Ellington Credit Co

Ellington Credit Co (EARN) Stock Analysis

$4.440

-0.010 (-0.22%)At close

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High
4.500
Open
4.480
VWAP
4.46
Vol
777.21K
Mkt Cap
139.73M
Low
4.425
Amount
3.46M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
0.00

Ellington Credit Company is a non-diversified closed-end fund. The Company is focused on acquiring, investing in, and managing secondary collateralized loan obligations (CLO) mezzanine debt and equity tranches. It specializes in acquiring, investing in, and managing residential mortgage- and real estate-related assets. The Company's primary objective is to generate attractive risk-adjusted total returns for its shareholders by making investments in multiple parts of the CLO capital structure, including mezzanine debt and equity tranches. Additionally, it may also invest in CLO loan accumulation facilities, which are entities that acquire corporate loans and other similar corporate credit-related assets in anticipation of ultimately collateralizing a CLO transaction, as well as other related assets. It is externally managed and advised by Ellington Credit Company Management LLC.

AI analysis of Ellington Credit Co (EARN)

buy

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT (EARN) appears to be a good buy right now due to its current price of $4.44, which is significantly below the analyst price target of $6, suggesting a potential upside of 35.4%. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 4.75 indicates that the stock is undervalued compared to its earnings potential. The recent gross margin of 88.83% in Q1 2026 shows strong profitability, which is a positive indicator for long-term investors. However, the main risk is the recent earnings miss, with a reported EPS of 0.15 compared to an estimate of 0.20, reflecting a 25% surprise to the downside.

Analyst Ratings (3)

+35.14% upside
Hold
0 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 4.44
Low
6.00
Average
6.00
High
6.00

Piper Sandler

2026-03-06

Price Target

$6

Buy

UBS

2025-10-14

Price Target

Neutral

UBS

2025-07-16

Price Target

Neutral

UBS

2025-06-10

Price Target

Neutral

UBS

2025-04-17

Price Target

$5.25

Hold

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Ellington Credit Co (EARN) is 4.75, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 6.70.

Forward P/E

Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
6.70
Current P/E
4.75
Overvalued
8.26
Undervalued
5.13

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
0.00
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued
0.00
Undervalued
0.00

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
12.07
Current P/S
0.00
Overvalued
32.14
Undervalued
-7.99

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for EARN

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%EARN

$17.42

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%EARN

$17.13

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%EARN

$15.96

Scenario price

Whales holding EARN

A

ACR Alpine Capital Research, LLC

+ HoldingEARN

+4.14%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-12 (ET)

16:30:00

EARN Reports 8% Economic Return in Q2

2026-05-19 (ET)

16:20:00

Ellington Credit Outperforms Peers in Q1 2026

2026-03-25 (ET)

08:40:00

Ellington Credit Company Launches Public Offering of Unsecured Notes Due 2031

2026-03-04 (ET)

16:40:00

Ellington Credit Net Asset Value Per Share at $5.19

2025-11-19 (ET)

17:01:19

Ellington Credit announces Q2 adjusted net interest income of 23 cents, surpassing consensus estimate of 20 cents.

News

EARN FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Ellington Credit Company is a non-diversified closed-end fund. The Company is focused on acquiring, investing in, and managing secondary collateralized loan obligations (CLO) mezzanine debt and equity tranches. It specializes in acquiring, investing in, and managing residential mortgage- and real estate-related assets. The Company's primary objective is to generate attractive risk-adjusted total returns for its shareholders by making investments in multiple parts of the CLO capital structure, including mezzanine debt and equity tranches. Additionally, it may also invest in CLO loan accumulation facilities, which are entities that acquire corporate loans and other similar corporate credit-related assets in anticipation of ultimately collateralizing a CLO transaction, as well as other related assets. It is externally managed and advised by Ellington Credit Company Management LLC. It operates in the Financials sector (REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS industry).

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT (EARN) appears to be a good buy right now due to its current price of $4.44, which is significantly below the analyst price target of $6, suggesting a potential upside of 35.4%. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 4.75 indicates that the stock is undervalued compared to its earnings potential. The recent gross margin of 88.83% in Q1 2026 shows strong profitability, which is a positive indicator for long-term investors. However, the main risk is the recent earnings miss, with a reported EPS of 0.15 compared to an estimate of 0.20, reflecting a 25% surprise to the downside.

3 analysts cover EARN: 0 rate it Buy, 3 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 6.00.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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