Cheesecake Factory Inc

Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE) Stock Analysis

$112.850

+0.485 (+0.43%)At close

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High
113.000
Open
112.430
VWAP
111.86
Volume
1.17M
Mkt Cap
2.03B
Low
109.730
Amount
130.66M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
16.28

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is an experiential dining company focused on hospitality. The Company owns and operates about 368 restaurants throughout the United States and Canada under brands, including The Cheesecake Factory (216 locations), North Italia (48 locations), Flower Child (43 locations), and a collection within its Fox Restaurant Concepts (FRC) portfolio (55 locations). Internationally, 35 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants operate under licensing agreements. Its bakery division operates two facilities that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licenses, and third-party bakery customers. The Cheesecake Factory menu features about 225 items, exclusive of beverage and dessert items and including items presented on supplemental menus, such as its SkinnyLicious menu that offers items at 590 calories or less. Its menu offerings include appetizers, pizza, seafood, steaks, chicken, burgers, small plates, pasta, salads, and others.

AI analysis of Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE)

Buy

Cheesecake Factory Inc is a good buy right now due to its strong financial performance, with a current price of $108.45 and a year-to-date change of +105.36%. The company has demonstrated robust growth with a gross margin of 75.43% and a forward P/E ratio of 22.57, indicating solid profitability and growth potential. However, the main risk is the insider selling, which has increased by 1836.50% over the last month, suggesting potential concerns among insiders about the stock's future performance.

Analyst Ratings (21)

-46.54% Downside
Hold
5 Buy
15 Hold
1 Sell
Current: 112.85
Low
50.00
Average
60.33
High
72.00

Oppenheimer

2026-10-06

Price Target

$122

Outperform

Wells Fargo

2026-09-15

Price Target

$105

Equal Weight

JPMorgan

2026-08-26

Price Target

$105

Neutral

Baird

2026-08-24

Price Target

$105

Neutral

Argus

2026-07-30

Price Target

$110

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE) is 22.57, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 14.12.

Forward P/E

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
14.12
Current P/E
22.57
Overvalued
18.05
Undervalued
10.19

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
14.46
Current EV/EBITDA
16.28
Overvalued
16.83
Undervalued
12.10

Forward P/S

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
0.62
Current P/S
1.25
Overvalued
0.80
Undervalued
0.44

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for CAKE

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%CAKE

$64.51

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%CAKE

$64.08

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%CAKE

$61.69

Scenario price

Whales holding CAKE

P

PDT Partners, LLC

+ HoldingCAKE

+7.82%

3M Return

H

Hennessy Advisors, Inc.

+ HoldingCAKE

-11.10%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-29 (ET)

17:00:00

Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady, Major Indices Drop Significantly

12:30:00

Dow Jones Drops 874.35 Points as Oil Prices Surge

2026-07-28 (ET)

20:00:00

Consumer Defensive and Healthcare Sectors Perform Strongly This Week

18:00:00

Sees FY26 Net Income Margin at 5.4%

17:30:00

Sees Q3 Tax Rate at 13%-14%

News

CAKE FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is an experiential dining company focused on hospitality. The Company owns and operates about 368 restaurants throughout the United States and Canada under brands, including The Cheesecake Factory (216 locations), North Italia (48 locations), Flower Child (43 locations), and a collection within its Fox Restaurant Concepts (FRC) portfolio (55 locations). Internationally, 35 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants operate under licensing agreements. Its bakery division operates two facilities that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licenses, and third-party bakery customers. The Cheesecake Factory menu features about 225 items, exclusive of beverage and dessert items and including items presented on supplemental menus, such as its SkinnyLicious menu that offers items at 590 calories or less. Its menu offerings include appetizers, pizza, seafood, steaks, chicken, burgers, small plates, pasta, salads, and others. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (RETAIL-EATING PLACES industry).

Cheesecake Factory Inc is a good buy right now due to its strong financial performance, with a current price of $108.45 and a year-to-date change of +105.36%. The company has demonstrated robust growth with a gross margin of 75.43% and a forward P/E ratio of 22.57, indicating solid profitability and growth potential. However, the main risk is the insider selling, which has increased by 1836.50% over the last month, suggesting potential concerns among insiders about the stock's future performance.

21 analysts cover CAKE: 5 rate it Buy, 15 Hold and 1 Sell. The average price target is 60.33.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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