ET)

17:30:00

Firefly Aerospace Secures Contract with Defense Innovation Unit

2026-08-11 (ET)

17:00:00

Firefly Aerospace Reports Q2 Revenue of $117.68M

17:00:00

Firefly Aerospace Extends Two-Year Contract with Lockheed Martin

News

FLY FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Firefly Aerospace Inc. is a space and defense technology company. The Company provides comprehensive mission solutions to national security, government, and commercial customers. It has designed, developed, and deployed its vehicles and dynamic spacecraft solutions to support critical customer missions across the space domain. It has a differentiated and scalable platform of Launch and Spacecraft Solutions with flight heritage. Within Launch, it has two offerings built on common technologies: Alpha and Eclipse. Alpha is a United States-based orbital rocket in the 1,000 kilograms class to successfully reach orbit, with four launches completed. Eclipse, a reusable and scaled up version of Alpha. Its Spacecraft Solutions include Blue Ghost lander (Blue Ghost) and Elytra offerings, highlight the heritage of common technologies from its launch vehicles. Blue Ghost Lander and Elytra are highly maneuverable spacecraft enabled by high-performance rocket engine technology. It operates in the Industrials sector.

Firefly Aerospace Inc is currently trading at $20, which is significantly below several analyst price targets, including $34 from Barclays and $35 from Jefferies. However, the stock has a low RSI of 24.366, indicating it is oversold, but it has also seen a steep decline of 33.07% over the past year. The company reported a substantial revenue growth of 659% year-over-year in Q2, reaching $117.7 million, which suggests strong growth potential. However, the main risk is the ongoing net losses, with a reported net income loss of approximately $92 million in Q2 2026, which raises concerns about sustainability. Given these factors, it is advisable to hold rather than buy at this time, as the stock may need more time to stabilize and show consistent profitability.

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