Cheesecake Factory Inc

Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE) Stock Analysis

$110.320

+1.986 (+1.80%)At close

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High
111.510
Open
108.420
VWAP
109.98
Volume
1.61M
Mkt Cap
2.03B
Low
108.100
Amount
177.14M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
16.59

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is an experiential dining company focused on hospitality. The Company owns and operates about 368 restaurants throughout the United States and Canada under brands, including The Cheesecake Factory (216 locations), North Italia (48 locations), Flower Child (43 locations), and a collection within its Fox Restaurant Concepts (FRC) portfolio (55 locations). Internationally, 35 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants operate under licensing agreements. Its bakery division operates two facilities that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licenses, and third-party bakery customers. The Cheesecake Factory menu features about 225 items, exclusive of beverage and dessert items and including items presented on supplemental menus, such as its SkinnyLicious menu that offers items at 590 calories or less. Its menu offerings include appetizers, pizza, seafood, steaks, chicken, burgers, small plates, pasta, salads, and others.

AI analysis of Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE)

Hold

The Cheesecake Factory is currently priced at $108.37, which is near the lower end of analyst price targets ranging from $105 to $122. However, the RSI is at 31.534, indicating it is oversold, suggesting potential for a price rebound. The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a 5.8% year-over-year increase in comparable sales and a decade-high restaurant-level profit margin of 20%. The main risk is the insider selling, which has increased by 1836.50% over the last month, indicating a lack of confidence from insiders.

Analyst Ratings (21)

-45.31% Downside
Hold
5 Buy
15 Hold
1 Sell
Current: 110.32
Low
50.00
Average
60.33
High
72.00

Oppenheimer

2026-10-06

Price Target

$122

Outperform

Wells Fargo

2026-09-15

Price Target

$105

Equal Weight

JPMorgan

2026-08-26

Price Target

$105

Neutral

Baird

2026-08-24

Price Target

$105

Neutral

Argus

2026-07-30

Price Target

$110

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE) is 22.57, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 14.16.

Forward P/E

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
14.16
Current P/E
22.57
Overvalued
18.15
Undervalued
10.18

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
14.47
Current EV/EBITDA
16.59
Overvalued
16.85
Undervalued
12.10

Forward P/S

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
0.63
Current P/S
1.29
Overvalued
0.81
Undervalued
0.44

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for CAKE

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%CAKE

$64.51

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%CAKE

$64.08

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%CAKE

$61.69

Scenario price

Whales holding CAKE

P

PDT Partners, LLC

+ HoldingCAKE

+4.16%

3M Return

H

Hennessy Advisors, Inc.

+ HoldingCAKE

-11.15%

3M Return

CAKE FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is an experiential dining company focused on hospitality. The Company owns and operates about 368 restaurants throughout the United States and Canada under brands, including The Cheesecake Factory (216 locations), North Italia (48 locations), Flower Child (43 locations), and a collection within its Fox Restaurant Concepts (FRC) portfolio (55 locations). Internationally, 35 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants operate under licensing agreements. Its bakery division operates two facilities that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licenses, and third-party bakery customers. The Cheesecake Factory menu features about 225 items, exclusive of beverage and dessert items and including items presented on supplemental menus, such as its SkinnyLicious menu that offers items at 590 calories or less. Its menu offerings include appetizers, pizza, seafood, steaks, chicken, burgers, small plates, pasta, salads, and others. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (RETAIL-EATING PLACES industry).

The Cheesecake Factory is currently priced at $108.37, which is near the lower end of analyst price targets ranging from $105 to $122. However, the RSI is at 31.534, indicating it is oversold, suggesting potential for a price rebound. The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a 5.8% year-over-year increase in comparable sales and a decade-high restaurant-level profit margin of 20%. The main risk is the insider selling, which has increased by 1836.50% over the last month, indicating a lack of confidence from insiders.

21 analysts cover CAKE: 5 rate it Buy, 15 Hold and 1 Sell. The average price target is 60.33.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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